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St. Louis @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Assessing his batting average skill, THE BAT X predicts Masataka Yoshida to be the 15th-best batter in the majors. According to THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Assessing his batting average skill, THE BAT X predicts Masataka Yoshida to be the 15th-best batter in the majors. According to THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Masataka Yoshida stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

L. Nootbaar
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

According to THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Over the past week, Lars Nootbaar has had a launch angle of 24.2°, which is significantly higher than his season average of 0.1°. Lars Nootbaar has put up a .354 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile.

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. Lars Nootbaar hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Over the past week, Lars Nootbaar has had a launch angle of 24.2°, which is significantly higher than his season average of 0.1°. Lars Nootbaar has put up a .354 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile.

Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. DeJong
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. Comparing his current average of 89.8 mph to last year's average of 87.6 mph, there has been a significant boost in Paul DeJong's exit velocity this season. In the last 7 days, Paul DeJong has been successful in hitting balls between -4° and 26° with a frequency of 70%, as he has carefully focused on attaining the optimal launch angle for base hits.

Paul DeJong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. Comparing his current average of 89.8 mph to last year's average of 87.6 mph, there has been a significant boost in Paul DeJong's exit velocity this season. In the last 7 days, Paul DeJong has been successful in hitting balls between -4° and 26° with a frequency of 70%, as he has carefully focused on attaining the optimal launch angle for base hits.

Reese McGuire Total Hits Props • Boston

R. McGuire
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

According to THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Reese McGuire will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Reese McGuire

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Reese McGuire has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Reese McGuire will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the majors. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. Paul Goldschmidt has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.9-mph average to last season's 90.8-mph mark.

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

THE BAT X projects Paul Goldschmidt in the 97th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the majors. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. Paul Goldschmidt has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.9-mph average to last season's 90.8-mph mark.

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Refsnyder
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Rob Refsnyder in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the majors. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. Rob Refsnyder will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Rob Refsnyder in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the majors. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. Rob Refsnyder will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jarren Duran in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. According to THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jarren Duran hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Jarren Duran in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. According to THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jarren Duran hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Dylan Carlson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

D. Carlson
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the majors. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. Improving from a 4.5% rate last year, Dylan Carlson has made significant gains with his Barrel% by achieving a rate of 13.4.5% this year. Dylan Carlson has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90-mph average to last season's 86-mph mark.

Dylan Carlson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the majors. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. Improving from a 4.5% rate last year, Dylan Carlson has made significant gains with his Barrel% by achieving a rate of 13.4.5% this year. Dylan Carlson has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90-mph average to last season's 86-mph mark.

Juan Yepez Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Yepez
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. Juan Yepez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.8% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.

Juan Yepez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. Juan Yepez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.8% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

The altitude of Fenway Park is among the lowest in the league, nearly at sea-level, resulting in decreased offensive performance. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the best of all teams today. Rafael Devers's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 96.2-mph seasonal average has decreased to 93.2-mph in the past week. Rafael Devers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 19.5% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The altitude of Fenway Park is among the lowest in the league, nearly at sea-level, resulting in decreased offensive performance. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense profiles as the best of all teams today. Rafael Devers's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off recently; his 96.2-mph seasonal average has decreased to 93.2-mph in the past week. Rafael Devers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, falling from 19.5% on the season to 0% over the last 7 days.

Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

W. Contreras
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Estimating Willson Contreras's batting average skill, THE BAT X projects him in the 85th percentile. Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the majors. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. Willson Contreras has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last year's 90.3-mph figure.

Willson Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Estimating Willson Contreras's batting average skill, THE BAT X projects him in the 85th percentile. Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the majors. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. Willson Contreras has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last year's 90.3-mph figure.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Hernandez
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the majors. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. Kike Hernandez will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Enrique Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the majors. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. Kike Hernandez will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.2% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. A significant increase in Nolan Arenado's exit velocity on flyballs has been observed of late, evidenced by his mark of 90.2-mph over the last 14 days in comparison to his seasonal mark of 87.2-mph. Nolan Arenado's launch angle recently (22.1° in the past two weeks) is a significant increase over his 16° seasonal angle.

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.2% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. A significant increase in Nolan Arenado's exit velocity on flyballs has been observed of late, evidenced by his mark of 90.2-mph over the last 14 days in comparison to his seasonal mark of 87.2-mph. Nolan Arenado's launch angle recently (22.1° in the past two weeks) is a significant increase over his 16° seasonal angle.

Andrew Knizner Total Hits Props • St. Louis

A. Knizner
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the majors. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. From last year's 3.5%, Andrew Knizner has impressively increased his Barrel% to 12.9% this season. Comparing his current average of 88 mph to last year's figure of 86 mph, there has been a significant boost in Andrew Knizner's exit velocity this season.

Andrew Knizner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Per THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th park in the league for right-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field fences in the majors. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. From last year's 3.5%, Andrew Knizner has impressively increased his Barrel% to 12.9% this season. Comparing his current average of 88 mph to last year's figure of 86 mph, there has been a significant boost in Andrew Knizner's exit velocity this season.

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Valdez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

According to THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Enmanuel Valdez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Enmanuel Valdez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

According to THE BAT projection system, Fenway Park ranks as the 2th venue in MLB for left-handed batting average. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity predict the 4th-best hitting weather of the slate. The St. Louis Cardinals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Enmanuel Valdez stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Enmanuel Valdez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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