SNY, MASN

New York @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-208
Projection Rating

In terms of his BABIP ability, Brett Baty ranks in the 89th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. The 2nd-most humidity on the slate, forecasted at 75% by the weatherman, has a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Brett Baty is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the entire game. Recording a remarkable 113.7-mph hit, Brett Baty's recent form and innate strength are clearly indicated by his performance in MLB over the past week.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

In terms of his BABIP ability, Brett Baty ranks in the 89th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. The 2nd-most humidity on the slate, forecasted at 75% by the weatherman, has a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Brett Baty is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the entire game. Recording a remarkable 113.7-mph hit, Brett Baty's recent form and innate strength are clearly indicated by his performance in MLB over the past week.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. The 2nd-most humidity on the slate, forecasted at 75% by the weatherman, has a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The New York Mets don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the entire game. CJ Abrams will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. The 2nd-most humidity on the slate, forecasted at 75% by the weatherman, has a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The New York Mets don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the entire game. CJ Abrams will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Daniel Vogelbach Total Hits Props • NY Mets

D. Vogelbach
designated hitter DH • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. The 2nd-most humidity on the slate, forecasted at 75% by the weatherman, has a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Daniel Vogelbach is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the entire game. Recently, Daniel Vogelbach' exit velocity on flyballs has noticeably increased, figureident from his 102.1-mph average in the last 7 days as compared to his seasonal average of 89.8-mph. Lately, Daniel Vogelbach has seen a boost in his capacity to make contact with the ball at an angle that lends itself well to a base hit (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his success rate increasing from 47.3% over the season to 71.4% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Daniel Vogelbach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. The 2nd-most humidity on the slate, forecasted at 75% by the weatherman, has a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Daniel Vogelbach is guaranteed to hold the advantage against every reliever the entire game. Recently, Daniel Vogelbach' exit velocity on flyballs has noticeably increased, figureident from his 102.1-mph average in the last 7 days as compared to his seasonal average of 89.8-mph. Lately, Daniel Vogelbach has seen a boost in his capacity to make contact with the ball at an angle that lends itself well to a base hit (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his success rate increasing from 47.3% over the season to 71.4% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The 2nd-most humidity on the slate, forecasted at 75% by the weatherman, has a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Over the last week's worth of games, Francisco Alvarez has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 5% to 22.2%, showcasing notable improvements in his performance. In his recent games, Francisco Alvarez's exit velocity on flyballs has significantly increased, evident by his 92.2-mph average over the past fortnight, a notable increase from his seasonal average of 89-mph. In recent times, Francisco Alvarez has shown improvement in hitting the ball with a launch angle between -4° and 26°, which maximizes the chances of a home run. His percentage has increased from 20% for the season to 33.3% in the past 7 days.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 2nd-most humidity on the slate, forecasted at 75% by the weatherman, has a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Over the last week's worth of games, Francisco Alvarez has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 5% to 22.2%, showcasing notable improvements in his performance. In his recent games, Francisco Alvarez's exit velocity on flyballs has significantly increased, evident by his 92.2-mph average over the past fortnight, a notable increase from his seasonal average of 89-mph. In recent times, Francisco Alvarez has shown improvement in hitting the ball with a launch angle between -4° and 26°, which maximizes the chances of a home run. His percentage has increased from 20% for the season to 33.3% in the past 7 days.

Mark Canha Total Hits Props • NY Mets

M. Canha
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

The 2nd-most humidity on the slate, forecasted at 75% by the weatherman, has a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .336, Mark Canha has had a stroke of misfortune this year, only putting up a .289 wOBA, resulting in a disparity of .047. In terms of overall offense, Mark Canha has achieved a .338 wOBA since the start of last season, placing him in the 78th percentile.

Mark Canha

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The 2nd-most humidity on the slate, forecasted at 75% by the weatherman, has a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .336, Mark Canha has had a stroke of misfortune this year, only putting up a .289 wOBA, resulting in a disparity of .047. In terms of overall offense, Mark Canha has achieved a .338 wOBA since the start of last season, placing him in the 78th percentile.

Jeimer Candelario Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Candelario
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The 2nd-most humidity on the slate, forecasted at 75% by the weatherman, has a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Jeimer Candelario will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Even though THE BAT X estimates Jeimer Candelario' true talent level to be .320, a .052 difference, he has unfortunately posted a .268 wOBA this year.

Jeimer Candelario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The 2nd-most humidity on the slate, forecasted at 75% by the weatherman, has a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Jeimer Candelario will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Even though THE BAT X estimates Jeimer Candelario' true talent level to be .320, a .052 difference, he has unfortunately posted a .268 wOBA this year.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

The 2nd-most humidity on the slate, forecasted at 75% by the weatherman, has a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Keibert Ruiz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.4-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.2-mph EV. Comparing his EV of 91.9 mph this year to last season's EV of 88.4 mph, Keibert Ruiz has exhibited a noteworthy increase in his exit velocity on flyballs. Keibert Ruiz has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .301 figure is a good deal lower than his .329 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The 2nd-most humidity on the slate, forecasted at 75% by the weatherman, has a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Keibert Ruiz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.4-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.2-mph EV. Comparing his EV of 91.9 mph this year to last season's EV of 88.4 mph, Keibert Ruiz has exhibited a noteworthy increase in his exit velocity on flyballs. Keibert Ruiz has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .301 figure is a good deal lower than his .329 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington

D. Smith
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. The 2nd-most humidity on the slate, forecasted at 75% by the weatherman, has a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The New York Mets don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Dominic Smith is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game. Dominic Smith will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the past two weeks of games, Dominic Smith has improved his ability to hit the ball at an optimal launch angle for a BABIP (ranging between -4° and 26°), increasing his season average from 45.2% to 63.2%.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB. The 2nd-most humidity on the slate, forecasted at 75% by the weatherman, has a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. The New York Mets don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Dominic Smith is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game. Dominic Smith will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Over the past two weeks of games, Dominic Smith has improved his ability to hit the ball at an optimal launch angle for a BABIP (ranging between -4° and 26°), increasing his season average from 45.2% to 63.2%.

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington

L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

The 2nd-most humidity on the slate, forecasted at 75% by the weatherman, has a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Lane Thomas will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. In the past 14 days, Lane Thomas's exit velocity on flyballs has experienced a significant boost, evident from his average of 101.2-mph, which surpasses his seasonal average of 94.4-mph. In recent games, Lane Thomas has improved his capacity to strike the ball at an optimal launch angle for base hit (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his percentage rising from 39.4% during the season to 55.6% in the past week.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The 2nd-most humidity on the slate, forecasted at 75% by the weatherman, has a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Lane Thomas will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. In the past 14 days, Lane Thomas's exit velocity on flyballs has experienced a significant boost, evident from his average of 101.2-mph, which surpasses his seasonal average of 94.4-mph. In recent games, Lane Thomas has improved his capacity to strike the ball at an optimal launch angle for base hit (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his percentage rising from 39.4% during the season to 55.6% in the past week.

Stone Garrett Total Hits Props • Washington

S. Garrett
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

The 2nd-most humidity on the slate, forecasted at 75% by the weatherman, has a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Stone Garrett will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Stone Garrett has maintained a 93.3-mph average exit velocity, indicating his recent hot streak. Stone Garrett's 94.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to study power) is in the 83rd percentile since the start of last season. Stone Garrett has notched a .282 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 90th percentile.

Stone Garrett

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 2nd-most humidity on the slate, forecasted at 75% by the weatherman, has a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Stone Garrett will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Stone Garrett has maintained a 93.3-mph average exit velocity, indicating his recent hot streak. Stone Garrett's 94.7-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable standard to study power) is in the 83rd percentile since the start of last season. Stone Garrett has notched a .282 batting average since the start of last season, checking in at the 90th percentile.

Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington

A. Call
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

The 2nd-most humidity on the slate, forecasted at 75% by the weatherman, has a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Alex Call will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. The recent increase in Alex Call's hitting performance can be attributed to his ability to hit the ball within the BABIP-optimizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, with his percentage rising from 40.9% on the season to 53.3% in the past week. His wOBA this year has had some very poor luck as Alex Call's .301 mark is considerably lower compared to his .326 Expected wOBA (calculated by THE BAT X's analysis of Statcast data).

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The 2nd-most humidity on the slate, forecasted at 75% by the weatherman, has a small yet noteworthy correlation with increased offense (and decreased whiffs) when the weather is humid. Alex Call will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. The recent increase in Alex Call's hitting performance can be attributed to his ability to hit the ball within the BABIP-optimizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, with his percentage rising from 40.9% on the season to 53.3% in the past week. His wOBA this year has had some very poor luck as Alex Call's .301 mark is considerably lower compared to his .326 Expected wOBA (calculated by THE BAT X's analysis of Statcast data).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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