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Cleveland @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-238
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-238
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to less offense. The weatherman calls for the best pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for mound aces. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the 3rd-best of the day. Rafael Devers's footspeed has decreased this year. His 25.47 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.59 ft/sec now.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to less offense. The weatherman calls for the best pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for mound aces. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the 3rd-best of the day. Rafael Devers's footspeed has decreased this year. His 25.47 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 24.59 ft/sec now.

Will Brennan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

W. Brennan
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Will Brennan in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Fenway Park projects as the #3 field in the majors for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Will Brennan will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Pivetta today. Will Brennan hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate today.

Will Brennan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Will Brennan in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Fenway Park projects as the #3 field in the majors for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Will Brennan will hold the platoon advantage over Nick Pivetta today. Will Brennan hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate today.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Triston Casas has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Fenway Park projects as the #3 field in the majors for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage over Shane Bieber today. The Cleveland Guardians don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Triston Casas is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the whole game. Triston Casas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Triston Casas has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Fenway Park projects as the #3 field in the majors for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage over Shane Bieber today. The Cleveland Guardians don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Triston Casas is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the whole game. Triston Casas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Jose Ramirez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

J. Ramirez
third base 3B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jose Ramirez in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park projects as the #3 field in the majors for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Jose Ramirez has a high pull rate on his flyballs (42.5% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate today.

Jose Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Jose Ramirez in the 97th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jose Ramirez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park projects as the #3 field in the majors for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Jose Ramirez has a high pull rate on his flyballs (42.5% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate today.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-225
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-225
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to less offense. The weatherman calls for the best pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for mound aces. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the 3rd-best of the day.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to less offense. The weatherman calls for the best pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for mound aces. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the 3rd-best of the day.

Andres Gimenez Total Hits Props • Cleveland

A. Gimenez
second base 2B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Andres Gimenez in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Fenway Park projects as the #3 field in the majors for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in the league. Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage against Nick Pivetta today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate today.

Andres Gimenez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Andres Gimenez in the 87th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Fenway Park projects as the #3 field in the majors for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in the league. Andres Gimenez will have the handedness advantage against Nick Pivetta today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate today.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Masataka Yoshida as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Fenway Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in the league. Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage over Shane Bieber today. The Cleveland Guardians don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

THE BAT X projects Masataka Yoshida as the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Fenway Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in the league. Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage over Shane Bieber today. The Cleveland Guardians don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game.

Amed Rosario Total Hits Props • Cleveland

A. Rosario
shortstop SS • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-278
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-278
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Amed Rosario as the 18th-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP talent. Amed Rosario is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Amed Rosario hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Amed Rosario has compiled a .282 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 85th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Amed Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

THE BAT X projects Amed Rosario as the 18th-best batter in the game when it comes to his BABIP talent. Amed Rosario is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Amed Rosario hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Amed Rosario has compiled a .282 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 85th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Steven Kwan Total Hits Props • Cleveland

S. Kwan
left outfield LF • Cleveland
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-245
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-245
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to less offense. The weatherman calls for the best pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for mound aces. Steven Kwan's 1.4% Barrel% ranks in the 2nd percentile since the start of last season.

Steven Kwan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to less offense. The weatherman calls for the best pitching weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the strongest of the day for mound aces. Steven Kwan's 1.4% Barrel% ranks in the 2nd percentile since the start of last season.

Myles Straw Total Hits Props • Cleveland

M. Straw
center outfield CF • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Myles Straw in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 venue in MLB for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (48.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Myles Straw has been unlucky with his wOBA this year; his .296 mark is quite a bit lower than his .323 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Myles Straw

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Myles Straw in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 venue in MLB for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Myles Straw has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (48.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Myles Straw has been unlucky with his wOBA this year; his .296 mark is quite a bit lower than his .323 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Mike Zunino Total Hits Props • Cleveland

M. Zunino
catcher C • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 venue in MLB for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Mike Zunino has a high pull rate on his flyballs (40.1% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Mike Zunino has been hot recently, batting his way to a .373 wOBA in the past two weeks' worth of games. Mike Zunino's 93.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs is in the 76th percentile since the start of last season.

Mike Zunino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 venue in MLB for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Mike Zunino has a high pull rate on his flyballs (40.1% — 99th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Mike Zunino has been hot recently, batting his way to a .373 wOBA in the past two weeks' worth of games. Mike Zunino's 93.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs is in the 76th percentile since the start of last season.

Josh Bell Total Hits Props • Cleveland

J. Bell
first base 1B • Cleveland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Josh Bell in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Josh Bell is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Fenway Park projects as the #3 field in the majors for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in the league. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate today.

Josh Bell

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Josh Bell in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Josh Bell is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Fenway Park projects as the #3 field in the majors for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in the league. The Boston Red Sox outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate today.

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Valdez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Fenway Park projects as the #3 field in the majors for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in the league. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Bieber today. The Cleveland Guardians don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the home field advantage today.

Enmanuel Valdez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park projects as the #3 field in the majors for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in the league. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Bieber today. The Cleveland Guardians don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the home field advantage today.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Turner
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Justin Turner in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Justin Turner is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 venue in MLB for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Justin Turner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Justin Turner will benefit from the home field advantage today.

Justin Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Justin Turner in the 86th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Justin Turner is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 venue in MLB for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Justin Turner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Justin Turner will benefit from the home field advantage today.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jarren Duran in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Fenway Park projects as the #3 field in the majors for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Bieber today. The Cleveland Guardians don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game. Jarren Duran hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Jarren Duran in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Fenway Park projects as the #3 field in the majors for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage against Shane Bieber today. The Cleveland Guardians don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game. Jarren Duran hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Hernandez
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 venue in MLB for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Kike Hernandez has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Kike Hernandez will possess the home field advantage today. Kike Hernandez's 16.7° launch angle is among the highest in the game: 84th percentile.

Enrique Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park grades out as the #3 venue in MLB for RHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Kike Hernandez has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Kike Hernandez will possess the home field advantage today. Kike Hernandez's 16.7° launch angle is among the highest in the game: 84th percentile.

Reese McGuire Total Hits Props • Boston

R. McGuire
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Fenway Park projects as the #3 field in the majors for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in the league. Reese McGuire will have the handedness advantage against Shane Bieber today. The Cleveland Guardians don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game. Reese McGuire will hold the home field advantage today.

Reese McGuire

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park projects as the #3 field in the majors for lefty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in the league. Reese McGuire will have the handedness advantage against Shane Bieber today. The Cleveland Guardians don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game. Reese McGuire will hold the home field advantage today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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