On Friday we’ll get the weekend off to a bang with a Premier League clash between Wolves and Leeds. Wolves are in a battle to sneak into the European slots while Leeds are fighting for their lives with the very real threat of relegation from the Premier League.
Who’ll come out on top in this one? Don’t miss our Wolves vs. Leeds picks and predictions to find out.
Wolves vs Leeds match odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
Compare EPL odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.
Wolves vs Leeds betting tips
Predictions made on 3/16/2022 at 3:30 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.
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Wolves vs Leeds game info
• Location: Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, England
• Date: Friday, March 18, 2022
• Time: 4:00 p.m. ET
• TV: USA Network, DAZN
Wolves v Leeds betting preview
Weather
It looks like we’ll have great weather for this Premier League game between Wolves and Leeds. It’ll be kicking off at 8 p.m. local time on a Friday night so expect the crowd to be boisterous. The weather conditions will be dry with temperatures around 50 degrees.
Injuries
Wolves: None.
Leeds: Liam Cooper CB (Out), Kalvin Phillips CM (Out).
Wolves vs Leeds predictions
Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.
Side analysis
The teams find themselves at very different ends of the table but both are in desperate need to wins to complete their objectives. For the hosts Wolves, they are hunting for European football next year. They are five points behind fourth-place Arsenal who hold the final Champions League spot and locked in a battle with Man United, West Ham, and Spurs to get a spot in either the Europa League or Europa Conference League.
For Leeds, it’s a very different battle. They’re fighting for their very status in the Premier League with the club 16th in the Premier League. They’re two spots and four points clear of the relegation zone but if Everton and Burnley were to win their games in hand then they’d be overtaken.
I’ve been vocal in my praise of Wolves’ manager Bruno Lage and the Portuguese is arguably the manager of the season, alongside Arsenal’s Mikel Arteta. Wolves finished 13th last season and Lage has come into the club and rebuilt their firm foundations in defense. They’re not the most glamorous club and let’s be honest, they’re not the most exciting team to watch, but they’re very effective and the work he has done has been brilliant.
In the opposite dugout is Jesse Marsch, with the American having recently come in to replace the iconic Marcelo Bielsa who was relieved of his duties following a bad run of form. Marsch has already installed more defensive responsibility into the Leeds team than they had previously. His team have secured three points from a possible nine since his arrival but a 2-1 home victory over a dreadful Norwich team isn’t great evidence of a huge improvement.
This game away at Wolves will be a good test of the new manager and his system with Wolves a patient and defensively smart team.
Marsch will set up with the 4-2-3-1 he’s favored since arriving in England and look to utilize the speed and directness of Raphinha and Daniel James in their attacking play. Their best strength is speed on the counter but Wolves won’t be an easy test, and their methodical style and 3-4-2-1 formation shouldn’t leave them that susceptible to fast attacks.
Only three teams have allowed fewer goals in the Premier League this season than Wolves and they are very accomplished defensively. The real question is whether they’ll find the back of the net, and fortunately for Lage and Raul Jimenez, they’re facing a Leeds team who are still very bad at the back.
Wolves are the better team, they’re very coached and they’re facing a Leeds team who still don’t look great at the back. At odds of +115 Wolves are a brilliant shout to seal a narrow win.
Prediction: Wolves (+115)
Over/Under analysis
The bookies have the Over/Under very close with either side available at -110. For me, this looks like huge value on the Under. Firstly, let’s discount the Over. Leeds may have gone Over 2.5 goals in two of Marsch’s three games in charge but it’s clear that they’re looking to keep things tighter at the back under him. They were reckless under Bielsa and I believe that’s baked into the price here.
When it comes to the Under there is nobody quite like Wolves in the Premier League. A massive 72.4% of all their games in the league have seen fewer than three goals, with six of their past nine at home going Under 2.5 goals. With the odds level at -110 this offers great value, smash that Under right now.
Prediction: Under 2.5 (-110)
Best bet
I toyed with the idea of putting Under 2.5 goals as my best bet of Wolves vs. Leeds. I’m incredibly confident that it’ll land and it’s a bet that I’ll certainly be backing myself. At odds of -110 it offers brilliant value but I thought I’d take a look at another market worth a small stake, the correct score market.
As far as I’m concerned this is going to be a low-scoring game and one which Wolves win, with that in mind there is a lot of value in backing Wolves to win 1-0 at a price of +750. It’s something that I’ll personally be backing, alongside the Under 2.5 goals for this game.
Pick: Wolves to win 1-0 (+750)
