Peacock, NBC

Baltimore @ Atlanta props

Truist Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

G. Henderson
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

In terms of his BABIP talent, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Although Gunnar Henderson has mostly batted in the back-half of the order this season, appearing in that position 58% of the time, he is slated to bat 4th in this particular matchup. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup. Lately, Gunnar Henderson' exit velocity on flyballs has notably increased, as EVidenced by his average of 97.4-mph in the last 7 days, compared to his seasonal average of 94.4-mph.

Gunnar Henderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In terms of his BABIP talent, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Although Gunnar Henderson has mostly batted in the back-half of the order this season, appearing in that position 58% of the time, he is slated to bat 4th in this particular matchup. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. Gunnar Henderson will hold the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup. Lately, Gunnar Henderson' exit velocity on flyballs has notably increased, as EVidenced by his average of 97.4-mph in the last 7 days, compared to his seasonal average of 94.4-mph.

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore

C. Mullins
center outfield CF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Cedric Mullins II in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Cedric Mullins II is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. In the majors, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. Cedric Mullins II will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Elder in today's game.

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Cedric Mullins II in the 79th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Cedric Mullins II is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. In the majors, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. Cedric Mullins II will have the handedness advantage over Bryce Elder in today's game.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Marcell Ozuna will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Recently, Marcell Ozuna's exit velocity has notably increased, evident in his 96.7-mph average in the past week's games compared to his seasonal 90.9-mph EV. Marcell Ozuna has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .215 mark is a good deal lower than his .238 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Marcell Ozuna will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Recently, Marcell Ozuna's exit velocity has notably increased, evident in his 96.7-mph average in the past week's games compared to his seasonal 90.9-mph EV. Marcell Ozuna has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .215 mark is a good deal lower than his .238 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Jorge Mateo Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. Mateo
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. Comparing his average of 91.2 mph this season to last year's average of 94.2 mph, Jorge Mateo has exhibited a noteworthy increase in his exit velocity on flyballs.

Jorge Mateo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. Comparing his average of 91.2 mph this season to last year's average of 94.2 mph, Jorge Mateo has exhibited a noteworthy increase in his exit velocity on flyballs.

Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Rutschman
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Adley Rutschman in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. In the majors, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. Compared to last year, Adley Rutschman has improved his capability to hit the ball within the HR-optimizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, as his percentage has increased from 13.7% to 26.5%.

Adley Rutschman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Adley Rutschman in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Adley Rutschman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. In the majors, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. Compared to last year, Adley Rutschman has improved his capability to hit the ball within the HR-optimizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, as his percentage has increased from 13.7% to 26.5%.

Vaughn Grissom Total Hits Props • Atlanta

V. Grissom
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

When it comes to his batting average skill, Vaughn Grissom is ranked in the 92nd percentile by THE BAT X projects. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. Vaughn Grissom will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Vaughn Grissom has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 6% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week's worth of games. Recently, Vaughn Grissom has improved his capacity to strike the ball at an optimal launch angle for BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his percentage rising from 48% during the season to 70% in the past week.

Vaughn Grissom

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his batting average skill, Vaughn Grissom is ranked in the 92nd percentile by THE BAT X projects. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. Vaughn Grissom will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Vaughn Grissom has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 6% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week's worth of games. Recently, Vaughn Grissom has improved his capacity to strike the ball at an optimal launch angle for BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his percentage rising from 48% during the season to 70% in the past week.

Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Santander
right outfield RF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

Anthony Santander is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. Extreme groundball bats like Anthony Santander usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder. Over the last week's worth of games, Anthony Santander has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 9.9% to 21.4%, showcasing significant improvements in his performance.

Anthony Santander

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Anthony Santander is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. In the majors, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. Extreme groundball bats like Anthony Santander usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bryce Elder. Over the last week's worth of games, Anthony Santander has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 9.9% to 21.4%, showcasing significant improvements in his performance.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Austin Riley in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Austin Riley will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Austin Riley in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Austin Riley will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

When it comes to his batting average skill, Ozzie Albies is ranked in the 91st percentile by THE BAT X projects. Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. In the majors, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate today.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his batting average skill, Ozzie Albies is ranked in the 91st percentile by THE BAT X projects. Ozzie Albies is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. In the majors, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate today.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Sean Murphy is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. Sean Murphy hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Sean Murphy will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Sean Murphy ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Sean Murphy is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. Sean Murphy hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Sean Murphy will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

According to THE BAT X, Matt Olson is predicted to be the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Matt Olson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. In the majors, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Wells in today's matchup.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to THE BAT X, Matt Olson is predicted to be the 20th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Matt Olson is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. In the majors, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Wells in today's matchup.

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Frazier
second base 2B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Adam Frazier in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. Adam Frazier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup. As lately, Adam Frazier's skill in hitting the ball at an angle that maximizes his BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°) has improved, with a recent increase from 47.4% on the season to 75% over the last week. Despite having an Expected Batting Average of .280 based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data, Adam Frazier's batting average since the start of last season has been quite unlucky, currently standing at just .239.

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Adam Frazier in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. Adam Frazier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryce Elder in today's matchup. As lately, Adam Frazier's skill in hitting the ball at an angle that maximizes his BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°) has improved, with a recent increase from 47.4% on the season to 75% over the last week. Despite having an Expected Batting Average of .280 based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data, Adam Frazier's batting average since the start of last season has been quite unlucky, currently standing at just .239.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Eddie Rosario is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. In the majors, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. Eddie Rosario will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Wells in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate today.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Eddie Rosario is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. In the majors, Truist Park's centerfield dimensions are the 5th-shallowest. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. Eddie Rosario will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Wells in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst on the slate today.

Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Hays
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-238
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-238
Projection Rating

Austin Hays is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. Austin Hays has made notable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 5.3% rate last season to 16.9% this year. Compared to last season, Austin Hays has improved his capability to hit the ball within the HR-maximizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, as his percentage has increased from 16.1% to 21.1%.

Austin Hays

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Austin Hays is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. Austin Hays has made notable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 5.3% rate last season to 16.9% this year. Compared to last season, Austin Hays has improved his capability to hit the ball within the HR-maximizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, as his percentage has increased from 16.1% to 21.1%.

Ramon Urias Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. Urias
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. In recent games, Ramon Urias' exit velocity on flyballs has noticeably improvementd, EVident from his 100.1-mph average in the last 7 days as compared to his seasonal average of 92.8-mph. Ramon Urias's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 41.4% to 53.2%.

Ramon Urias

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. In recent games, Ramon Urias' exit velocity on flyballs has noticeably improvementd, EVident from his 100.1-mph average in the last 7 days as compared to his seasonal average of 92.8-mph. Ramon Urias's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 41.4% to 53.2%.

James McCann Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. McCann
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. James McCann hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. James McCann has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.7-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 94.1-mph. His seasonal mark has been 16.3° but James McCann has recently recorded a launch angle of 21.5° in the last week, which is notably higher. James McCann's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 13.2% to 26.3%.

James McCann

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, Truist Park typically results in more offense due to its high altitude. James McCann hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences today. James McCann has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.7-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 94.1-mph. His seasonal mark has been 16.3° but James McCann has recently recorded a launch angle of 21.5° in the last week, which is notably higher. James McCann's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 13.2% to 26.3%.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast