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Atlanta @ Toronto props

Rogers Centre

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Toronto

W. Merrifield
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

When estimating his batting average ability, Whit Merrifield is ranked in the 89th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Whit Merrifield is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Whit Merrifield will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. In his recent games, Whit Merrifield's exit velocity on flyballs has significantly increased, evident by his 94.1-mph figure over the past fortnight, a notable improvement from his seasonal figure of 89.6-mph.

Whit Merrifield

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his batting average ability, Whit Merrifield is ranked in the 89th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Whit Merrifield is projected to bat 8th in the batting order today. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Whit Merrifield will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. In his recent games, Whit Merrifield's exit velocity on flyballs has significantly increased, evident by his 94.1-mph figure over the past fortnight, a notable improvement from his seasonal figure of 89.6-mph.

Danny Jansen Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Jansen
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Danny Jansen will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. There is a significant increase in Danny Jansen's average launch mark on the balls he has hit hardest this season, which stands at 22.7°, compared to his mark of 15° in the previous season. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 19.6% on the season to 25% in the last week. Although Danny Jansen's expected wOBA based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data is .332, he has unfortunately experienced a significant decrease in his actual wOBA this year, with a score of .249.

Danny Jansen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Danny Jansen will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. There is a significant increase in Danny Jansen's average launch mark on the balls he has hit hardest this season, which stands at 22.7°, compared to his mark of 15° in the previous season. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 19.6% on the season to 25% in the last week. Although Danny Jansen's expected wOBA based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data is .332, he has unfortunately experienced a significant decrease in his actual wOBA this year, with a score of .249.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Matt Olson projects as the 19th-best hitter in the game, via THE BAT X. Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Matt Olson will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Olson has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Matt Olson projects as the 19th-best hitter in the game, via THE BAT X. Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Matt Olson will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt in today's matchup. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Olson has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto

K. Kiermaier
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

When evaluating his BABIP ability, Kevin Kiermaier ranks in the 77th percentile within THE BAT X projects. Kevin Kiermaier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider today. Kevin Kiermaier hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Kevin Kiermaier will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. In recent times, Kevin Kiermaier has improved his capacity to strike the ball with a launch angle ideal for securing a base hit (ranging from -4° to 26°), as evidenced by an increase in success rate from 48.1% for the season to 53.6% in the last two weeks' games.

Kevin Kiermaier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When evaluating his BABIP ability, Kevin Kiermaier ranks in the 77th percentile within THE BAT X projects. Kevin Kiermaier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Spencer Strider today. Kevin Kiermaier hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Kevin Kiermaier will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. In recent times, Kevin Kiermaier has improved his capacity to strike the ball with a launch angle ideal for securing a base hit (ranging from -4° to 26°), as evidenced by an increase in success rate from 48.1% for the season to 53.6% in the last two weeks' games.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • Toronto

M. Chapman
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Matt Chapman has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 12.9% rate last year to 29% this season.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Matt Chapman ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Matt Chapman has made notable strides with his Barrel%, upping his 12.9% rate last year to 29% this season.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-208
Projection Rating

As it relates to his batting average talent, Ozzie Albies is ranked in the 88th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Ozzie Albies has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 5.4% rate last year to 12.2% this season. Of late, Ozzie Albies's exit velocity has notably increased, evident in his 90.7-mph average in the past week's games compared to his seasonal 88.3-mph average. The percentage of Ozzie Albies's ability to hit the ball at an optimal launch angle for home runs (between -4° and 26°) has increased from 18.6% to 23.6% between last year and this season.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his batting average talent, Ozzie Albies is ranked in the 88th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Ozzie Albies has made significant gains with his Barrel%, improving his 5.4% rate last year to 12.2% this season. Of late, Ozzie Albies's exit velocity has notably increased, evident in his 90.7-mph average in the past week's games compared to his seasonal 88.3-mph average. The percentage of Ozzie Albies's ability to hit the ball at an optimal launch angle for home runs (between -4° and 26°) has increased from 18.6% to 23.6% between last year and this season.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

G. Springer
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

Assessing his overall offensive capability, George Springer scores in the 92nd percentile in THE BAT X projects. George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. George Springer will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Although THE BAT X estimates his true talent level to be .353, which is a .094 deviation, George Springer has been unlucky this year with a .259 wOBA.

George Springer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Assessing his overall offensive capability, George Springer scores in the 92nd percentile in THE BAT X projects. George Springer is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. George Springer will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Although THE BAT X estimates his true talent level to be .353, which is a .094 deviation, George Springer has been unlucky this year with a .259 wOBA.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Eddie Rosario is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Eddie Rosario will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Eddie Rosario has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Eddie Rosario has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90-mph average to last year's 87.7-mph EV.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Eddie Rosario is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Eddie Rosario will have the handedness advantage over Chris Bassitt today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Eddie Rosario has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Eddie Rosario has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90-mph average to last year's 87.7-mph EV.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Varsho
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-164
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-164
Projection Rating

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Strider today. Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Daulton Varsho's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 36.9% to 45%.

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Daulton Varsho is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage over Spencer Strider today. Daulton Varsho will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Daulton Varsho's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 36.9% to 45%.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Austin Riley in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Austin Riley is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Austin Riley has been unlucky this year, posting a .326 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .364 — a .038 disparity.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Austin Riley in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Austin Riley is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Austin Riley has been unlucky this year, posting a .326 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .364 — a .038 disparity.

Bo Bichette Total Hits Props • Toronto

B. Bichette
shortstop SS • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

When estimating his batting average skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the majors by THE BAT X. Bo Bichette is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Bo Bichette will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Bo Bichette has shown considerable progress with his Barrel% by elevating it from his seasonal rate of 11.5% to 19%.

Bo Bichette

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his batting average skill, Bo Bichette is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the majors by THE BAT X. Bo Bichette is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Bo Bichette will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Bo Bichette has shown considerable progress with his Barrel% by elevating it from his seasonal rate of 11.5% to 19%.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

Estimating Alejandro Kirk's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 94th percentile. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has compiled a .349 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Alejandro Kirk has compiled a .282 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Estimating Alejandro Kirk's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 94th percentile. Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has compiled a .349 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, ranking in the 86th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Alejandro Kirk has compiled a .282 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. With an average exit velocity of 90.3 mph, Orlando Arcia lands among the top percentile in the league since the start of last season, ranking at 79th. Orlando Arcia has notched a .332 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. With an average exit velocity of 90.3 mph, Orlando Arcia lands among the top percentile in the league since the start of last season, ranking at 79th. Orlando Arcia has notched a .332 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 83rd percentile.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Assessing his overall offensive captalent, Sean Murphy scores in the 96th percentile in THE BAT X projects. Sean Murphy is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Sean Murphy hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. From last year's 10.5%, Sean Murphy has impressively increased his Barrel% to 22.2% this season. Of late, Sean Murphy's exit velocity has notably improvementd, evident in his 97.1-mph average in the past week's games compared to his seasonal 92.5-mph average.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Assessing his overall offensive captalent, Sean Murphy scores in the 96th percentile in THE BAT X projects. Sean Murphy is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Sean Murphy hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. From last year's 10.5%, Sean Murphy has impressively increased his Barrel% to 22.2% this season. Of late, Sean Murphy's exit velocity has notably improvementd, evident in his 97.1-mph average in the past week's games compared to his seasonal 92.5-mph average.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Comparing his figure of 97.4 mph this year to last season's figure of 95.2 mph, Marcell Ozuna has exhibited a noteworthy increase in his exit velocity on flyballs. Marcell Ozuna has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .214 figure is a good deal lower than his .238 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Rogers Centre has the 8th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Comparing his figure of 97.4 mph this year to last season's figure of 95.2 mph, Marcell Ozuna has exhibited a noteworthy increase in his exit velocity on flyballs. Marcell Ozuna has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .214 figure is a good deal lower than his .238 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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