Bally Sports Network

Kansas City @ Arizona props

Chase Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF fences in the majors. Ryne Nelson will have the handedness advantage over Salvador Perez today. Salvador Perez's quickness has fallen off this season. His 25.33 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.25 ft/sec now. Salvador Perez has been lucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .250 mark is quite a bit higher than his .222 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Salvador Perez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF fences in the majors. Ryne Nelson will have the handedness advantage over Salvador Perez today. Salvador Perez's quickness has fallen off this season. His 25.33 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.25 ft/sec now. Salvador Perez has been lucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .250 mark is quite a bit higher than his .222 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Geraldo Perdomo Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Perdomo
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the majors for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Geraldo Perdomo will benefit from the home field advantage today. Geraldo Perdomo has been hot lately, posting a .439 wOBA over the last 14 days.

Geraldo Perdomo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the majors for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Geraldo Perdomo will benefit from the home field advantage today. Geraldo Perdomo has been hot lately, posting a .439 wOBA over the last 14 days.

MJ Melendez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Melendez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects MJ Melendez in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. MJ Melendez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the majors for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

MJ Melendez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects MJ Melendez in the 76th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. MJ Melendez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the majors for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Hunter Dozier Total Hits Props • Kansas City

H. Dozier
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Hunter Dozier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Nicky Lopez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

N. Lopez
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the majors for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nicky Lopez will hold the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today. Nicky Lopez has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .222 BA is quite a bit lower than his .268 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Nicky Lopez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the majors for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nicky Lopez will hold the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today. Nicky Lopez has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .222 BA is quite a bit lower than his .268 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Ketel Marte Total Hits Props • Arizona

K. Marte
second base 2B • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF fences in the majors. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will bat from his weak side (0) today against OPP_SP Ketel Marte has done a bad job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 8.1° mark is among the lowest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (22nd percentile). Ketel Marte has posted a .258 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 25th percentile.

Ketel Marte

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest CF fences in the majors. The switch-hitting Ketel Marte will bat from his weak side (0) today against OPP_SP Ketel Marte has done a bad job optimizing his launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls. His 8.1° mark is among the lowest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (22nd percentile). Ketel Marte has posted a .258 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 25th percentile.

Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Moreno
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Gabriel Moreno in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Gabriel Moreno will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

Gabriel Moreno

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Gabriel Moreno in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Gabriel Moreno will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City

V. Pasquantino
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Vinnie Pasquantino hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 75th percentile) and faces baseball's 3rd-deepest CF fences today. Vinnie Pasquantino has been lucky this year, posting a .396 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .363 — a .033 discrepancy. Vinnie Pasquantino has done a poor job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 7.2° figure is among the lowest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (14th percentile). Vinnie Pasquantino has compiled a .252 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 19th percentile.

Vinnie Pasquantino

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Vinnie Pasquantino hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.2% — 75th percentile) and faces baseball's 3rd-deepest CF fences today. Vinnie Pasquantino has been lucky this year, posting a .396 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .363 — a .033 discrepancy. Vinnie Pasquantino has done a poor job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 7.2° figure is among the lowest in Major League Baseball since the start of last season (14th percentile). Vinnie Pasquantino has compiled a .252 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 19th percentile.

Michael Massey Total Hits Props • Kansas City

M. Massey
second base 2B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Michael Massey is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the majors for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today.

Michael Massey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Michael Massey is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the majors for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Michael Massey will hold the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today.

Edward Olivares Total Hits Props • Kansas City

E. Olivares
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

Edward Olivares is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Edward Olivares

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Edward Olivares is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Carroll
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Corbin Carroll in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the majors for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Corbin Carroll in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the majors for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Franmil Reyes Total Hits Props • Kansas City

F. Reyes
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Franmil Reyes in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Franmil Reyes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Franmil Reyes in the 76th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

K. Isbel
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the majors for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage over Ryne Nelson today.

Kyle Isbel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the majors for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage over Ryne Nelson today.

Pavin Smith Total Hits Props • Arizona

P. Smith
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the majors for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Pavin Smith will have the handedness advantage against Brady Singer today. Pavin Smith will hold the home field advantage today.

Pavin Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the majors for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Pavin Smith will have the handedness advantage against Brady Singer today. Pavin Smith will hold the home field advantage today.

Christian Walker Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Walker
first base 1B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Christian Walker in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Christian Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Christian Walker in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Christian Walker is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Chase Field ranks as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for RHB BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Alek Thomas Total Hits Props • Arizona

A. Thomas
center outfield CF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Alek Thomas in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the majors for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Alek Thomas will hold the platoon advantage against Brady Singer today.

Alek Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Alek Thomas in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in the majors for lefty BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for the best hitting weather of the day, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Alek Thomas will hold the platoon advantage against Brady Singer today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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