Real Madrid vs AC Milan Picks and Predictions: Los Blancos Thrill in Rose Bowl

Real Madrid will be looking to make a statement with lots of new personnel. Fortunately, there's also plenty of talent, so our soccer betting picks are confident in Los Blancos on Sunday.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Jul 22, 2023 • 11:00 ET • 4 min read
Luka Modric Real Madrid
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

On Sunday night we have Real Madrid vs. AC Milan at the Rose Bowl. This is a game that wouldn’t sound out of place in the Champions League and it should prove to be a fascinating matchup this preseason.

It’s a big game for fans and neutrals alike and the Rose Bowl will be rocking but which of these two European heavyweights will come out on top? Don’t miss our Real Madrid vs. AC Milan betting picks and predictions for July 23.

Real Madrid vs AC Milan best odds

Real Madrid AC Milan
+105 Moneyline +200
+260 Draw +260
Over 2.5 (-136) Total Under 2.5 (-102)

Odds courtesy of bet365, July 22, 2023.

Real Madrid vs AC Milan picks and predictions

The Rose Bowl has seen some historic games through the years, but Sunday’s Real Madrid vs AC Milan sees two of the most celebrated teams in European soccer meet in preseason action. Both Real Madrid and AC Milan have won more Champions League trophies than any other teams and combine for a huge 21 cups together. 

Despite those world-famous shirts, we can’t forget that this is a preseason game and we will definitely see both Carlo Ancelotti and Stefano Pioli rotate their teams heavily. That means we’re likely to see players on both benches get on the field, which could lead to a disjointed second half. 

The amount of great players on the pitch, for one team in particular, is one of the main reasons behind my best bet for the game: Real Madrid to win. A victory for Los Blancos comes in at +120, which feels like a good value price given the talent on display.

It’s been a summer of change at Real Madrid with Marco Asensio and Eden Hazard leaving, but the biggest name, and arguably the only one which really does impact this team, is Karim Benzema, who has moved to Saudi Arabia. They may have lost a great striker but they’ve added some of the best young talent on the planet. The brilliant Turkish youngster Arda Guler has arrived, but it’s Jude Bellingham, who’s the most exciting. The 20-year old Englishman has been one of the hottest properties in the game for some time and he’s already one of the best midfielders on the planet despite his relative youth.

Madrid’s adding Bellingham to a midfield that already has stellar names such as Toni Kroos, Luka Modric, Aurelien Tchouameni, and Eduardo Camavinga. We’re almost certain to see Bellingham make his debut, as well as Guler, Fran Garcia, and Joselu.

Add those names to a team with Rodrygo and Vinicious Jr and you have a seriously dangerous attack, as well as a backline that features Eder Militao, David Alaba and Antonio Rudiger. This is a seriously talented team and anytime you can wager on them winning a game at plus money it’s worth taking — even if it’s a friendly.

AC Milan reached the Champions League semis this past season, but their squad doesn’t reflect a team that’s truly in the Top 4 in Europe. Ruben Loftus-Cheek, a recent arrival from Chelsea, will make his debut alongside other former Chelsea players in Fikayo Tomori, Olivier Giroud, and Christian Pulisic. New singing Pulisic saw his career stall in London, but the USMNT star will be hoping to reignite it in Milan, and this game in front of a US crowd will excite him.

With Real Madrid having so many established talents in their starting lineup, as well as an influx of great young youth players, they now have incredible depth. I think that depth is enough to get them over the line and I’ll be taking that +120 on Real winning this game.

My best bet: Real Madrid to win (+120 at FanDuel)

Pick made on July 21 at 6:00 p.m. ET. Not intended for use in MA.
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Real Madrid vs AC Milan same-game parlay

Real Madrid to win

Real Madrid Over 2.5 goals

Goal scored in both halves

It’s time for a same-game parlay and I’ve got a great +502 wager for Real Madrid vs. AC Milan. Truth be told, I toyed with the idea of including a debut goal for Jude Bellingham but I decided to play it safer.

To start, we’re backing Real Madrid to win. The reasoning is as above; this is a team packed with serious talent and most importantly they have huge depth in their squad which should mean that they’re able to win this game despite a number of substitutions to get everybody time on the field.

Next up we’re backing Real Madrid, the designated home team for this game, to score Over 2.5 goals. They may have lost Benzema, but there’s so much attacking talent on display that they’re very dangerous. Vinicius Jr’s star has risen over the past few years, and it feels like the Brazilian is now among the most famous players on the planet. I’m expecting a big year from him, something that will likely see him start strong in this preseason clash.

The final leg of the same-game parlay is a simple one and perhaps something that seems logical given that I’m backing Real Madrid to score at least three goals, but I’ll also be backing a goal to be scored in both halves.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Covers may receive advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook or betting site
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Real Madrid vs AC Milan side and Over/Under analysis

I said it earlier in this preview. but whenever you see Real Madrid at over +100 it’s something you need to look into. I don’t care if this is just a preseason game, I’m all over Real at +120. There’s a chance we might see rotation hurt the flow of the game, and we could see the players take it easy in this friendly match, but I’m confident that all of their stars will be looking to make a statement given the change that’s occurred at the club.

I always think that preseason games are great for backing Over 2.5 goals, given that players are looking to impress their coaches, while the defenses aren’t as well drilled as they are later in the season. So, I’ll also be backing Over 2.5 goals in this game, which looks a great price at -122.

Real Madrid vs AC Milan game info

Location: Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA
Date: Sunday, July 23, 2023
Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
TV: ESPNDP, ESPN+

Real Madrid vs AC Milan key injuries

Real Madrid: Dani Ceballos CM (Out).
AC Milan: Fode Ballo-Toure MID (Out), Mattia Caldara DEF (Out), Marko Lazetic MID (Out), Divock Origi STR (Out), Ante Rebic FWR (Out).

Real Madrid vs AC Milan weather

Temperatures will be around 80 degrees when this game kicks off. Partial clouds will yield no precipitation, with low winds. 

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Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

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