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Atlanta @ Toronto props

Rogers Centre

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Projection Rating

Among all the major league stadiums, Rogers Centre has the 8th-smallest centerfield dimensions. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Olson stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Matt Olson has made notable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 13.6% rate last season to 19% this year. In comparison to his 92.9-mph average last year, Matt Olson's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, with an average of 95.2 mph. Checking in at the 94th percentile, Matt Olson has achieved an impressive .402 wOBA, widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense for this year.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Among all the major league stadiums, Rogers Centre has the 8th-smallest centerfield dimensions. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Matt Olson stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Matt Olson has made notable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 13.6% rate last season to 19% this year. In comparison to his 92.9-mph average last year, Matt Olson's exit velocity has noticeably risen this season, with an average of 95.2 mph. Checking in at the 94th percentile, Matt Olson has achieved an impressive .402 wOBA, widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense for this year.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Austin Riley in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Among all the major league stadiums, Rogers Centre has the 8th-smallest centerfield dimensions. Recently, Austin Riley's exit velocity has notably increased, evident in his 93.4-mph average in the past week's games compared to his seasonal 90-mph mark. Although THE BAT X estimates his true talent level to be .367, which is a .049 difference, Austin Riley has been unlucky this year with a .318 wOBA.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Austin Riley in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Among all the major league stadiums, Rogers Centre has the 8th-smallest centerfield dimensions. Recently, Austin Riley's exit velocity has notably increased, evident in his 93.4-mph average in the past week's games compared to his seasonal 90-mph mark. Although THE BAT X estimates his true talent level to be .367, which is a .049 difference, Austin Riley has been unlucky this year with a .318 wOBA.

Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto

K. Kiermaier
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Kevin Kiermaier hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Kevin Kiermaier will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. As of late, Kevin Kiermaier has experienced a noteworthy improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, figureident in his average of 101 mph over the past 7 days, compared to his seasonal average of 88 mph.

Kevin Kiermaier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Kevin Kiermaier in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Kevin Kiermaier hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Kevin Kiermaier will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. As of late, Kevin Kiermaier has experienced a noteworthy improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, figureident in his average of 101 mph over the past 7 days, compared to his seasonal average of 88 mph.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Sean Murphy's batting average skill is estimated to be in the 81st percentile by THE BAT X projects. Sean Murphy hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Improving from a 10.5% rate last year, Sean Murphy has made significant gains with his Barrel% by achieving a rate of 13.10.5% this year. Comparing his seasonal EV exit velocity of 92.5 mph to a recent 14-day EV of 96.4 mph, Sean Murphy has shown a notable increase. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Sean Murphy's capability of hitting the ball at an ideal launch angle for a base hit (ranging between -4° and 26°) has elevated to 66.7%, whereas it was 50% earlier in the season.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Sean Murphy's batting average skill is estimated to be in the 81st percentile by THE BAT X projects. Sean Murphy hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Improving from a 10.5% rate last year, Sean Murphy has made significant gains with his Barrel% by achieving a rate of 13.10.5% this year. Comparing his seasonal EV exit velocity of 92.5 mph to a recent 14-day EV of 96.4 mph, Sean Murphy has shown a notable increase. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Sean Murphy's capability of hitting the ball at an ideal launch angle for a base hit (ranging between -4° and 26°) has elevated to 66.7%, whereas it was 50% earlier in the season.

Brandon Belt Total Hits Props • Toronto

B. Belt
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-136
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-136
Projection Rating

Among all the major league stadiums, Rogers Centre has the 8th-smallest centerfield dimensions. Batters such as Brandon Belt with a tendency for groundball hits are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bryce Elder who specialize in flyballs. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Brandon Belt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Brandon Belt has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph figure.

Brandon Belt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Among all the major league stadiums, Rogers Centre has the 8th-smallest centerfield dimensions. Batters such as Brandon Belt with a tendency for groundball hits are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Bryce Elder who specialize in flyballs. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Brandon Belt will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Brandon Belt has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph figure.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Among all the major league stadiums, Rogers Centre has the 8th-smallest centerfield dimensions. Out of all the players in the majors since the start of last season, Orlando Arcia's average exit velocity of 90.3 mph ranks in the 79th percentile, making it one of the top performances. Orlando Arcia has compiled a .329 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 81st percentile.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Among all the major league stadiums, Rogers Centre has the 8th-smallest centerfield dimensions. Out of all the players in the majors since the start of last season, Orlando Arcia's average exit velocity of 90.3 mph ranks in the 79th percentile, making it one of the top performances. Orlando Arcia has compiled a .329 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, grading out in the 81st percentile.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Among all the major league stadiums, Rogers Centre has the 8th-smallest centerfield dimensions. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Eddie Rosario has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. A significant rise in his exit velocity can be observed in Eddie Rosario's performance this season, with his current average of 90 mph differing from last year's average of 87.7 mph.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Among all the major league stadiums, Rogers Centre has the 8th-smallest centerfield dimensions. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Eddie Rosario has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. A significant rise in his exit velocity can be observed in Eddie Rosario's performance this season, with his current average of 90 mph differing from last year's average of 87.7 mph.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

Ozzie Albies's batting average ability is estimated to be in the 89th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Among all the major league stadiums, Rogers Centre has the 8th-smallest centerfield dimensions. Ozzie Albies has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 5.4% rate last season to 12.2% this season. In the last 14 days, Ozzie Albies's exit velocity has notably risen, with an EV of 91.6 mph compared to his season-long 88.3 mph EV. Over the past two weeks of games, Ozzie Albies has improved his ability to hit the ball at an optimal launch angle for a BABIP (ranging between -4° and 26°), increasing his season average from 40.7% to 48.6%.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ozzie Albies's batting average ability is estimated to be in the 89th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Among all the major league stadiums, Rogers Centre has the 8th-smallest centerfield dimensions. Ozzie Albies has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 5.4% rate last season to 12.2% this season. In the last 14 days, Ozzie Albies's exit velocity has notably risen, with an EV of 91.6 mph compared to his season-long 88.3 mph EV. Over the past two weeks of games, Ozzie Albies has improved his ability to hit the ball at an optimal launch angle for a BABIP (ranging between -4° and 26°), increasing his season average from 40.7% to 48.6%.

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Varsho
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Among all the major league stadiums, Rogers Centre has the 8th-smallest centerfield dimensions. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Daulton Varsho will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Among all the major league stadiums, Rogers Centre has the 8th-smallest centerfield dimensions. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Daulton Varsho will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Among all the major league stadiums, Rogers Centre has the 8th-smallest centerfield dimensions. A significant rise in Marcell Ozuna's exit velocity on flyballs is EVident this season as his average of 97.4 mph is much lower than last season's 95.2 mph EV. When it comes to his batting average since the start of last season, Marcell Ozuna hasn't had much luck as his figure of .214 is far below his Expected Batting Average of .238 (evaluated on the basis of Statcast data interpretation by THE BAT X).

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Among all the major league stadiums, Rogers Centre has the 8th-smallest centerfield dimensions. A significant rise in Marcell Ozuna's exit velocity on flyballs is EVident this season as his average of 97.4 mph is much lower than last season's 95.2 mph EV. When it comes to his batting average since the start of last season, Marcell Ozuna hasn't had much luck as his figure of .214 is far below his Expected Batting Average of .238 (evaluated on the basis of Statcast data interpretation by THE BAT X).

Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Toronto

W. Merrifield
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

According to THE BAT X, Whit Merrifield ranks in the 88th percentile for his batting average skill. Among all the major league stadiums, Rogers Centre has the 8th-smallest centerfield dimensions. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Whit Merrifield will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Comparing his seasonal figure of 89.6-mph to his 93.3-mph figure in the last two weeks' worth of games, it is clear that Whit Merrifield has made significant progress in his exit velocity on flyballs.

Whit Merrifield

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to THE BAT X, Whit Merrifield ranks in the 88th percentile for his batting average skill. Among all the major league stadiums, Rogers Centre has the 8th-smallest centerfield dimensions. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Whit Merrifield will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Comparing his seasonal figure of 89.6-mph to his 93.3-mph figure in the last two weeks' worth of games, it is clear that Whit Merrifield has made significant progress in his exit velocity on flyballs.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

According to THE BAT X, Alejandro Kirk ranks in the 94th percentile for his batting average skill. Among all the major league stadiums, Rogers Centre has the 8th-smallest centerfield dimensions. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.6-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 88.9-mph.

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to THE BAT X, Alejandro Kirk ranks in the 94th percentile for his batting average skill. Among all the major league stadiums, Rogers Centre has the 8th-smallest centerfield dimensions. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.6-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 88.9-mph.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • Toronto

M. Chapman
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-208
Projection Rating

Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Matt Chapman, who uses extreme groundball bats, typically has more success against pitchers like Bryce Elder, who tend to throw extreme flyballs. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Matt Chapman has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 12.9% rate last season to 29% this season.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Matt Chapman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Matt Chapman, who uses extreme groundball bats, typically has more success against pitchers like Bryce Elder, who tend to throw extreme flyballs. The Atlanta Braves infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst of all teams on the slate today. Matt Chapman will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Matt Chapman has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 12.9% rate last season to 29% this season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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