Bally Sports Network

Cincinnati @ Miami props

loanDepot park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Garrett Hampson Total Hits Props • Miami

G. Hampson
shortstop SS • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
+100
Projection Rating

Garrett Hampson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Garrett Hampson will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Garrett Hampson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Garrett Hampson hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Garrett Hampson will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Yuli Gurriel Total Hits Props • Miami

Y. Gurriel
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

LoanDepot Park has the 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Yuli Gurriel will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Yuli Gurriel's launch angle recently (25.5° in the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 18.1° seasonal figure.

Yuli Gurriel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

LoanDepot Park has the 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Yuli Gurriel will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Yuli Gurriel's launch angle recently (25.5° in the last 14 days) is significantly better than his 18.1° seasonal figure.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Chisholm Jr.
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

When evaluating his BABIP ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 79th percentile within THE BAT X projects. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jazz Chisholm Jr. can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the past week, Jazz Chisholm Jr. has had a launch angle of 36.2°, which is significantly higher than his season average of 8.7°. Despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .336, Jazz Chisholm Jr. has had a stroke of misfortune this year, only posting a .293 wOBA, resulting in a difference of .043.

Jazz Chisholm Jr.

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When evaluating his BABIP ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 79th percentile within THE BAT X projects. The Cincinnati Reds have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jazz Chisholm Jr. can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the past week, Jazz Chisholm Jr. has had a launch angle of 36.2°, which is significantly higher than his season average of 8.7°. Despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .336, Jazz Chisholm Jr. has had a stroke of misfortune this year, only posting a .293 wOBA, resulting in a difference of .043.

Jorge Soler Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Soler
designated hitter DH • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-189
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-189
Projection Rating

Jorge Soler will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. His Barrel% has improved significantly, as Jorge Soler's rate increased from 12.2% in the previous year to 13.12.2% in the current year. Jorge Soler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, going from 25% on the season to 36.4% in the last 7 days. Jorge Soler has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .350 figure is a fair amount lower than his .379 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Jorge Soler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jorge Soler will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. His Barrel% has improved significantly, as Jorge Soler's rate increased from 12.2% in the previous year to 13.12.2% in the current year. Jorge Soler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, going from 25% on the season to 36.4% in the last 7 days. Jorge Soler has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .350 figure is a fair amount lower than his .379 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Nick Fortes Total Hits Props • Miami

N. Fortes
catcher C • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

LoanDepot Park has the 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Nick Fortes will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Although THE BAT X estimates his true talent level to be .312, which is a .085 deviation, Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year with a .227 wOBA.

Nick Fortes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

LoanDepot Park has the 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Nick Fortes will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Although THE BAT X estimates his true talent level to be .312, which is a .085 deviation, Nick Fortes has been unlucky this year with a .227 wOBA.

Jean Segura Total Hits Props • Miami

J. Segura
second base 2B • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

When assessing his batting average talent, Jean Segura is ranked in the 90th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Jean Segura hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Jean Segura will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Lately, Jean Segura' exit velocity on flyballs has notably increased, as figureidenced by his average of 101.2-mph in the last 7 days, compared to his seasonal average of 90.6-mph. As lately, Jean Segura's skill in hitting the ball at an angle that maximizes his BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°) has improved, with a recent increase from 40.7% on the season to 85.7% over the last week.

Jean Segura

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his batting average talent, Jean Segura is ranked in the 90th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Jean Segura hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.6% — 99th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Jean Segura will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Lately, Jean Segura' exit velocity on flyballs has notably increased, as figureidenced by his average of 101.2-mph in the last 7 days, compared to his seasonal average of 90.6-mph. As lately, Jean Segura's skill in hitting the ball at an angle that maximizes his BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°) has improved, with a recent increase from 40.7% on the season to 85.7% over the last week.

Luis Arraez Total Hits Props • Miami

L. Arraez
first base 1B • Miami
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

In the league, LoanDepot Park possesses the 4th-deepest RF fences. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. Lately, Luis Arraez's capacity to strike the ball at an optimal launch angle for home runs, which ranges between -4° and 26°, has decreased as his percentage has dropped from 17.5% to 5.9% in the past seven days. Putting up a .396 wOBA this year, Luis Arraez's true talent level estimated by THE BAT X is .346, resulting in a gap of .050. Luis Arraez's 2.6% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) ranks in the 10th percentile this year.

Luis Arraez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

In the league, LoanDepot Park possesses the 4th-deepest RF fences. LoanDepot Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. Lately, Luis Arraez's capacity to strike the ball at an optimal launch angle for home runs, which ranges between -4° and 26°, has decreased as his percentage has dropped from 17.5% to 5.9% in the past seven days. Putting up a .396 wOBA this year, Luis Arraez's true talent level estimated by THE BAT X is .346, resulting in a gap of .050. Luis Arraez's 2.6% Barrel% (an advanced metric to measure power) ranks in the 10th percentile this year.

Bryan De La Cruz Total Hits Props • Miami

B. De La Cruz
center outfield CF • Miami
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

When estimating his BABIP capskill, Bryan De La Cruz is projected in the 96th percentile by THE BAT X. LoanDepot Park has the 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Bryan De La Cruz will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Bryan De La Cruz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 13.4% on the season to 18.5% over the last two weeks. The BAT X interprets Statcast data to place Bryan De La Cruz in the 82nd percentile with a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) notched since the start of last season.

Bryan De La Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his BABIP capskill, Bryan De La Cruz is projected in the 96th percentile by THE BAT X. LoanDepot Park has the 4th-shallowest CF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Bryan De La Cruz will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Bryan De La Cruz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 13.4% on the season to 18.5% over the last two weeks. The BAT X interprets Statcast data to place Bryan De La Cruz in the 82nd percentile with a .345 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) notched since the start of last season.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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