MSN2, NBC Bay Area

Washington @ San Francisco props

Oracle Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Meneses
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

One of the lowest among all parks, Oracle Park's altitude is close to sea-level, resulting in reduced offensive productivity. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and this game projects for the 3rd-lowest temperature of the day at 58°. Logan Webb will hold the platoon advantage against Joey Meneses today. Joey Meneses will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. In comparison to last year, Joey Meneses's capacity to strike the ball at a launch angle that maximizes HR (between -4° to 26°) has dropped to 8.2%, a decline from 19.2%.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

One of the lowest among all parks, Oracle Park's altitude is close to sea-level, resulting in reduced offensive productivity. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and this game projects for the 3rd-lowest temperature of the day at 58°. Logan Webb will hold the platoon advantage against Joey Meneses today. Joey Meneses will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. In comparison to last year, Joey Meneses's capacity to strike the ball at a launch angle that maximizes HR (between -4° to 26°) has dropped to 8.2%, a decline from 19.2%.

Mitch Haniger Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Haniger
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

One of the lowest among all parks, Oracle Park's altitude is close to sea-level, resulting in reduced offensive productivity. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and this game projects for the 3rd-lowest temperature of the day at 58°. In the past week's worth of games, Mitch Haniger's average launch angle on the balls with his highest exit velocity has decreased considerably to -1.5°, compared to his seasonal mark of 9.1°. Mitch Haniger's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 41.6% to 34.6%. In terms of his batting average since the start of last season, Mitch Haniger's .239 BA has been significantly higher than his .225 Expected Batting Average (which is based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data), indicating that he has been fortunate.

Mitch Haniger

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

One of the lowest among all parks, Oracle Park's altitude is close to sea-level, resulting in reduced offensive productivity. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and this game projects for the 3rd-lowest temperature of the day at 58°. In the past week's worth of games, Mitch Haniger's average launch angle on the balls with his highest exit velocity has decreased considerably to -1.5°, compared to his seasonal mark of 9.1°. Mitch Haniger's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 41.6% to 34.6%. In terms of his batting average since the start of last season, Mitch Haniger's .239 BA has been significantly higher than his .225 Expected Batting Average (which is based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data), indicating that he has been fortunate.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Keibert Ruiz's BABIP ability is projected in the 13th percentile by THE BAT X assessment. One of the lowest among all parks, Oracle Park's altitude is close to sea-level, resulting in reduced offensive productivity. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and this game projects for the 3rd-lowest temperature of the day at 58°. Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Keibert Ruiz's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (7.1°) is considerably lower than his 14.3° mark last season.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Keibert Ruiz's BABIP ability is projected in the 13th percentile by THE BAT X assessment. One of the lowest among all parks, Oracle Park's altitude is close to sea-level, resulting in reduced offensive productivity. Cold weather is strongly correlated with less offense (and more strikeouts), and this game projects for the 3rd-lowest temperature of the day at 58°. Keibert Ruiz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Keibert Ruiz's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this season (7.1°) is considerably lower than his 14.3° mark last season.

Joc Pederson Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J. Pederson
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Joc Pederson in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Joc Pederson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. The dimensions of the right field in Oracle Park are the 2nd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14.9-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters.

Joc Pederson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Joc Pederson in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Joc Pederson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. The dimensions of the right field in Oracle Park are the 2nd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14.9-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters.

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington

L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

For 55% of the time this year, Lane Thomas has mainly batted in the back-half of the lineup, but for this matchup, he is listed in the 1st spot in the lineup. As per THE BAT projection system, field is ranked as the 3nd field among all major fields for the righty BABIP. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters. Lane Thomas has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 93.2-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.4°, Lane Thomas has a significantly improved average launch angle of 20.6° on the balls with the highest exit velocity in the past two weeks.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

For 55% of the time this year, Lane Thomas has mainly batted in the back-half of the lineup, but for this matchup, he is listed in the 1st spot in the lineup. As per THE BAT projection system, field is ranked as the 3nd field among all major fields for the righty BABIP. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters. Lane Thomas has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.8-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal figure of 93.2-mph. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.4°, Lane Thomas has a significantly improved average launch angle of 20.6° on the balls with the highest exit velocity in the past two weeks.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington

D. Smith
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-186
Projection Rating

Oracle Park grades out as the #3 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. The dimensions of the right field in Oracle Park are the 2nd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage over Logan Webb in today's game. As in recent games, Dominic Smith's skill in hitting the ball at an angle that maximizes his BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°) has improved, with a recent increase from 44.8% on the season to 64.7% over the last week.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Oracle Park grades out as the #3 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. The dimensions of the right field in Oracle Park are the 2nd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters. Dominic Smith will have the handedness advantage over Logan Webb in today's game. As in recent games, Dominic Smith's skill in hitting the ball at an angle that maximizes his BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°) has improved, with a recent increase from 44.8% on the season to 64.7% over the last week.

Casey Schmitt Total Hits Props • San Francisco

C. Schmitt
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Projection Rating

As per THE BAT projection system, field is ranked as the 3nd field among all major fields for the righty BABIP. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters. Casey Schmitt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Corbin has a large platoon split. Casey Schmitt will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Casey Schmitt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As per THE BAT projection system, field is ranked as the 3nd field among all major fields for the righty BABIP. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters. Casey Schmitt will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Corbin has a large platoon split. Casey Schmitt will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Michael Conforto Total Hits Props • San Francisco

M. Conforto
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Assessing his overall offensive capability, Michael Conforto scores in the 84th percentile in THE BAT X projects. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. The dimensions of the right field in Oracle Park are the 2nd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14.9-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Michael Conforto is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever all game.

Michael Conforto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Assessing his overall offensive capability, Michael Conforto scores in the 84th percentile in THE BAT X projects. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. The dimensions of the right field in Oracle Park are the 2nd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14.9-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Michael Conforto is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever all game.

Wilmer Flores Total Hits Props • San Francisco

W. Flores
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. As per THE BAT projection system, field is ranked as the 3nd field among all major fields for the righty BABIP. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters. Jake Irvin will hold the platoon advantage against Wilmer Flores in today's matchup. Wilmer Flores will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Wilmer Flores

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. As per THE BAT projection system, field is ranked as the 3nd field among all major fields for the righty BABIP. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters. Jake Irvin will hold the platoon advantage against Wilmer Flores in today's matchup. Wilmer Flores will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington

A. Call
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

As per THE BAT projection system, field is ranked as the 3nd field among all major fields for the righty BABIP. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters. Over the last week's worth of games, Alex Call has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 6% to 11.8%, showcasing big strides in his performance. Over the last week, Alex Call has had a launch angle of 16.2°, significantly higher than his seasonal mark of 10.6°. Alex Call has exhibited favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 89th percentile with a 1.81 K/BB rate.

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As per THE BAT projection system, field is ranked as the 3nd field among all major fields for the righty BABIP. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters. Over the last week's worth of games, Alex Call has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 6% to 11.8%, showcasing big strides in his performance. Over the last week, Alex Call has had a launch angle of 16.2°, significantly higher than his seasonal mark of 10.6°. Alex Call has exhibited favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 89th percentile with a 1.81 K/BB rate.

Joey Bart Total Hits Props • San Francisco

J. Bart
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

As per THE BAT projection system, field is ranked as the 3nd field among all major fields for the righty BABIP. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters. Jake Irvin will hold the platoon advantage against Joey Bart in today's matchup. Joey Bart will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the last week's worth of games, Joey Bart has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 8.8% to 20%, showcasing sizeable gains in his performance.

Joey Bart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As per THE BAT projection system, field is ranked as the 3nd field among all major fields for the righty BABIP. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters. Jake Irvin will hold the platoon advantage against Joey Bart in today's matchup. Joey Bart will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Over the last week's worth of games, Joey Bart has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 8.8% to 20%, showcasing sizeable gains in his performance.

David Villar Total Hits Props • San Francisco

D. Villar
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

As per THE BAT projection system, field is ranked as the 3nd field among all major fields for the righty BABIP. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters. Jake Irvin will have the handedness advantage against David Villar today. David Villar will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .313, David Villar has had a stroke of misfortune this year, only putting up a .254 wOBA, resulting in a deviation of .059.

David Villar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As per THE BAT projection system, field is ranked as the 3nd field among all major fields for the righty BABIP. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters. Jake Irvin will have the handedness advantage against David Villar today. David Villar will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .313, David Villar has had a stroke of misfortune this year, only putting up a .254 wOBA, resulting in a deviation of .059.

Jeimer Candelario Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Candelario
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters. Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Comparing his seasonal EV of 91.7-mph to his 93.9-mph EV in the past two weeks' worth of games, it is clear that Jeimer Candelario has made significant progress in his exit velocity on flyballs.

Jeimer Candelario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters. Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today. Comparing his seasonal EV of 91.7-mph to his 93.9-mph EV in the past two weeks' worth of games, it is clear that Jeimer Candelario has made significant progress in his exit velocity on flyballs.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Oracle Park grades out as the #3 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. The dimensions of the right field in Oracle Park are the 2nd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's game. Compared to his launch angle of 6.6° last season, CJ Abrams has significantly improved with a angle of 10.9° this season.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Oracle Park grades out as the #3 field in the game for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. The dimensions of the right field in Oracle Park are the 2nd-shallowest among all major league stadiums. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 13.8-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters. CJ Abrams will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's game. Compared to his launch angle of 6.6° last season, CJ Abrams has significantly improved with a angle of 10.9° this season.

Stone Garrett Total Hits Props • Washington

S. Garrett
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

As per THE BAT projection system, field is ranked as the 3nd field among all major fields for the righty BABIP. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14.9-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters. Stone Garrett has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.7-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 92.4-mph mark. Ranking in the 88th percentile, Stone Garrett has put up a .276 batting average since the start of last season.

Stone Garrett

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As per THE BAT projection system, field is ranked as the 3nd field among all major fields for the righty BABIP. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 14.9-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for batters. Stone Garrett has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.7-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 92.4-mph mark. Ranking in the 88th percentile, Stone Garrett has put up a .276 batting average since the start of last season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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