NBC Bay Area, Bally Sports Network

St. Louis @ San Francisco props

Oracle Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-270
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-270
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Nolan Arenado in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output. Anthony DeSclafani will have the handedness advantage against Nolan Arenado today. Nolan Arenado's quickness has dropped off this year. His 25.46 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.79 ft/sec now.

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Nolan Arenado in the 4th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output. Anthony DeSclafani will have the handedness advantage against Nolan Arenado today. Nolan Arenado's quickness has dropped off this year. His 25.46 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.79 ft/sec now.

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jordan Walker in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 stadium in the majors for righty BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the worst on the slate.

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Jordan Walker in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 stadium in the majors for righty BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 13.7-mph in this match-up, the best of the day for hitters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the worst on the slate.

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

L. Nootbaar
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Lars Nootbaar in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 venue in the majors for lefty BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage against Anthony DeSclafani today.

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Lars Nootbaar in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 venue in the majors for lefty BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Lars Nootbaar will hold the platoon advantage against Anthony DeSclafani today.

Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. DeJong
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Oracle Park profiles as the #3 stadium in the majors for righty BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst on the slate. Paul DeJong can really hit the ball hard. If you look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (108.2 mph) puts him among the league's best: in the 76th percentile since the start of last season.

Paul DeJong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Oracle Park profiles as the #3 stadium in the majors for righty BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 4th-worst on the slate. Paul DeJong can really hit the ball hard. If you look at the top 5% of his batted balls by exit velocity, their average (108.2 mph) puts him among the league's best: in the 76th percentile since the start of last season.

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output. Anthony DeSclafani will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Goldschmidt today. Paul Goldschmidt has been lucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .313 BA is quite a bit higher than his .279 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Oracle Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which often leads to lower offensive output. Anthony DeSclafani will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Goldschmidt today. Paul Goldschmidt has been lucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .313 BA is quite a bit higher than his .279 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Tommy Edman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

T. Edman
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Tommy Edman in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 venue in the majors for lefty BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Oracle Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate.

Tommy Edman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Tommy Edman in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 venue in the majors for lefty BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Oracle Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. The San Francisco Giants outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate.

Nolan Gorman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Gorman
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Nolan Gorman in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Nolan Gorman has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (60% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 venue in the majors for lefty BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage over Anthony DeSclafani today.

Nolan Gorman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Nolan Gorman in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Nolan Gorman has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (60% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 venue in the majors for lefty BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage over Anthony DeSclafani today.

Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

W. Contreras
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 stadium in the majors for righty BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Willson Contreras has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

Willson Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Willson Contreras in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Oracle Park profiles as the #3 stadium in the majors for righty BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Willson Contreras has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.

Alec Burleson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

A. Burleson
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Alec Burleson in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 venue in the majors for lefty BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Oracle Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage against Anthony DeSclafani today.

Alec Burleson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Alec Burleson in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 venue in the majors for lefty BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Oracle Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Alec Burleson will hold the platoon advantage against Anthony DeSclafani today.

Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

B. Donovan
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Brendan Donovan in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 venue in the majors for lefty BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Oracle Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Brendan Donovan will hold the platoon advantage against Anthony DeSclafani today.

Brendan Donovan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Brendan Donovan in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 venue in the majors for lefty BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Oracle Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Brendan Donovan will hold the platoon advantage against Anthony DeSclafani today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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