MLBN, Bally Sports Network, WPIX

Atlanta @ New York props

Citi Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Vaughn Grissom Total Hits Props • Atlanta

V. Grissom
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Vaughn Grissom in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Vaughn Grissom will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson today. Vaughn Grissom has posted a .343 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 85th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Vaughn Grissom has compiled a .291 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Vaughn Grissom

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Vaughn Grissom in the 94th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Vaughn Grissom will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson today. Vaughn Grissom has posted a .343 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, grading out in the 85th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Vaughn Grissom has compiled a .291 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Ozzie Albies in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against David Peterson. Ozzie Albies has a high pull rate on his flyballs (35.3% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Ozzie Albies tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Ozzie Albies in the 87th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The switch-hitting Ozzie Albies will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against David Peterson. Ozzie Albies has a high pull rate on his flyballs (35.3% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Ozzie Albies tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like David Peterson.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Brett Baty in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Brett Baty has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Brett Baty will hold the home field advantage today. Brett Baty has been hot in recent games, hitting his way to a .374 wOBA in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

THE BAT X projects Brett Baty in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Brett Baty has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Brett Baty will hold the home field advantage today. Brett Baty has been hot in recent games, hitting his way to a .374 wOBA in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Francisco Lindor in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Max Fried. Francisco Lindor has a high pull rate on his flyballs (36.1% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Francisco Lindor will possess the home field advantage today.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Francisco Lindor in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Max Fried. Francisco Lindor has a high pull rate on his flyballs (36.1% — 93rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Francisco Lindor will possess the home field advantage today.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-162
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-162
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Matt Olson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Olson has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Matt Olson has put up a .356 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Matt Olson in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Matt Olson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Olson has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Matt Olson has put up a .356 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the home field advantage today. Brandon Nimmo has been hot recently, putting up a .404 wOBA over the past two weeks.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Brandon Nimmo in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the home field advantage today. Brandon Nimmo has been hot recently, putting up a .404 wOBA over the past two weeks.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Eddie Rosario has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Eddie Rosario has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 19.5° figure is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (89th percentile).

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Eddie Rosario has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Eddie Rosario has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 19.5° figure is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (89th percentile).

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Austin Riley in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Austin Riley is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Austin Riley will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson today. Austin Riley has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .271 mark is quite a bit lower than his .294 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Austin Riley in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Austin Riley is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Austin Riley will hold the platoon advantage over David Peterson today. Austin Riley has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .271 mark is quite a bit lower than his .294 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

S. Marte
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Starling Marte in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Starling Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Starling Marte will hold the platoon advantage over Max Fried today. Starling Marte will hold the home field advantage today.

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Starling Marte in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Starling Marte is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Starling Marte will hold the platoon advantage over Max Fried today. Starling Marte will hold the home field advantage today.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Sean Murphy in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Sean Murphy is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Sean Murphy will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson today. Sean Murphy has a high pull rate on his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Sean Murphy has been hot of late, tallying a .425 wOBA in the last two weeks.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Sean Murphy in the 92nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Sean Murphy is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Sean Murphy will have the handedness advantage against David Peterson today. Sean Murphy has a high pull rate on his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Sean Murphy has been hot of late, tallying a .425 wOBA in the last two weeks.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-238
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-238
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jeff McNeil in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Jeff McNeil will hold the home field advantage today. Jeff McNeil grades out in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (50.3% rate since the start of last season).

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Jeff McNeil in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Jeff McNeil hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Jeff McNeil will hold the home field advantage today. Jeff McNeil grades out in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (50.3% rate since the start of last season).

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • NY Mets

T. Pham
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-152
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-152
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Tommy Pham in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Tommy Pham will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried today. Tommy Pham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Tommy Pham will have the benefit of the home field advantage today. Tommy Pham has been unlucky with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .302 mark is quite a bit lower than his .323 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

THE BAT X projects Tommy Pham in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Tommy Pham will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried today. Tommy Pham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.8% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Tommy Pham will have the benefit of the home field advantage today. Tommy Pham has been unlucky with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .302 mark is quite a bit lower than his .323 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Francisco Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage against Max Fried today. Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage today. Francisco Alvarez's footspeed has increased this season. His 25.31 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.6 ft/sec now.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Francisco Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage against Max Fried today. Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage today. Francisco Alvarez's footspeed has increased this season. His 25.31 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 26.6 ft/sec now.

Mark Canha Total Hits Props • NY Mets

M. Canha
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Mark Canha in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Mark Canha will hold the platoon advantage against Max Fried today. Mark Canha will possess the home field advantage today. Mark Canha has displayed strong plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile with a 2.08 K/BB rate.

Mark Canha

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

THE BAT X projects Mark Canha in the 77th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Mark Canha will hold the platoon advantage against Max Fried today. Mark Canha will possess the home field advantage today. Mark Canha has displayed strong plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 79th percentile with a 2.08 K/BB rate.

Kevin Pillar Total Hits Props • Atlanta

K. Pillar
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-169
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-169
Projection Rating

Kevin Pillar will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Kevin Pillar has a high pull rate on his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

Kevin Pillar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Kevin Pillar will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson today. Kevin Pillar has a high pull rate on his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast