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Cleveland @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and this game projects for the 3rd-lowest temperature of the day at 52°. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for mound aces. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the 5th-best of the day.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more whiffs), and this game projects for the 3rd-lowest temperature of the day at 52°. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for mound aces. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the 5th-best of the day.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Triston Casas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 field in the game for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage against Zach Plesac today. The Cleveland Guardians don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Triston Casas is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game. Triston Casas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Triston Casas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (77% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 field in the game for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage against Zach Plesac today. The Cleveland Guardians don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Triston Casas is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game. Triston Casas hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-275
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-275
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for mound aces. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the 5th-best of the day.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in Major League Baseball, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The weather report calls for the best pitching weather of all games on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 13.8-mph in this game, the 2nd-strongest of the day for mound aces. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the 5th-best of the day.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jarren Duran in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 field in the game for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Zach Plesac today. The Cleveland Guardians don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever all game. Jarren Duran hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Jarren Duran in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 field in the game for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Zach Plesac today. The Cleveland Guardians don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever all game. Jarren Duran hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (41% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Turner
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Justin Turner in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Justin Turner is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Justin Turner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Justin Turner will benefit from the home field advantage today.

Justin Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Justin Turner in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Justin Turner is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park ranks as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Justin Turner hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Justin Turner will benefit from the home field advantage today.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Fenway Park ranks as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the league. Connor Wong will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Fenway Park ranks as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the league. Connor Wong will have the benefit of the home field advantage today.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Hernandez
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

Fenway Park ranks as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Kike Hernandez has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. Kike Hernandez will hold the home field advantage today.

Enrique Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park ranks as the #4 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Kike Hernandez has a high pull rate on his flyballs (33.1% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today. Kike Hernandez will hold the home field advantage today.

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Valdez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

Fenway Park profiles as the #4 field in the game for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest right field fences among all parks. Enmanuel Valdez will have the handedness advantage over Zach Plesac today. The Cleveland Guardians don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game. Enmanuel Valdez will benefit from the home field advantage today.

Enmanuel Valdez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Fenway Park profiles as the #4 field in the game for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest right field fences among all parks. Enmanuel Valdez will have the handedness advantage over Zach Plesac today. The Cleveland Guardians don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game. Enmanuel Valdez will benefit from the home field advantage today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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