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San Diego @ Chicago props

Wrigley Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Matt Carpenter Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Carpenter
first base 1B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Matt Carpenter in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Carpenter can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst on the slate. Matt Carpenter has been hot lately, batting his way to a .388 wOBA in the past 14 days.

Matt Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Matt Carpenter in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Carpenter can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst on the slate. Matt Carpenter has been hot lately, batting his way to a .388 wOBA in the past 14 days.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Xander Bogaerts as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Xander Bogaerts will hold the platoon advantage over Drew Smyly today.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Xander Bogaerts as the 17th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his batting average talent. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Xander Bogaerts will hold the platoon advantage over Drew Smyly today.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Jake Cronenworth's 18.1° launch angle is among the highest in the game: 89th percentile. Jake Cronenworth has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a core skill for batting average), ranking in the 88th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Cronenworth can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Jake Cronenworth's 18.1° launch angle is among the highest in the game: 89th percentile. Jake Cronenworth has been very good at hitting the ball to all fields (a core skill for batting average), ranking in the 88th percentile in THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season.

Nelson Cruz Total Hits Props • San Diego

N. Cruz
designated hitter DH • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Nelson Cruz is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Nelson Cruz will have the handedness advantage over Drew Smyly today.

Nelson Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nelson Cruz is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Nelson Cruz will have the handedness advantage over Drew Smyly today.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Ian Happ in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Ian Happ is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Michael Wacha. Ian Happ has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Ian Happ in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Ian Happ is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The switch-hitting Ian Happ will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Michael Wacha. Ian Happ has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

Trent Grisham Total Hits Props • San Diego

T. Grisham
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trent Grisham has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst on the slate.

Trent Grisham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trent Grisham has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The Chicago Cubs outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst on the slate.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Soto
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Juan Soto projects as the 5th-best batter in the league, per THE BAT X. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Juan Soto stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Juan Soto has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Juan Soto projects as the 5th-best batter in the league, per THE BAT X. Juan Soto is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Juan Soto stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Juan Soto has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences today.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Dansby Swanson in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Dansby Swanson is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Dansby Swanson will hold the home field advantage today. Dansby Swanson has posted a .341 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Dansby Swanson in the 85th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Dansby Swanson is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Dansby Swanson will hold the home field advantage today. Dansby Swanson has posted a .341 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Trey Mancini Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

T. Mancini
designated hitter DH • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Trey Mancini in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Trey Mancini is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Trey Mancini will possess the home field advantage today. Trey Mancini has been unlucky this year, notching a .276 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .332 — a .056 difference.

Trey Mancini

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Trey Mancini in the 77th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Trey Mancini is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Trey Mancini will possess the home field advantage today. Trey Mancini has been unlucky this year, notching a .276 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .332 — a .056 difference.

Manny Machado Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Machado
third base 3B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Manny Machado will hold the platoon advantage against Drew Smyly today.

Manny Machado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Manny Machado in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Manny Machado will hold the platoon advantage against Drew Smyly today.

Eric Hosmer Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

E. Hosmer
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Eric Hosmer in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Eric Hosmer will have the handedness advantage against Michael Wacha today. Eric Hosmer has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Eric Hosmer will benefit from the home field advantage today.

Eric Hosmer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Eric Hosmer in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Eric Hosmer will have the handedness advantage against Michael Wacha today. Eric Hosmer has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Eric Hosmer will benefit from the home field advantage today.

Nelson Velazquez Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

N. Velazquez
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Nelson Velazquez in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Nelson Velazquez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

Nelson Velazquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

THE BAT X projects Nelson Velazquez in the 83rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Nelson Velazquez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

S. Suzuki
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Seiya Suzuki in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Seiya Suzuki will benefit from the home field advantage today.

Seiya Suzuki

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Seiya Suzuki in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Seiya Suzuki will benefit from the home field advantage today.

Austin Nola Total Hits Props • San Diego

A. Nola
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Austin Nola will have the handedness advantage over Drew Smyly today. Austin Nola has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .236 rate is quite a bit lower than his .263 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Austin Nola has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile with a 1.85 K/BB rate.

Austin Nola

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences in the majors. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Austin Nola will have the handedness advantage over Drew Smyly today. Austin Nola has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .236 rate is quite a bit lower than his .263 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Austin Nola has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile with a 1.85 K/BB rate.

Yan Gomes Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Y. Gomes
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Yan Gomes in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Yan Gomes has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33.8% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Yan Gomes will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

Yan Gomes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Yan Gomes in the 75th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Yan Gomes has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33.8% — 82nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Yan Gomes will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

Jose Azocar Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Azocar
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jose Azocar in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jose Azocar will have the handedness advantage over Drew Smyly today.

Jose Azocar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

THE BAT X projects Jose Azocar in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest elevation in the majors. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense. Jose Azocar will have the handedness advantage over Drew Smyly today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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