MASN, WPIX

New York @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

S. Marte
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

According to THE BAT X, Starling Marte ranks in the 94th percentile for his batting average skill. Starling Marte is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°. Starling Marte will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Starling Marte has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

According to THE BAT X, Starling Marte ranks in the 94th percentile for his batting average skill. Starling Marte is projected to hit 6th in the lineup today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°. Starling Marte will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Starling Marte has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Estimating Brandon Nimmo's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 96th percentile. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest right field dimensions in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Brandon Nimmo is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Estimating Brandon Nimmo's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 96th percentile. Brandon Nimmo is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest right field dimensions in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Brandon Nimmo is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 88th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against MacKenzie Gore. In the past two weeks, Francisco Lindor's launch angle has improved significantly to 23.1° from his seasonal angle of 17.6°.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 88th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against MacKenzie Gore. In the past two weeks, Francisco Lindor's launch angle has improved significantly to 23.1° from his seasonal angle of 17.6°.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jeff McNeil in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest right field dimensions in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Jeff McNeil is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game. Jeff McNeil has displayed strong plate discipline this year, grading out in the 97th percentile with a 0.92 K/BB rate.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Jeff McNeil in the 96th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest right field dimensions in the league. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Jeff McNeil is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game. Jeff McNeil has displayed strong plate discipline this year, grading out in the 97th percentile with a 0.92 K/BB rate.

Eduardo Escobar Total Hits Props • NY Mets

E. Escobar
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°. The switch-hitting Eduardo Escobar will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against MacKenzie Gore. His wOBA since the start of last season has had some very poor luck as Eduardo Escobar's .304 mark is considerably lower compared to his .333 Expected wOBA (calculated by THE BAT X's analysis of Statcast data).

Eduardo Escobar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°. The switch-hitting Eduardo Escobar will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against MacKenzie Gore. His wOBA since the start of last season has had some very poor luck as Eduardo Escobar's .304 mark is considerably lower compared to his .333 Expected wOBA (calculated by THE BAT X's analysis of Statcast data).

Mark Canha Total Hits Props • NY Mets

M. Canha
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mark Canha ranks in the 80th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°. Mark Canha will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Compared to last year, Mark Canha has improved his capability to hit the ball within the HR-maximizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, as his percentage has increased from 14.6% to 22%. So far this year, Mark Canha's wOBA has been plagued with unfavorable variance and is significantly lower at .288 compared to his Expected wOBA of .319 (which is based on THE BAT X's analysis of Statcast information).

Mark Canha

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mark Canha ranks in the 80th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°. Mark Canha will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's game. Compared to last year, Mark Canha has improved his capability to hit the ball within the HR-maximizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, as his percentage has increased from 14.6% to 22%. So far this year, Mark Canha's wOBA has been plagued with unfavorable variance and is significantly lower at .288 compared to his Expected wOBA of .319 (which is based on THE BAT X's analysis of Statcast information).

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°. Francisco Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Francisco Alvarez has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 5% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last week. In his recent games, Francisco Alvarez's exit velocity on flyballs has significantly increased, evident by his 92.2-mph average over the past fortnight, a notable increase from his seasonal average of 89-mph. Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 20% on the season to 33.3% in the past 7 days.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°. Francisco Alvarez will hold the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore in today's matchup. Francisco Alvarez has made significant gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 5% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last week. In his recent games, Francisco Alvarez's exit velocity on flyballs has significantly increased, evident by his 92.2-mph average over the past fortnight, a notable increase from his seasonal average of 89-mph. Francisco Alvarez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 20% on the season to 33.3% in the past 7 days.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • NY Mets

T. Pham
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Tommy Pham ranks in the 82nd percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Tommy Pham is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°. Tommy Pham will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Tommy Pham has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Tommy Pham ranks in the 82nd percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Tommy Pham is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report calls for the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 82°. Tommy Pham will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against MacKenzie Gore today. Tommy Pham has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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