NBC Bay Area, MLBN, Bally Sports Network

San Francisco @ San Diego props

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Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Joey Bart Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J. Bart
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-270
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-270
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Joey Bart in the 16th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Joey Bart's footspeed has declined this season. His 27.15 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.72 ft/sec now. Joey Bart has been lucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .224 mark is quite a bit higher than his .195 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Joey Bart has shown bad plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 14th percentile with a 4.67 K/BB rate.

Joey Bart

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Joey Bart in the 16th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Joey Bart's footspeed has declined this season. His 27.15 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 24.72 ft/sec now. Joey Bart has been lucky with his batting average since the start of last season; his .224 mark is quite a bit higher than his .195 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Joey Bart has shown bad plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 14th percentile with a 4.67 K/BB rate.

David Villar Total Hits Props • San Francisco

D. Villar
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects David Villar in the 19th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. David Villar is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today. Yu Darvish will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Villar today. The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the 4th-best of the day.

David Villar

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

THE BAT X projects David Villar in the 19th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. David Villar is projected to hit 8th on the lineup card today. Yu Darvish will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Villar today. The San Diego Padres infield defense profiles as the 4th-best of the day.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

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