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Baltimore @ Detroit props

Comerica Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. Mountcastle
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and this game projects for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 57°. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 5th-best of the day.

Ryan Mountcastle

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Comerica Park has the 2nd-deepest centerfield dimensions among all parks. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and this game projects for the 2nd-lowest temperature of all games on the slate at 57°. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the best of the day for hurlers. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the 5th-best of the day.

Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

G. Henderson
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Gunnar Henderson in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Comerica Park ranks as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the worst of the day. Gunnar Henderson has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .235 rate is quite a bit lower than his .255 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Gunnar Henderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Gunnar Henderson in the 95th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Comerica Park ranks as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the worst of the day. Gunnar Henderson has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .235 rate is quite a bit lower than his .255 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore

C. Mullins
center outfield CF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Cedric Mullins II in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Cedric Mullins II is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Comerica Park ranks as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Cedric Mullins II's 17.3° launch angle is among the highest in the majors: 87th percentile.

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Cedric Mullins II in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Cedric Mullins II is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Comerica Park ranks as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Cedric Mullins II's 17.3° launch angle is among the highest in the majors: 87th percentile.

Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Rutschman
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Adley Rutschman in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Comerica Park grades out as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Adley Rutschman has been hot lately, cruising to a .367 wOBA over the last two weeks.

Adley Rutschman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Adley Rutschman in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Adley Rutschman is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. Comerica Park grades out as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Adley Rutschman has been hot lately, cruising to a .367 wOBA over the last two weeks.

Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Santander
right outfield RF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Anthony Santander is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Comerica Park grades out as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Joey Wentz. Anthony Santander has been unlucky this year, posting a .264 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .345 — a .081 difference.

Anthony Santander

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Anthony Santander is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Comerica Park grades out as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. The switch-hitting Anthony Santander will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Joey Wentz. Anthony Santander has been unlucky this year, posting a .264 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .345 — a .081 difference.

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Frazier
second base 2B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Comerica Park ranks as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Adam Frazier has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .235 mark is quite a bit lower than his .281 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Adam Frazier grades out in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (48.3% rate since the start of last season). Adam Frazier has shown strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile with a 1.47 K/BB rate.

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Comerica Park ranks as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Adam Frazier has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .235 mark is quite a bit lower than his .281 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Adam Frazier grades out in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (48.3% rate since the start of last season). Adam Frazier has shown strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 93rd percentile with a 1.47 K/BB rate.

Jorge Mateo Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. Mateo
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-172
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-172
Projection Rating

Comerica Park grades out as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Jorge Mateo will have the handedness advantage over Joey Wentz today. Jorge Mateo has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .234 figure is quite a bit lower than his .256 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Jorge Mateo ranks in the 76th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (16.9% rate since the start of last season).

Jorge Mateo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Comerica Park grades out as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Jorge Mateo will have the handedness advantage over Joey Wentz today. Jorge Mateo has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .234 figure is quite a bit lower than his .256 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Jorge Mateo ranks in the 76th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (16.9% rate since the start of last season).

Ramon Urias Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. Urias
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Ramon Urias is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Comerica Park grades out as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Ramon Urias will have the handedness advantage over Joey Wentz today.

Ramon Urias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ramon Urias is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Comerica Park grades out as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Ramon Urias will have the handedness advantage over Joey Wentz today.

Ryan McKenna Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. McKenna
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Ryan McKenna in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Comerica Park grades out as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Ryan McKenna will hold the platoon advantage against Joey Wentz today. Ryan McKenna is in the 82nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47% rate since the start of last season).

Ryan McKenna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

THE BAT X projects Ryan McKenna in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Comerica Park grades out as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Ryan McKenna will hold the platoon advantage against Joey Wentz today. Ryan McKenna is in the 82nd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (47% rate since the start of last season).

Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Hays
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

Comerica Park grades out as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Austin Hays will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Wentz today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the worst of the day.

Austin Hays

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Comerica Park grades out as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Austin Hays will hold the platoon advantage over Joey Wentz today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense grades out as the worst of the day.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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