Bally Sports Network, NESN

St. Louis @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

L. Nootbaar
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 90th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Via THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park is ranked as the 2th venue in the league in terms of lefty batting average. The temperature and humidity make the weather report predict that it will be the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Ranked in the 89th percentile, Lars Nootbaar has recorded a .352 wOBA, which is considered the most comprehensive statistic for offensive performance since the start of last season.

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 90th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Via THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park is ranked as the 2th venue in the league in terms of lefty batting average. The temperature and humidity make the weather report predict that it will be the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. Ranked in the 89th percentile, Lars Nootbaar has recorded a .352 wOBA, which is considered the most comprehensive statistic for offensive performance since the start of last season.

Dylan Carlson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

D. Carlson
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Dylan Carlson is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup. Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in MLB. The temperature and humidity make the weather report predict that it will be the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate. The switch-hitting Dylan Carlson will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against James Paxton.

Dylan Carlson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Dylan Carlson is projected to hit 6th in the lineup in this matchup. Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in MLB. The temperature and humidity make the weather report predict that it will be the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate. The switch-hitting Dylan Carlson will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against James Paxton.

Juan Yepez Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Yepez
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. The temperature and humidity make the weather report predict that it will be the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate. Juan Yepez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Paxton today. Juan Yepez pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Since the start of last season, Juan Yepez's maximum exit velocity has been 114.4 mph, which rates in the 91st percentile and serves as an advanced measure for assessing power.

Juan Yepez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. The temperature and humidity make the weather report predict that it will be the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate. Juan Yepez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Paxton today. Juan Yepez pulls many of his flyballs (36.8% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Since the start of last season, Juan Yepez's maximum exit velocity has been 114.4 mph, which rates in the 91st percentile and serves as an advanced measure for assessing power.

Reese McGuire Total Hits Props • Boston

R. McGuire
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

Via THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park is ranked as the 2th venue in the league in terms of lefty batting average. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball. The temperature and humidity make the weather report predict that it will be the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate. Reese McGuire will hold the platoon advantage against Adam Wainwright today. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Reese McGuire

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Via THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park is ranked as the 2th venue in the league in terms of lefty batting average. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball. The temperature and humidity make the weather report predict that it will be the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate. Reese McGuire will hold the platoon advantage against Adam Wainwright today. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. DeJong
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. The temperature and humidity make the weather report predict that it will be the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate. Paul DeJong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's matchup. Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. His exit velocity has greatly increased this season, evident by his current 89.8-mph average compared to his 87.6-mph figure from the previous year, as demonstrated by Paul DeJong.

Paul DeJong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. The temperature and humidity make the weather report predict that it will be the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate. Paul DeJong will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's matchup. Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. His exit velocity has greatly increased this season, evident by his current 89.8-mph average compared to his 87.6-mph figure from the previous year, as demonstrated by Paul DeJong.

Andrew Knizner Total Hits Props • St. Louis

A. Knizner
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. The temperature and humidity make the weather report predict that it will be the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate. Andrew Knizner will have the handedness advantage against James Paxton in today's matchup. Andrew Knizner has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Improving from a 3.5% rate last year, Andrew Knizner has made significant strides with his Barrel% by achieving a rate of 13.3.5% this year.

Andrew Knizner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. The temperature and humidity make the weather report predict that it will be the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate. Andrew Knizner will have the handedness advantage against James Paxton in today's matchup. Andrew Knizner has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Improving from a 3.5% rate last year, Andrew Knizner has made significant strides with his Barrel% by achieving a rate of 13.3.5% this year.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Via THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park is ranked as the 2th venue in the league in terms of lefty batting average. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball. The temperature and humidity make the weather report predict that it will be the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate. Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage over Adam Wainwright in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Triston Casas can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Via THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park is ranked as the 2th venue in the league in terms of lefty batting average. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball. The temperature and humidity make the weather report predict that it will be the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate. Triston Casas will hold the platoon advantage over Adam Wainwright in today's game. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Triston Casas can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Hernandez
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in MLB. The temperature and humidity make the weather report predict that it will be the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate. Kike Hernandez will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Enrique Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions in MLB. The temperature and humidity make the weather report predict that it will be the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate. Kike Hernandez will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Valdez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Via THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park is ranked as the 2th venue in the league in terms of lefty batting average. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball. The temperature and humidity make the weather report predict that it will be the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage against Adam Wainwright in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Enmanuel Valdez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Via THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park is ranked as the 2th venue in the league in terms of lefty batting average. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions in Major League Baseball. The temperature and humidity make the weather report predict that it will be the 5th-best hitting weather on the slate. Enmanuel Valdez will hold the platoon advantage against Adam Wainwright in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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