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Cincinnati @ Oakland props

Oakland Coliseum

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Kevin Smith Total Hits Props • Oakland

K. Smith
shortstop SS • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Oakland Coliseum has the 8th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. Kevin Smith will hold the home field advantage today. Kevin Smith has been unlucky with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .232 mark is quite a bit lower than his .257 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Kevin Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Oakland Coliseum has the 8th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. Kevin Smith will hold the home field advantage today. Kevin Smith has been unlucky with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .232 mark is quite a bit lower than his .257 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

T. Stephenson
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Tyler Stephenson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Tyler Stephenson has notched a .340 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 84th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Tyler Stephenson is in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (49.2% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Tyler Stephenson's launch angle since the start of last season (23.6°) is in the 90th percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

Tyler Stephenson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Tyler Stephenson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Tyler Stephenson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Tyler Stephenson has notched a .340 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 84th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Tyler Stephenson is in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize base hits (49.2% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Tyler Stephenson's launch angle since the start of last season (23.6°) is in the 90th percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher rate of hits on balls in play.

Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. India
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jonathan India in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Oakland Coliseum has the 8th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. Jonathan India has posted a .309 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 75th percentile.

Jonathan India

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Jonathan India in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. Oakland Coliseum has the 8th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. Jonathan India has posted a .309 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 75th percentile.

Jordan Diaz Total Hits Props • Oakland

J. Diaz
third base 3B • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jordan Diaz in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Oakland Coliseum has the 8th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. Jordan Diaz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

Jordan Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Jordan Diaz in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Oakland Coliseum has the 8th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. Jordan Diaz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

Ryan Noda Total Hits Props • Oakland

R. Noda
first base 1B • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Ryan Noda is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Ryan Noda will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Cessa today. Ryan Noda will have the benefit of the home field advantage today. Ryan Noda has been hot in recent games, batting his way to a .362 wOBA in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Ryan Noda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ryan Noda is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Ryan Noda will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Cessa today. Ryan Noda will have the benefit of the home field advantage today. Ryan Noda has been hot in recent games, batting his way to a .362 wOBA in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Tony Kemp Total Hits Props • Oakland

T. Kemp
second base 2B • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Tony Kemp will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Cessa today. Tony Kemp will have the benefit of the home field advantage today. Tony Kemp has been unlucky this year, compiling a .228 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .288 — a .060 gap. Tony Kemp has shown good plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 93rd percentile with a 1.46 K/BB rate.

Tony Kemp

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Tony Kemp will hold the platoon advantage against Luis Cessa today. Tony Kemp will have the benefit of the home field advantage today. Tony Kemp has been unlucky this year, compiling a .228 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .288 — a .060 gap. Tony Kemp has shown good plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 93rd percentile with a 1.46 K/BB rate.

Conner Capel Total Hits Props • Oakland

C. Capel
right outfield RF • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-177
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-177
Projection Rating

Conner Capel has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Conner Capel will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Cessa today. Conner Capel will benefit from the home field advantage today.

Conner Capel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Conner Capel has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (75% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Conner Capel will hold the platoon advantage over Luis Cessa today. Conner Capel will benefit from the home field advantage today.

Shea Langeliers Total Hits Props • Oakland

S. Langeliers
catcher C • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Shea Langeliers has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Oakland Coliseum has the 8th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. Shea Langeliers will have the benefit of the home field advantage today. Shea Langeliers is very fast, ranking in the 83rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.26 ft/sec this year.

Shea Langeliers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Shea Langeliers has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (86% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. Oakland Coliseum has the 8th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. Shea Langeliers will have the benefit of the home field advantage today. Shea Langeliers is very fast, ranking in the 83rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.26 ft/sec this year.

Nick Senzel Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

N. Senzel
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Nick Senzel has been unlucky with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .272 figure is quite a bit lower than his .312 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Nick Senzel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nick Senzel has been unlucky with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .272 figure is quite a bit lower than his .312 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Jake Fraley Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. Fraley
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Jake Fraley is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Jake Fraley will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Muller today. Jake Fraley is very fast, ranking in the 75th percentile in Sprint Speed at 27.94 ft/sec this year. Jake Fraley has shown favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile with a 2.13 K/BB rate.

Jake Fraley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jake Fraley is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Jake Fraley will hold the platoon advantage against Kyle Muller today. Jake Fraley is very fast, ranking in the 75th percentile in Sprint Speed at 27.94 ft/sec this year. Jake Fraley has shown favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile with a 2.13 K/BB rate.

Stuart Fairchild Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

S. Fairchild
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Oakland Coliseum has the 8th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. Stuart Fairchild is very fast, checking in at the 91st percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.72 ft/sec this year. Stuart Fairchild has compiled a .340 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile.

Stuart Fairchild

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Oakland Coliseum has the 8th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. Stuart Fairchild is very fast, checking in at the 91st percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.72 ft/sec this year. Stuart Fairchild has compiled a .340 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 89th percentile.

Kevin Newman Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

K. Newman
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Kevin Newman in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Oakland Coliseum has the 8th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. Kevin Newman has posted a .262 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 79th percentile.

Kevin Newman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Kevin Newman in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Oakland Coliseum has the 8th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. Kevin Newman has posted a .262 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 79th percentile.

Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

S. Steer
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Oakland Coliseum has the 8th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. Spencer Steer's footspeed has gotten better this season. His 27.41 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.13 ft/sec now.

Spencer Steer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Oakland Coliseum has the 8th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. Spencer Steer's footspeed has gotten better this season. His 27.41 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.13 ft/sec now.

Aledmys Diaz Total Hits Props • Oakland

A. Diaz
shortstop SS • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Oakland Coliseum has the 8th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. Aledmys Diaz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today. Aledmys Diaz has been unlucky this year, putting up a .197 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .317 — a .120 disparity.

Aledmys Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Oakland Coliseum has the 8th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. Aledmys Diaz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today. Aledmys Diaz has been unlucky this year, putting up a .197 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .317 — a .120 disparity.

Jace Peterson Total Hits Props • Oakland

J. Peterson
second base 2B • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-172
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-172
Projection Rating

Jace Peterson will have the handedness advantage against Luis Cessa today. Jace Peterson will benefit from the home field advantage today. Jace Peterson has been unlucky this year, notching a .266 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .042 deviation.

Jace Peterson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jace Peterson will have the handedness advantage against Luis Cessa today. Jace Peterson will benefit from the home field advantage today. Jace Peterson has been unlucky this year, notching a .266 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .042 deviation.

Esteury Ruiz Total Hits Props • Oakland

E. Ruiz
center outfield CF • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Esteury Ruiz in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Esteury Ruiz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Esteury Ruiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today. Esteury Ruiz is very fast, checking in at the 98th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.77 ft/sec this year.

Esteury Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Esteury Ruiz in the 84th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Esteury Ruiz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Esteury Ruiz will have the benefit of the home field advantage today. Esteury Ruiz is very fast, checking in at the 98th percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.77 ft/sec this year.

Jesus Aguilar Total Hits Props • Oakland

J. Aguilar
first base 1B • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Jesus Aguilar is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Oakland Coliseum has the 8th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. Jesus Aguilar will have the benefit of the home field advantage today. Jesus Aguilar grades out in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.7% rate since the start of last season).

Jesus Aguilar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jesus Aguilar is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Oakland Coliseum has the 8th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. Jesus Aguilar will have the benefit of the home field advantage today. Jesus Aguilar grades out in the 96th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (19.7% rate since the start of last season).

Brent Rooker Total Hits Props • Oakland

B. Rooker
left outfield LF • Oakland
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Brent Rooker is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Oakland Coliseum has the 8th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. Brent Rooker will benefit from the home field advantage today. Brent Rooker has been hot in recent games, cruising to a .459 wOBA in the past two weeks.

Brent Rooker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Brent Rooker is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Oakland Coliseum has the 8th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. Brent Rooker will benefit from the home field advantage today. Brent Rooker has been hot in recent games, cruising to a .459 wOBA in the past two weeks.

Luke Maile Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

L. Maile
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.5
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Oakland Coliseum has the 8th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. Luke Maile has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 17.6° mark is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (82nd percentile).

Luke Maile

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.5
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.5

Oakland Coliseum has the 8th-smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for dingers. Luke Maile has done a favorable job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 17.6° mark is among the highest in the league since the start of last season (82nd percentile).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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