MSN2, ATTP

Pittsburgh @ Baltimore props

Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Rodolfo Castro Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

R. Castro
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th MLB venue for LHB BABIP. Rodolfo Castro pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. This season, Rodolfo Castro has elevated his Barrel% significantly, increasing it from 6.8% in the previous season to 11.8%. In recent times, Rodolfo Castro has shown improvement in hitting the ball with a launch angle between -4° and 26°, which maximizes the chances of a home run. His percentage has increased from 17.4% for the season to 42.9% in the past 7 days.

Rodolfo Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th MLB venue for LHB BABIP. Rodolfo Castro pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.4% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. This season, Rodolfo Castro has elevated his Barrel% significantly, increasing it from 6.8% in the previous season to 11.8%. In recent times, Rodolfo Castro has shown improvement in hitting the ball with a launch angle between -4° and 26°, which maximizes the chances of a home run. His percentage has increased from 17.4% for the season to 42.9% in the past 7 days.

Jack Suwinski Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

J. Suwinski
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th MLB venue for LHB BABIP. Jack Suwinski pulls many of his flyballs (37.4% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. From last year's 12.3%, Jack Suwinski has impressively increased his Barrel% to 21.8% this year. Over the past two weeks, Jack Suwinski has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs, which has increased from 26.8% to 41.2% during the current season.

Jack Suwinski

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th MLB venue for LHB BABIP. Jack Suwinski pulls many of his flyballs (37.4% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. From last year's 12.3%, Jack Suwinski has impressively increased his Barrel% to 21.8% this year. Over the past two weeks, Jack Suwinski has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs, which has increased from 26.8% to 41.2% during the current season.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

B. Reynolds
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

As it relates to his batting average ability, Bryan Reynolds is ranked in the 96th percentile by THE BAT X projects. THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th MLB venue for LHB BABIP. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences in the majors. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Bryan Reynolds has made significant gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 7.9% rate last season to 16.4% this season.

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

As it relates to his batting average ability, Bryan Reynolds is ranked in the 96th percentile by THE BAT X projects. THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th MLB venue for LHB BABIP. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences in the majors. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Bryan Reynolds has made significant gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 7.9% rate last season to 16.4% this season.

Jorge Mateo Total Hits Props • Baltimore

J. Mateo
shortstop SS • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Per THE BAT projection system, ballpark ranks as the 6nd ballpark in the game for RHB BABIP. Jorge Mateo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Comparing his current average of 88.8 mph to last year's EV of 86.7 mph, there has been a significant boost in Jorge Mateo's exit velocity this season.

Jorge Mateo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Per THE BAT projection system, ballpark ranks as the 6nd ballpark in the game for RHB BABIP. Jorge Mateo will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Comparing his current average of 88.8 mph to last year's EV of 86.7 mph, there has been a significant boost in Jorge Mateo's exit velocity this season.

Cedric Mullins Total Hits Props • Baltimore

C. Mullins
center outfield CF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th MLB venue for LHB BABIP. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins II can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Cedric Mullins II pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Cedric Mullins II will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Over the past 14 days, Cedric Mullins II's exit velocity has notably risen, with an average of 91.7 mph compared to his season-long 89.1 mph EV.

Cedric Mullins

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th MLB venue for LHB BABIP. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins II can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Cedric Mullins II pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Cedric Mullins II will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Over the past 14 days, Cedric Mullins II's exit velocity has notably risen, with an average of 91.7 mph compared to his season-long 89.1 mph EV.

Adley Rutschman Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Rutschman
catcher C • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

As it relates to his batting average ability, Adley Rutschman is ranked in the 89th percentile by THE BAT X projects. THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th MLB venue for LHB BABIP. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences in the majors. Adley Rutschman will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. A significant increase in Adley Rutschman's exit velocity on flyballs has been observed recently, evidenced by his mark of 95.5-mph over the last two weeks in comparison to his seasonal mark of 92.1-mph.

Adley Rutschman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his batting average ability, Adley Rutschman is ranked in the 89th percentile by THE BAT X projects. THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th MLB venue for LHB BABIP. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences in the majors. Adley Rutschman will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. A significant increase in Adley Rutschman's exit velocity on flyballs has been observed recently, evidenced by his mark of 95.5-mph over the last two weeks in comparison to his seasonal mark of 92.1-mph.

Austin Hays Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Hays
left outfield LF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Per THE BAT projection system, ballpark ranks as the 6nd ballpark in the game for RHB BABIP. Austin Hays will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. The Barrel% of Austin Hays has significantly improved, with an increase from 5.3% to 15.7% this year. Comparing his seasonal 91.9-mph mark to his 94.3-mph average in the past week's games, Austin Hays's exit velocity has significantly gaind in recent times. Austin Hays's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 44.6% on the season to 66.7% over the past 7 days.

Austin Hays

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Per THE BAT projection system, ballpark ranks as the 6nd ballpark in the game for RHB BABIP. Austin Hays will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. The Barrel% of Austin Hays has significantly improved, with an increase from 5.3% to 15.7% this year. Comparing his seasonal 91.9-mph mark to his 94.3-mph average in the past week's games, Austin Hays's exit velocity has significantly gaind in recent times. Austin Hays's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 44.6% on the season to 66.7% over the past 7 days.

Gunnar Henderson Total Hits Props • Baltimore

G. Henderson
third base 3B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-164
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-164
Projection Rating

When assessing his BABIP capability, Gunnar Henderson is projected in the 93rd percentile by THE BAT X. THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th MLB venue for LHB BABIP. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences in the majors. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gunnar Henderson stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Gunnar Henderson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Gunnar Henderson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his BABIP capability, Gunnar Henderson is projected in the 93rd percentile by THE BAT X. THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th MLB venue for LHB BABIP. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences in the majors. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Gunnar Henderson stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Gunnar Henderson will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Ryan Mountcastle Total Hits Props • Baltimore

R. Mountcastle
first base 1B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Per THE BAT projection system, ballpark ranks as the 6nd ballpark in the game for RHB BABIP. Ryan Mountcastle will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Ryan Mountcastle has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.2-mph average to last year's 94.2-mph mark. Up until now, Ryan Mountcastle has been experiencing unfavorable variance towards his wOBA this year, as his current rate of .329 is noticeably lower than his expected wOBA of .366, which has been determined through THE BAT X's analysis of Statcast data.

Ryan Mountcastle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Ryan Mountcastle in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Per THE BAT projection system, ballpark ranks as the 6nd ballpark in the game for RHB BABIP. Ryan Mountcastle will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Ryan Mountcastle has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.2-mph average to last year's 94.2-mph mark. Up until now, Ryan Mountcastle has been experiencing unfavorable variance towards his wOBA this year, as his current rate of .329 is noticeably lower than his expected wOBA of .366, which has been determined through THE BAT X's analysis of Statcast data.

Austin Hedges Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. Hedges
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Per THE BAT projection system, ballpark ranks as the 6nd ballpark in the game for RHB BABIP. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. A significant rise in his exit velocity can be observed in Austin Hedges's performance this season, with his current average of 89.7 mph differing from last year's mark of 84.2 mph. Comparing his seasonal average of 88.7-mph to his 96-mph average over the past 14 days, it is clear that Austin Hedges has made significant progress in his exit velocity on flyballs. Austin Hedges's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 51.3% on the season to 58.3% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Austin Hedges

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Per THE BAT projection system, ballpark ranks as the 6nd ballpark in the game for RHB BABIP. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. A significant rise in his exit velocity can be observed in Austin Hedges's performance this season, with his current average of 89.7 mph differing from last year's mark of 84.2 mph. Comparing his seasonal average of 88.7-mph to his 96-mph average over the past 14 days, it is clear that Austin Hedges has made significant progress in his exit velocity on flyballs. Austin Hedges's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 51.3% on the season to 58.3% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

A. McCutchen
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-208
Projection Rating

Per THE BAT projection system, ballpark ranks as the 6nd ballpark in the game for RHB BABIP. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Lately, Andrew McCutchen's exit velocity has notably improvementd, evident in his 99-mph average in the past week's games compared to his seasonal 89.6-mph EV. Of late, Andrew McCutchen has improved his capacity to strike the ball at an optimal launch angle for base hit (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his percentage rising from 47.7% during the season to 83.3% in the past week. Although his .239 batting average since the start of last season is much lower than his .263 Expected Batting Average as interpreted by THE BAT X utilizing Statcast data, Andrew McCutchen has been unfortunate.

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Per THE BAT projection system, ballpark ranks as the 6nd ballpark in the game for RHB BABIP. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Lately, Andrew McCutchen's exit velocity has notably improvementd, evident in his 99-mph average in the past week's games compared to his seasonal 89.6-mph EV. Of late, Andrew McCutchen has improved his capacity to strike the ball at an optimal launch angle for base hit (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his percentage rising from 47.7% during the season to 83.3% in the past week. Although his .239 batting average since the start of last season is much lower than his .263 Expected Batting Average as interpreted by THE BAT X utilizing Statcast data, Andrew McCutchen has been unfortunate.

Carlos Santana Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

C. Santana
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th MLB venue for LHB BABIP. Carlos Santana pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate today.

Carlos Santana

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th MLB venue for LHB BABIP. Carlos Santana pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences today. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate today.

Anthony Santander Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Santander
right outfield RF • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th MLB venue for LHB BABIP. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Santander will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Anthony Santander has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96-mph average to last season's 93.2-mph EV. Comparing his seasonal average of 96-mph to his 100-mph average in the last 14 days, it is clear that Anthony Santander has made significant progress in his exit velocity on flyballs.

Anthony Santander

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th MLB venue for LHB BABIP. Anthony Santander pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Santander will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Anthony Santander has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 96-mph average to last season's 93.2-mph EV. Comparing his seasonal average of 96-mph to his 100-mph average in the last 14 days, it is clear that Anthony Santander has made significant progress in his exit velocity on flyballs.

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Baltimore

A. Frazier
second base 2B • Baltimore
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-227
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-227
Projection Rating

THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th MLB venue for LHB BABIP. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences in the majors. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Adam Frazier stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Adam Frazier will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Within the past two weeks of games, Adam Frazier has raised his percentage of hitting the ball at a launch angle that optimizes for BABIPs, from 46.7% on the season to 55.6%.

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT projection system ranks Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th MLB venue for LHB BABIP. Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the shallowest RF fences in the majors. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Adam Frazier stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Adam Frazier will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Within the past two weeks of games, Adam Frazier has raised his percentage of hitting the ball at a launch angle that optimizes for BABIPs, from 46.7% on the season to 55.6%.

Connor Joe Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

C. Joe
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Per THE BAT projection system, ballpark ranks as the 6nd ballpark in the game for RHB BABIP. Connor Joe hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Connor Joe has made significant gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 4.6% rate last season to 11.1% this year. Connor Joe has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last season's 85.2-mph mark.

Connor Joe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Per THE BAT projection system, ballpark ranks as the 6nd ballpark in the game for RHB BABIP. Connor Joe hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles outfield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Connor Joe has made significant gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 4.6% rate last season to 11.1% this year. Connor Joe has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last season's 85.2-mph mark.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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