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Boston @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-230
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-230
Projection Rating

THE BAT projection system ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 21th MLB venue for lefty BABIP. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Alex Verdugo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Over the past 14 days, Alex Verdugo has had a launch angle of 0.1° which is significantly lower than his seasonal mark of 7.4°. Although THE BAT X predicted Alex Verdugo's true talent level to be .337, he has been fortunate this year by achieving a .392 wOBA, resulting in a difference of .055 between the two.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT projection system ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 21th MLB venue for lefty BABIP. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Alex Verdugo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Over the past 14 days, Alex Verdugo has had a launch angle of 0.1° which is significantly lower than his seasonal mark of 7.4°. Although THE BAT X predicted Alex Verdugo's true talent level to be .337, he has been fortunate this year by achieving a .392 wOBA, resulting in a difference of .055 between the two.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-235
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-235
Projection Rating

THE BAT projection system ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 21th MLB venue for lefty BABIP. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Bryson Stott's launch angle this year (7.5°) is significantly lower than his 13.2° figure last season. In terms of his batting average this year, Bryson Stott's .295 figure has been significantly higher than his .265 Expected Batting Average (which is based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data), indicating that he has been fortunate.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT projection system ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 21th MLB venue for lefty BABIP. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Bryson Stott's launch angle this year (7.5°) is significantly lower than his 13.2° figure last season. In terms of his batting average this year, Bryson Stott's .295 figure has been significantly higher than his .265 Expected Batting Average (which is based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data), indicating that he has been fortunate.

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT projection system ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 21th MLB venue for lefty BABIP. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Masataka Yoshida will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Although THE BAT X predicted Masataka Yoshida's true talent level to be .370, he has been fortunate this year by achieving a .405 wOBA, resulting in a difference of .035 between the two.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT projection system ranks Citizens Bank Park as the 21th MLB venue for lefty BABIP. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Masataka Yoshida will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Although THE BAT X predicted Masataka Yoshida's true talent level to be .370, he has been fortunate this year by achieving a .405 wOBA, resulting in a difference of .035 between the two.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP ability. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Tanner Houck in today's game... and even more favorably, Houck has a large platoon split. Brandon Marsh has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the best hitter in MLB when estimating his BABIP ability. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Tanner Houck in today's game... and even more favorably, Houck has a large platoon split. Brandon Marsh has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Turner
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Justin Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

E. Sosa
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Edmundo Sosa in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Edmundo Sosa in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projections rank Rafael Devers as the 18th-best hitter in MLB. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projections rank Rafael Devers as the 18th-best hitter in MLB. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Connor Wong pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Connor Wong in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Connor Wong pulls many of his flyballs (33% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Clemens
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-152
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-152
Projection Rating

Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Kody Clemens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-152
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-152
Projection Rating

Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage over Taijuan Walker today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Alec Bohm in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Alec Bohm in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

According to THE BAT X, Kyle Schwarber is predicted to be the 17th-best hitter in the game. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to THE BAT X, Kyle Schwarber is predicted to be the 17th-best hitter in the game. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters.

Christian Arroyo Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Arroyo
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Christian Arroyo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 4th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Raimel Tapia Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Tapia
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Raimel Tapia in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Raimel Tapia is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Raimel Tapia will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup.

Raimel Tapia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Raimel Tapia in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Raimel Tapia is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Raimel Tapia will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jarren Duran in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Jarren Duran in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Hernandez
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Kike Hernandez pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.9% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Enrique Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Kike Hernandez pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.9% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Valdez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-170
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-170
Projection Rating

Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Enmanuel Valdez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Having the shallowest fences among all parks, Citizens Bank Park is usually conducive to dingers. The weather report calls for the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 6th-most-favorable of the day for hitters. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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