BSOHIO, SNY

New York @ Cincinnati props

Great American Ball Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Assessing his BABIP skill, THE BAT X rates Brett Baty in the 91st percentile. This season, Brett Baty has mainly batted in the back-half of the order (88% of the time), however, it's expected that he will bat 5th in the lineup for this game. According to THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park is ranked as the 3th venue in Major League Baseball in terms of left-handed batting average. Brett Baty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene in today's game. Brett Baty has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Assessing his BABIP skill, THE BAT X rates Brett Baty in the 91st percentile. This season, Brett Baty has mainly batted in the back-half of the order (88% of the time), however, it's expected that he will bat 5th in the lineup for this game. According to THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park is ranked as the 3th venue in Major League Baseball in terms of left-handed batting average. Brett Baty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene in today's game. Brett Baty has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

When it comes to his batting average ability, Brandon Nimmo is ranked in the 96th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. According to THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park is ranked as the 3th venue in Major League Baseball in terms of left-handed batting average. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

When it comes to his batting average ability, Brandon Nimmo is ranked in the 96th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. According to THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park is ranked as the 3th venue in Major League Baseball in terms of left-handed batting average. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Daniel Vogelbach Total Hits Props • NY Mets

D. Vogelbach
designated hitter DH • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Daniel Vogelbach ranks in the 85th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. According to THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park is ranked as the 3th venue in Major League Baseball in terms of left-handed batting average. The fences of the right field in Great American Ball Park are the 8th-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Daniel Vogelbach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene in today's matchup. Comparing his seasonal 90.5-mph EV to his 97.3-mph average in the past week's games, Daniel Vogelbach's exit velocity has significantly gaind in recent times.

Daniel Vogelbach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Daniel Vogelbach ranks in the 85th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. According to THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park is ranked as the 3th venue in Major League Baseball in terms of left-handed batting average. The fences of the right field in Great American Ball Park are the 8th-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Daniel Vogelbach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Greene in today's matchup. Comparing his seasonal 90.5-mph EV to his 97.3-mph average in the past week's games, Daniel Vogelbach's exit velocity has significantly gaind in recent times.

Tomas Nido Total Hits Props • NY Mets

T. Nido
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Per THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park ranks as the 3th field in the league for right-handed batting average. The temperature and humidity make the weather report predict that it will be the 5th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today. Batters such as Tomas Nido with a tendency for groundball hits are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hunter Greene who specialize in flyballs. Tomas Nido has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .221 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .260 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Tomas Nido

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Per THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park ranks as the 3th field in the league for right-handed batting average. The temperature and humidity make the weather report predict that it will be the 5th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today. Batters such as Tomas Nido with a tendency for groundball hits are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Hunter Greene who specialize in flyballs. Tomas Nido has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .221 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .260 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Henry Ramos Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

H. Ramos
right outfield RF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

Henry Ramos is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup. According to THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park is ranked as the 3th venue in Major League Baseball in terms of left-handed batting average. The fences of the right field in Great American Ball Park are the 8th-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Henry Ramos's launch angle of late (25.5° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 15.4° seasonal figure.

Henry Ramos

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Henry Ramos is projected to hit 8th in the lineup in this matchup. According to THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park is ranked as the 3th venue in Major League Baseball in terms of left-handed batting average. The fences of the right field in Great American Ball Park are the 8th-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Henry Ramos's launch angle of late (25.5° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 15.4° seasonal figure.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-208
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Francisco Lindor in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. According to THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park is ranked as the 3th venue in Major League Baseball in terms of left-handed batting average. Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Comparing his seasonal 91.1-mph EV to his 96.1-mph average in the past week's games, Francisco Lindor's exit velocity has significantly increased in recent times.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Francisco Lindor in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. According to THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park is ranked as the 3th venue in Major League Baseball in terms of left-handed batting average. Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Comparing his seasonal 91.1-mph EV to his 96.1-mph average in the past week's games, Francisco Lindor's exit velocity has significantly increased in recent times.

Wil Myers Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

W. Myers
right outfield RF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Wil Myers in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Per THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park ranks as the 3th field in the league for right-handed batting average. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. His seasonal angle has been 17.1° but Wil Myers has of late recorded a launch angle of 45.5° over the past week, which is notably higher.

Wil Myers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Wil Myers in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Per THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park ranks as the 3th field in the league for right-handed batting average. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. His seasonal angle has been 17.1° but Wil Myers has of late recorded a launch angle of 45.5° over the past week, which is notably higher.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

Jeff McNeil's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 89.5-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 84-mph in the past 7 days. In the past week, Jeff McNeil's launch angle has been notably reduced to 4°, which is significantly worse than his seasonal average of 9.3°. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 16.7% to 9.2%. Despite THE BAT X estimating Jeff McNeil's true talent level to be .332, a discrepancy of .017, he has been lucky this year with a compiling of .349 wOBA.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Jeff McNeil's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 89.5-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 84-mph in the past 7 days. In the past week, Jeff McNeil's launch angle has been notably reduced to 4°, which is significantly worse than his seasonal average of 9.3°. Jeff McNeil's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last season to this one, falling from 16.7% to 9.2%. Despite THE BAT X estimating Jeff McNeil's true talent level to be .332, a discrepancy of .017, he has been lucky this year with a compiling of .349 wOBA.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

S. Marte
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Starling Marte in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Per THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park ranks as the 3th field in the league for right-handed batting average. Starling Marte has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Comparing to his seasonal angle of 10.7°, Starling Marte has recorded a launch angle of 47.8° in the last week's worth of games, showcasing a significant increase. Despite his .320 Expected wOBA (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data), Starling Marte's actual wOBA mark of .267 has suffered from a string of unfortunate events this year.

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Starling Marte in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Per THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park ranks as the 3th field in the league for right-handed batting average. Starling Marte has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Comparing to his seasonal angle of 10.7°, Starling Marte has recorded a launch angle of 47.8° in the last week's worth of games, showcasing a significant increase. Despite his .320 Expected wOBA (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data), Starling Marte's actual wOBA mark of .267 has suffered from a string of unfortunate events this year.

Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. India
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

In terms of his overall offensive captalent, Jonathan India ranks in the 85th percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Per THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park ranks as the 3th field in the league for right-handed batting average. Jonathan India pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.3% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Jonathan India has remarkably improved his Barrel% by elevating his seasonal rate from 5.8% to 25%.

Jonathan India

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

In terms of his overall offensive captalent, Jonathan India ranks in the 85th percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Per THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park ranks as the 3th field in the league for right-handed batting average. Jonathan India pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.3% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Jonathan India has remarkably improved his Barrel% by elevating his seasonal rate from 5.8% to 25%.

Jake Fraley Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

J. Fraley
left outfield LF • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-149
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-149
Projection Rating

Jake Fraley is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. According to THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park is ranked as the 3th venue in Major League Baseball in terms of left-handed batting average. The fences of the right field in Great American Ball Park are the 8th-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Jake Fraley will have the handedness advantage against Justin Verlander in today's game. This year, Jake Fraley has significantly improved his launch angle to 16.6° compared to his 13.1° in the previous year.

Jake Fraley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jake Fraley is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. According to THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park is ranked as the 3th venue in Major League Baseball in terms of left-handed batting average. The fences of the right field in Great American Ball Park are the 8th-shallowest among all major league stadiums. Jake Fraley will have the handedness advantage against Justin Verlander in today's game. This year, Jake Fraley has significantly improved his launch angle to 16.6° compared to his 13.1° in the previous year.

Tyler Stephenson Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

T. Stephenson
catcher C • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Assessing his BABIP ability, THE BAT X rates Tyler Stephenson in the 97th percentile. Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Per THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park ranks as the 3th field in the league for right-handed batting average. Tyler Stephenson has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Tyler Stephenson has compiled a .272 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 81st percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Tyler Stephenson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Assessing his BABIP ability, THE BAT X rates Tyler Stephenson in the 97th percentile. Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Per THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park ranks as the 3th field in the league for right-handed batting average. Tyler Stephenson has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Tyler Stephenson has compiled a .272 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 81st percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Nick Senzel Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

N. Senzel
third base 3B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Nick Senzel in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Per THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park ranks as the 3th field in the league for right-handed batting average. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Of late, Nick Senzel' exit velocity on flyballs has noticeably increased, averageident from his 88.7-mph average in the last 7 days as compared to his seasonal average of 85.6-mph.

Nick Senzel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Nick Senzel in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Per THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park ranks as the 3th field in the league for right-handed batting average. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Of late, Nick Senzel' exit velocity on flyballs has noticeably increased, averageident from his 88.7-mph average in the last 7 days as compared to his seasonal average of 85.6-mph.

Spencer Steer Total Hits Props • Cincinnati

S. Steer
second base 2B • Cincinnati
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Per THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park ranks as the 3th field in the league for right-handed batting average. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Spencer Steer's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 43.2% on the season to 66.7% over the past week.

Spencer Steer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Per THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park ranks as the 3th field in the league for right-handed batting average. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. Spencer Steer's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 43.2% on the season to 66.7% over the past week.

Mark Canha Total Hits Props • NY Mets

M. Canha
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Mark Canha ranks in the 79th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Per THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park ranks as the 3th field in the league for right-handed batting average. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The temperature and humidity make the weather report predict that it will be the 5th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today. The percentage of Mark Canha's ability to hit the ball at an optimal launch angle for home runs (between -4° and 26°) has increased from 14.6% to 22.7% between last season and this season.

Mark Canha

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Mark Canha ranks in the 79th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Per THE BAT projection system, Great American Ball Park ranks as the 3th field in the league for right-handed batting average. In the majors, Great American Ball Park's left field dimensions are the 6th-shallowest. The temperature and humidity make the weather report predict that it will be the 5th-best hitting weather of all games on the slate today. The percentage of Mark Canha's ability to hit the ball at an optimal launch angle for home runs (between -4° and 26°) has increased from 14.6% to 22.7% between last season and this season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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