Wolves vs Aston Villa Predictions, Picks & Odds for Today’s Premier League Match

Goals have come from all directions in Wolves' EPL matches, and we expect more of the same with Aston Villa in town on Saturday.

Sam Farley - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Sam Farley • Betting Analyst
Jan 30, 2025 • 11:26 ET • 4 min read
Ollie Watkins Aston Villa EPL
Photo By - Imagn Images.

This Saturday, we have a local Premier League matchup with Midlands club Wolves and Aston Villa meeting at Molineux.

There's transfer speculation surrounding star strikers for both teams, but despite their futures being in doubt, our Wolves vs. Aston Villa predictions have it finishing as a high-scoring game with both teams finding the back of the net.

Read on for my Premier League free betting picks for Saturday, February 1, with kickoff at 12:30 p.m. ET on NBC.

Premier League predictions for Wolves vs Aston Villa

My best bet:
Over 2.5 + Both teams to score (-118 at TonyBet)

My analysis
There’s no love lost between Wolves and Aston Villa, with the clubs being the only two West Midlands teams in the Premier League, with WBA and Birmingham now in the lower tier. That adds some extra spice to this game, and supporters will be excited ahead of the short journey to Molineux. 

Both teams come into this having had differing seasons, although neither will be thrilled with where they stand in the Premier League table. Saturday’s guests are eighth in the table, which will be a disappointment on pre-season expectations. Still, having reached the Last 16 of the Champions League, they won’t be too sad about dropping points in the Premier League, even if they've now gone five games unbeaten.

Wolves came into the weekend 18th of 20 in the Premier League and are now in a battle to stay up. They’re in a strange position in that unlike the other teams in the relegation zone, they’ve not had a problem scoring, the issue has been letting goals in.

They’ve scored 32 goals in 23 games, which, for context, is only one fewer than Nottingham Forest, who are in third. However, they’ve given up a staggering 52 goals, more than two per game, with only Southampton having conceded more. That’s part of the reason we’re taking the Over 2.5 goals + Both teams to score as our best bet. 

Wolves have conceded at least once in their past six games in all competitions, and we’ve seen both teams score in seven of 11 home games in the league this season. Of the four games that didn’t hit BTTS, we saw two of those involve the team that didn’t score reduced to 10 men. We’ve also seen eight of those home games hit the Over 2.5 mark and a huge 18 of their 23 EPL games overall.

Likewise, Villa have plenty of attacking talent, although there's speculation about potential moves for Jhon Duran and Ollie Watkins. Still, neither has moved at the time of writing. A staggering 69.6% of their games have seen both teams scoring and we’ve also seen nine of their 11 on the road hitting Over 2.5 goals.

With the likes of Wolves’ Matheus Cunha, himself under speculation of a move to Villa, and Villa’s Watkins, there’s real goalscoring ability on both sides. When these teams met in September, we saw Villa win 3-1.

Wolves vs Aston Villa same-game parlay (SGP)

Both teams to score

Aston Villa to win

Aston Villa Over 4.5 corners

We’re going to back Aston Villa to take three points in addition to both teams finding the back of the net. Villa showed their talent on Wednesday, beating Celtic 4-2 despite giving up a two-goal lead. Domestically, Villa has underperformed this season, but they’re still in eighth and unbeaten in five games, while Wolves entered the weekend third from bottom and have lost four games in a row.

We’re also taking Villa to go Over 4.5 corners. They’ve averaged 6.17 corners per game this season, although it drops to 4.55 per game away from home. However, given Wolves’ Premier League struggles, you won’t be surprised to hear they’re giving up 6.73 corners per game at home.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Bet on soccer at TonyBet

One of Canada’s favourite sportsbooks for soccer, join TonyBet, which offers a 100% deposit match (up to $350) for new bettors!

Not available in Ontario.

Wolves vs Aston Villa odds

Wolves vs Aston Villa live odds

Wolves vs Aston Villa opening odds

  • Moneyline: Wolves +240 | Aston Villa +114
  • Draw: +260
  • Over/Under: Over 2.5 (-148) | Under 2.5 (+125)

Wolves vs Aston Villa side and Over/Under analysis

  • Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last five Premier League matches. Wolves have lost four EPL matches in a row.

  • Aston Villa have won the last two meetings.

  • Nine of Villa's 11 away EPL games have gone Over 2.5 goals.

  • Eight of Wolves' 11 home EPL games have gone Over 2.5 goals in addition to 18 of 23 overall. 

How to watch Wolves vs Aston Villa

Location Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, England
Date Saturday, 2-1-2025
Time 12:30 p.m. ET
TV NBC
Weather Cloudy.
Wolves  Recent EPL form L-L-L-L-D
Aston Villa  Recent EPL form D-D-W-W-D

Wolves vs Aston Villa key injuries

Wolves: Yerson Mosquera CB (Out), Boubacar Traore CDM (Out), Enso Gonzalez FWR (Out), Sasa Kalajdzic FWR (Out), Toti Gomes CB (Out), Mario Lemina CM (Questionable).
Aston Villa: Pau Torres CB (Out), Ross Barkley CM (Out), Tyrone Mings CB (Out), Amadou Onana CM (Out), Donyell Malen FWR (Out), Jhon Duran STR (Questionable).

Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.

Pages related to this topic

Betting Analyst

Sam is based in the United Kingdom, where he grew up living and breathing soccer, before discovering - and playing - a different kind of football at the University of Bristol. He’s worked in the media covering soccer and the NFL for the better part of a decade, and has been a regular on the Matchbook NFL Podcast. His work has also appeared in a wide range of publications including The Telegraph, The Independent, VICE, and MSN.

The search for great betting value is a daily one, and Sam always hunts out big prices with a particular focus on player props. Sam’s best advice for bettors is to track their bets on a spreadsheet, that way you can keep an eye on your P&L but also the types of bets and sports that you are most successful in. He also recommends using a variety of different sportsbooks, with bet365, Betfair and Paddy Power amongst his favorites.

Popular Content

Legal Canadian sports betting

Best Canadian betting sites Ontario sports betting
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo