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Houston @ Tampa Bay props

Tropicana Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Houston

K. Tucker
left outfield LF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Kyle Tucker projects as the 15th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per THE BAT X. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Extreme groundball bats like Kyle Tucker tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Calvin Faucher. Kyle Tucker has notched a .367 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 94th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Kyle Tucker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Kyle Tucker projects as the 15th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, per THE BAT X. Kyle Tucker is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Extreme groundball bats like Kyle Tucker tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Calvin Faucher. Kyle Tucker has notched a .367 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 94th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

David Hensley Total Hits Props • Houston

D. Hensley
first base 1B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects David Hensley in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. David Hensley will have the handedness advantage against Calvin Faucher today... and even better, Faucher has a large platoon split. David Hensley has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

David Hensley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects David Hensley in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. David Hensley will have the handedness advantage against Calvin Faucher today... and even better, Faucher has a large platoon split. David Hensley has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Alex Bregman Total Hits Props • Houston

A. Bregman
third base 3B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Alex Bregman in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Alex Bregman will hold the platoon advantage over Calvin Faucher today... and even better, Faucher has a large platoon split. Alex Bregman has a high pull rate on his flyballs (38.2% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Alex Bregman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Alex Bregman in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Alex Bregman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Alex Bregman will hold the platoon advantage over Calvin Faucher today... and even better, Faucher has a large platoon split. Alex Bregman has a high pull rate on his flyballs (38.2% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Jose Abreu Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Abreu
first base 1B • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jose Abreu in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Jose Abreu is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Jose Abreu will have the handedness advantage against Calvin Faucher today... and even better, Faucher has a large platoon split.

Jose Abreu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Jose Abreu in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Jose Abreu is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Jose Abreu will have the handedness advantage against Calvin Faucher today... and even better, Faucher has a large platoon split.

Yainer Diaz Total Hits Props • Houston

Y. Diaz
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Yainer Diaz in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Yainer Diaz will hold the platoon advantage against Calvin Faucher today... and even better, Faucher has a large platoon split. Yainer Diaz has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Yainer Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Yainer Diaz in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Yainer Diaz will hold the platoon advantage against Calvin Faucher today... and even better, Faucher has a large platoon split. Yainer Diaz has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences today.

Jeremy Pena Total Hits Props • Houston

J. Pena
shortstop SS • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jeremy Pena in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jeremy Pena has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Jeremy Pena will have the handedness advantage against Calvin Faucher today... and even better, Faucher has a large platoon split. Jeremy Pena has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Jeremy Pena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Jeremy Pena in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jeremy Pena has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Jeremy Pena will have the handedness advantage against Calvin Faucher today... and even better, Faucher has a large platoon split. Jeremy Pena has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33.7% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Martin Maldonado Total Hits Props • Houston

M. Maldonado
catcher C • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Calvin Faucher will hold the platoon advantage against Martin Maldonado today. Martin Maldonado has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33.9% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Martin Maldonado is in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.3% rate since the start of last season).

Martin Maldonado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Calvin Faucher will hold the platoon advantage against Martin Maldonado today. Martin Maldonado has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33.9% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Martin Maldonado is in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (18.3% rate since the start of last season).

Corey Julks Total Hits Props • Houston

C. Julks
right outfield RF • Houston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Corey Julks has a high pull rate on his flyballs (36.1% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

Corey Julks

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The Tropicana Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this contest 14° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Corey Julks has a high pull rate on his flyballs (36.1% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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