Manchester United vs Manchester City Predictions & Picks for Saturday's Community Shield Matc

Manchester United have a long way to go to be on Man City's recent level, but a win in the Community Shield (after beating them for the FA Cup) would be a positive start to their season. Find out why our betting expert likes the Red Devils at a huge price.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Aug 9, 2024 • 16:53 ET • 4 min read
Manchester United EPL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

It’s the annual curtain raiser in English soccer with the Community Shield. This year, we’re treated to a Manchester derby between Manchester City and Manchester United.

Last year we saw City keep hold of their Premier League title, while United rescued a poor season by beating Saturday’s opponents in the FA Cup final.

Make sure you read our free betting picks to see our Manchester City vs Manchester United prediction and best bet.

Manchester United vs Manchester City picks and predictions

My best bet:
Manchester United to win (+390 at Betano)

My analysis

The Premier League is still a week away but the Community Shield opens the top-level English season on Saturday with Man City vs Man Utd. These two fierce rivals always produce interesting games and it’s going to be a huge matchup with both Pep Guardiola and Erik ten Hag hoping to start the season off well.

City are odds-on favorites for a reason. They won the Premier League again last season, finishing eight positions higher than Man Utd and accumulating 50% more points than their rivals. With that in mind, it’s easy to see why they’re expected to win but at +390 there is big value on a Manchester United win.

The last time these two teams met was in May at Wembley. That day we saw Man Utd upset the odds with a 2-1 win over City, with goals from Kobbie Mainoo and Alejandro Garnacho. We saw that day that United could match them and performed well as they sealed the win.

Then there’s the summer that both teams have had. For Man City, they’ve signed just one player, Savio from Troyes. The young Brazilian is highly rated but at 20 years old he’s one for the future and is unlikely to be a key member of the team until later in the season at the earliest. On the flip side, they’re selling Julian Alvarez to Atletico Madrid and he won’t feature in this game. They’ve also struggled in preseason, with many players unable to take part in their US tour. They won just one of their four preseason games and many players come into this without having played a minute of preseason yet and might not be ready for kickoff.

City, like United, will be missing some key players who reached the final of Euro 2024. For United, it deprives them of two starters in Kobbie Mainoo and Luke Shaw but for City, they lose Rodri, Phil Foden, John Stones, and Kyle Walker. The loss of Rodri and Foden in particular will cause them serious issues.

United’s injury list is already mounting with new signing Leny Yoro joining Rasmus Hojlund on the treatment table but they come into this with more of their key players available. United are a big price at +390 and with the aforementioned problems for City, as well as what we saw from them last season in terms of starting slow, we have to take the big odds..

Manchester United vs Manchester City same-game parlay (SGP)

Man United moneyline

Both teams to score

Marcus Rashford 1+ shot

In addition to our best bet for the game, we’re also going to back Both Teams to Score. So far in preseason, we’ve seen a total of 22 goals in four Man City games, with both teams scoring in every single game. There have also been 13 goals in four Man Utd warm-up games. There’s also a form for BTTS landing, with it coming in across five of their past six meetings.

The final leg of the Same-Game Parlay is for Marcus Rashford to have one or more shots. It doesn’t need to be on target, we just need to see the 26-year-old shoot. He had a poor season last year and it’s make-or-break for him this campaign. He’ll either start out wide or potentially with Holjund’s injury, down the middle. He averaged 1.9 shots per game in the Premier League last season and should replicate that at Wembley.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Manchester United vs Manchester City odds

Brighton & Hove Albion Manchester United Manchester United Manchester City
+400 Moneyline -175
+350 Draw +350
Over 2.5 (-200) Total Under 2.5 (+162)

Odds as of 8-9

Manchester United vs Manchester City game info

Location: Wembley Stadium, London, England
Date: Saturday, 8-10-2024
Time: 10:00 a.m. ET
TV: NBC, FUBOTV
Weather: Partly Cloudy

Manchester United vs Manchester City key injuries

Manchester United: Hojlund (Out), Yoro (Out), Evans (Questionable), Lindelof (Questionable), Magure (Questionable).
Manchester City: Ederson (Questionable), Kabore (Questionable), Rodri (Questionable).

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo