NBCSP, NESN

Boston @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Dalton Guthrie Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

D. Guthrie
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Dalton Guthrie will have the handedness advantage over Chris Sale in today's game... and even more favorably, Sale has a huge platoon split. Dalton Guthrie will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. With a Sprint Speed of 29.13 ft/sec since the start of last season, Dalton Guthrie falls in the 93rd percentile and is remarkably swift.

Dalton Guthrie

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Dalton Guthrie will have the handedness advantage over Chris Sale in today's game... and even more favorably, Sale has a huge platoon split. Dalton Guthrie will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. With a Sprint Speed of 29.13 ft/sec since the start of last season, Dalton Guthrie falls in the 93rd percentile and is remarkably swift.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

When it comes to his batting average ability, Alex Verdugo is ranked in the 96th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's game. Alex Verdugo has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When it comes to his batting average ability, Alex Verdugo is ranked in the 96th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Alex Verdugo is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's game. Alex Verdugo has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. A significant increase in Triston Casas's exit velocity on flyballs has been observed in recent games, evidenced by his EV of 98.8-mph in the last two weeks in comparison to his seasonal EV of 96.4-mph. Triston Casas has been unlucky this year, compiling a .272 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .050 deviation.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. A significant increase in Triston Casas's exit velocity on flyballs has been observed in recent games, evidenced by his EV of 98.8-mph in the last two weeks in comparison to his seasonal EV of 96.4-mph. Triston Casas has been unlucky this year, compiling a .272 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .322 — a .050 deviation.

Raimel Tapia Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Tapia
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Estimating Raimel Tapia's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 78th percentile. Raimel Tapia is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Raimel Tapia will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today. Raimel Tapia has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Raimel Tapia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Estimating Raimel Tapia's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 78th percentile. Raimel Tapia is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Raimel Tapia will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today. Raimel Tapia has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

In terms of his batting average skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 14th-best batter in the major leagues by THE BAT X. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Trea Turner will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's game... and even more favorably, Sale has a huge platoon split. Trea Turner will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Trea Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

In terms of his batting average skill, Trea Turner is projected as the 14th-best batter in the major leagues by THE BAT X. Trea Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Trea Turner will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's game... and even more favorably, Sale has a huge platoon split. Trea Turner will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Assessing his batting average ability, THE BAT X predicts Masataka Yoshida to be the 12th-best hitter in MLB. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup. Masataka Yoshida has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Assessing his batting average ability, THE BAT X predicts Masataka Yoshida to be the 12th-best hitter in MLB. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup. Masataka Yoshida has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jarren Duran in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's matchup. Jarren Duran has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Jarren Duran in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's matchup. Jarren Duran has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Josh Harrison Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Harrison
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Josh Harrison will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's game... and the cherry on top, Sale has a huge platoon split. Josh Harrison will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Josh Harrison

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Josh Harrison will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's game... and the cherry on top, Sale has a huge platoon split. Josh Harrison will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

According to THE BAT X, it is projected that Bryce Harper will rank as the 8th-best batter in the majors. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Despite his .403 Expected wOBA (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data), Bryce Harper's actual wOBA mark of .372 has suffered from a string of unfortunate events since the start of last season.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to THE BAT X, it is projected that Bryce Harper will rank as the 8th-best batter in the majors. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Bryce Harper will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Despite his .403 Expected wOBA (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data), Bryce Harper's actual wOBA mark of .372 has suffered from a string of unfortunate events since the start of last season.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Via THE BAT X, it is projected that Rafael Devers will rank as the 17th-best batter in the majors. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Rafael Devers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Via THE BAT X, it is projected that Rafael Devers will rank as the 17th-best batter in the majors. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Rafael Devers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Turner
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-217
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-217
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Justin Turner ranks in the 86th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Justin Turner is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. Justin Turner's launch angle of late (21° in the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 17.1° seasonal angle.

Justin Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Justin Turner ranks in the 86th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Justin Turner is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. Justin Turner's launch angle of late (21° in the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 17.1° seasonal angle.

Christian Arroyo Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Arroyo
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Estimating Christian Arroyo's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 77th percentile. Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. Over the last week's worth of games, Christian Arroyo has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 3.8% to 20%, showcasing sizeable improvements in his performance. In recent times, Christian Arroyo has observed a significant boost in the speed at which the ball exits his bat when he hits it high up in the air; a mere comparison of his average velocity of 102-mph in the past 7 days with his average speed of 88.6-mph for the entire season can confirm this.

Christian Arroyo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Estimating Christian Arroyo's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 77th percentile. Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. Over the last week's worth of games, Christian Arroyo has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 3.8% to 20%, showcasing sizeable improvements in his performance. In recent times, Christian Arroyo has observed a significant boost in the speed at which the ball exits his bat when he hits it high up in the air; a mere comparison of his average velocity of 102-mph in the past 7 days with his average speed of 88.6-mph for the entire season can confirm this.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

When it comes to his batting average talent, Alec Bohm is ranked in the 93rd percentile by THE BAT X projects. Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Alec Bohm will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Sale has a huge platoon split. Alec Bohm will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. His batting average since the start of last season of .278 is quite a bit lower than his .310 Expected Batting Average, which is based on Statcast data interpreted by THE BAT X and suggests Alec Bohm has been unlucky.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his batting average talent, Alec Bohm is ranked in the 93rd percentile by THE BAT X projects. Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Alec Bohm will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Sale has a huge platoon split. Alec Bohm will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. His batting average since the start of last season of .278 is quite a bit lower than his .310 Expected Batting Average, which is based on Statcast data interpreted by THE BAT X and suggests Alec Bohm has been unlucky.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-143
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. Brandon Marsh has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Marsh will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Brandon Marsh has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.2-mph average to last year's 91.9-mph average. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Brandon Marsh's exit velocity has notably risen, with an average of 94 mph compared to his season-long 91.9 mph EV.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his BABIP ability. Brandon Marsh has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Brandon Marsh will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Brandon Marsh has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.2-mph average to last year's 91.9-mph average. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Brandon Marsh's exit velocity has notably risen, with an average of 94 mph compared to his season-long 91.9 mph EV.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bryson Stott will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Bryson Stott has notched a .306 batting average this year, grading out in the 91st percentile.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Bryson Stott will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Bryson Stott has notched a .306 batting average this year, grading out in the 91st percentile.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projections rank Kyle Schwarber as the 16th-best batter in MLB. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Kyle Schwarber will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. In recent games, Kyle Schwarber' exit velocity on flyballs has noticeably increased, figureident from his 102.7-mph average in the last 7 days as compared to his seasonal average of 94.9-mph.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

THE BAT X projections rank Kyle Schwarber as the 16th-best batter in MLB. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Kyle Schwarber will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. In recent games, Kyle Schwarber' exit velocity on flyballs has noticeably increased, figureident from his 102.7-mph average in the last 7 days as compared to his seasonal average of 94.9-mph.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Connor Wong in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Connor Wong pulls a lot of his flyballs (33% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. In the last 14 days, Connor Wong's exit velocity has notably risen, with an figure of 96.6 mph compared to his season-long 92.1 mph EV.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

THE BAT X projects Connor Wong in the 80th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Connor Wong pulls a lot of his flyballs (33% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. In the last 14 days, Connor Wong's exit velocity has notably risen, with an figure of 96.6 mph compared to his season-long 92.1 mph EV.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

E. Sosa
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Assessing his BABIP ability, THE BAT X rates Edmundo Sosa in the 83rd percentile. Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Edmundo Sosa will have the handedness advantage over Chris Sale today... and the cherry on top, Sale has a huge platoon split. Edmundo Sosa will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. With his Barrel% having increased from 5.5% in the previous season to 16% this season, Edmundo Sosa has shown significant improvements.

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Assessing his BABIP ability, THE BAT X rates Edmundo Sosa in the 83rd percentile. Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Edmundo Sosa will have the handedness advantage over Chris Sale today... and the cherry on top, Sale has a huge platoon split. Edmundo Sosa will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. With his Barrel% having increased from 5.5% in the previous season to 16% this season, Edmundo Sosa has shown significant improvements.

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Valdez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Enmanuel Valdez has shown a 16.7% Barrel% (a reliable stat for measuring power) and has been performing exceptionally well. Lately, Enmanuel Valdez's exit velocity stats have been impressive with an average of 95.8-mph on his flyballs withover the past 14 days.

Enmanuel Valdez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Home runs are generally more common at Citizens Bank Park due to its fences being the shallowest among all parks. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Enmanuel Valdez has shown a 16.7% Barrel% (a reliable stat for measuring power) and has been performing exceptionally well. Lately, Enmanuel Valdez's exit velocity stats have been impressive with an average of 95.8-mph on his flyballs withover the past 14 days.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Hernandez
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Kike Hernandez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

Enrique Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Kike Hernandez pulls a lot of his flyballs (33% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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