MASN, MLBN, ATTP

Pittsburgh @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rodolfo Castro Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

R. Castro
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Rodolfo Castro's 95.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs ranks in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season. Rodolfo Castro has notched a .328 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 78th percentile.

Rodolfo Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Rodolfo Castro's 95.9-mph exit velocity on flyballs ranks in the 92nd percentile since the start of last season. Rodolfo Castro has notched a .328 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 78th percentile.

Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Suwinski
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Jack Suwinski is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Jack Suwinski will have the handedness advantage over Chad Kuhl today. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jack Suwinski can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jack Suwinski has a high pull rate on his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Jack Suwinski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jack Suwinski is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Jack Suwinski will have the handedness advantage over Chad Kuhl today. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jack Suwinski can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jack Suwinski has a high pull rate on his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

C. Santana
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Carlos Santana is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Carlos Santana has a high pull rate on his flyballs (38.2% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Carlos Santana's 90.6-mph average exit velocity is among the best in the game since the start of last season: 83rd percentile. Carlos Santana has displayed strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile with a 1.42 K/BB rate.

Carlos Santana

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Carlos Santana is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Carlos Santana has a high pull rate on his flyballs (38.2% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Carlos Santana's 90.6-mph average exit velocity is among the best in the game since the start of last season: 83rd percentile. Carlos Santana has displayed strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 94th percentile with a 1.42 K/BB rate.

Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington

A. Call
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

Alex Call is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Alex Call will hold the platoon advantage against Rich Hill today... and even better, Hill has a large platoon split. Alex Call will hold the home field advantage today. Alex Call is very fast, grading out in the 90th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.64 ft/sec this year.

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Alex Call is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Alex Call will hold the platoon advantage against Rich Hill today... and even better, Hill has a large platoon split. Alex Call will hold the home field advantage today. Alex Call is very fast, grading out in the 90th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.64 ft/sec this year.

Jason Delay Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Delay
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Jason Delay has posted a .326 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

Jason Delay

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Jason Delay has posted a .326 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 83rd percentile.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Extreme groundball bats like CJ Abrams tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Rich Hill. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Extreme groundball bats like CJ Abrams tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Rich Hill. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. McCutchen
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Andrew McCutchen in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Andrew McCutchen has been hot lately, hitting his way to a .377 wOBA over the past two weeks. Andrew McCutchen has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .242 figure is quite a bit lower than his .263 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Andrew McCutchen in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Andrew McCutchen has been hot lately, hitting his way to a .377 wOBA over the past two weeks. Andrew McCutchen has been unlucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .242 figure is quite a bit lower than his .263 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Stone Garrett Total Hits Props • Washington

S. Garrett
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-164
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-164
Projection Rating

Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Stone Garrett will hold the platoon advantage against Rich Hill today... and even better, Hill has a large platoon split. Stone Garrett will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

Stone Garrett

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Stone Garrett will hold the platoon advantage against Rich Hill today... and even better, Hill has a large platoon split. Stone Garrett will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Meneses
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Joey Meneses in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Joey Meneses is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Joey Meneses will have the handedness advantage against Rich Hill today... and even better, Hill has a large platoon split. Joey Meneses has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Joey Meneses in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Joey Meneses is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Joey Meneses will have the handedness advantage against Rich Hill today... and even better, Hill has a large platoon split. Joey Meneses has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Connor Joe Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

C. Joe
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Connor Joe has exhibited favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 82nd percentile with a 2 K/BB rate.

Connor Joe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Connor Joe has exhibited favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 82nd percentile with a 2 K/BB rate.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Keibert Ruiz in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Keibert Ruiz will benefit from the home field advantage today. Keibert Ruiz is in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (48.3% rate since the start of last season).

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Keibert Ruiz in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Keibert Ruiz will benefit from the home field advantage today. Keibert Ruiz is in the 93rd percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (48.3% rate since the start of last season).

Michael Chavis Total Hits Props • Washington

M. Chavis
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Michael Chavis will hold the platoon advantage over Rich Hill today... and even better, Hill has a large platoon split. Michael Chavis will hold the home field advantage today.

Michael Chavis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Michael Chavis will hold the platoon advantage over Rich Hill today... and even better, Hill has a large platoon split. Michael Chavis will hold the home field advantage today.

Jeimer Candelario Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Candelario
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Jeimer Candelario is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Rich Hill... and even better, Hill has a large platoon split. Jeimer Candelario will hold the home field advantage today.

Jeimer Candelario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jeimer Candelario is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Rich Hill... and even better, Hill has a large platoon split. Jeimer Candelario will hold the home field advantage today.

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington

L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Lane Thomas is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Lane Thomas will have the handedness advantage over Rich Hill today... and even better, Hill has a large platoon split. Lane Thomas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Lane Thomas is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Lane Thomas will have the handedness advantage over Rich Hill today... and even better, Hill has a large platoon split. Lane Thomas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

Victor Robles Total Hits Props • Washington

V. Robles
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Victor Robles will have the handedness advantage over Rich Hill today... and even better, Hill has a large platoon split. Victor Robles will benefit from the home field advantage today.

Victor Robles

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Humid weather has a small but significant correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game projects for the most humidity of all games on the slate today at 93%. Victor Robles will have the handedness advantage over Rich Hill today... and even better, Hill has a large platoon split. Victor Robles will benefit from the home field advantage today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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