DET +131 o7.0
CLE -142 u7.0
NYM +162 o7.0
PHI -178 u7.0
KC +177 o7.5
NYY -194 u7.5
SD +122 o7.5
LAD -133 u7.5
MLBN, Sportsnet, YES Network

New York @ Toronto props

Rogers Centre

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Anthony Rizzo Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Rizzo
first base 1B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Anthony Rizzo in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Anthony Rizzo is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest. Anthony Rizzo will have the handedness advantage against Alek Manoah in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Anthony Rizzo stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Anthony Rizzo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Anthony Rizzo in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Anthony Rizzo is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest. Anthony Rizzo will have the handedness advantage against Alek Manoah in today's game. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Anthony Rizzo stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Kevin Kiermaier Total Hits Props • Toronto

K. Kiermaier
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-147
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-147
Projection Rating

When estimating his BABIP capability, Kevin Kiermaier is projected in the 79th percentile by THE BAT X. Kevin Kiermaier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jhony Brito in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kevin Kiermaier can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Kevin Kiermaier hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Kevin Kiermaier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his BABIP capability, Kevin Kiermaier is projected in the 79th percentile by THE BAT X. Kevin Kiermaier will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jhony Brito in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kevin Kiermaier can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Kevin Kiermaier hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Kevin Kiermaier will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • Toronto

M. Chapman
third base 3B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Matt Chapman is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Batters with extreme groundball characteristics, such as Matt Chapman, generally fare better when facing pitchers with extreme flyball tendencies, such as Jhony Brito. Matt Chapman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Matt Chapman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Matt Chapman in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Matt Chapman is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Matt Chapman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 10th-shallowest CF fences today. Batters with extreme groundball characteristics, such as Matt Chapman, generally fare better when facing pitchers with extreme flyball tendencies, such as Jhony Brito. Matt Chapman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Brandon Belt Total Hits Props • Toronto

B. Belt
first base 1B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest. Brandon Belt will have the handedness advantage against Jhony Brito in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Belt has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Jhony Brito, an extreme groundball pitcher, tends to be less effective against extreme flyball bats such as Brandon Belt. Brandon Belt will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Brandon Belt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest. Brandon Belt will have the handedness advantage against Jhony Brito in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Belt has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Jhony Brito, an extreme groundball pitcher, tends to be less effective against extreme flyball bats such as Brandon Belt. Brandon Belt will possess the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Alejandro Kirk Total Hits Props • Toronto

A. Kirk
catcher C • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

When assessing his batting average ability, Alejandro Kirk is ranked in the 92nd percentile by THE BAT X projects. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest. Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has been unlucky this year, putting up a .312 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .347 — a .035 gap. Alejandro Kirk has notched a .281 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Alejandro Kirk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his batting average ability, Alejandro Kirk is ranked in the 92nd percentile by THE BAT X projects. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest. Alejandro Kirk will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Alejandro Kirk has been unlucky this year, putting up a .312 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .347 — a .035 gap. Alejandro Kirk has notched a .281 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, ranking in the 88th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Daulton Varsho Total Hits Props • Toronto

D. Varsho
left outfield LF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage against Jhony Brito in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Daulton Varsho will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Daulton Varsho

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Daulton Varsho is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest. Daulton Varsho will have the handedness advantage against Jhony Brito in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Daulton Varsho stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Daulton Varsho will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

George Springer Total Hits Props • Toronto

G. Springer
center outfield CF • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects George Springer in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. George Springer is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest. George Springer will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. George Springer has been unlucky this year, posting a .271 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .353 — a .082 discrepancy.

George Springer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects George Springer in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. George Springer is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest. George Springer will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. George Springer has been unlucky this year, posting a .271 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .353 — a .082 discrepancy.

Aaron Judge Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Judge
right outfield RF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the game, per THE BAT X. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest. In the past week, Aaron Judge has remarkably improved his Barrel% by elevating his seasonal rate from 25% to 38.5%. Aaron Judge has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 103.2-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 99.8-mph.

Aaron Judge

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in the game, per THE BAT X. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest. In the past week, Aaron Judge has remarkably improved his Barrel% by elevating his seasonal rate from 25% to 38.5%. Aaron Judge has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 103.2-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 99.8-mph.

Whit Merrifield Total Hits Props • Toronto

W. Merrifield
second base 2B • Toronto
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

In terms of his batting average skill, Whit Merrifield ranks in the 90th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest. Whit Merrifield will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. There has been a significant increase in Whit Merrifield's launch angle, which was at 37° over the last week compared to his seasonal angle of 14.3°. Last year, Whit Merrifield had an average launch mark of 17.1° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year his mark has significantly increased to 20.7°.

Whit Merrifield

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In terms of his batting average skill, Whit Merrifield ranks in the 90th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest. Whit Merrifield will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. There has been a significant increase in Whit Merrifield's launch angle, which was at 37° over the last week compared to his seasonal angle of 14.3°. Last year, Whit Merrifield had an average launch mark of 17.1° on his highest exit velocity balls, while this year his mark has significantly increased to 20.7°.

DJ LeMahieu Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

D. LeMahieu
second base 2B • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

In terms of his batting average talent, DJ LeMahieu ranks in the 92nd percentile according to THE BAT X projects. DJ LeMahieu is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest. Over the last week's worth of games, DJ LeMahieu has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 7.5% to 14.3%, showcasing significant gains in his performance. A significant rise in his exit velocity can be observed in DJ LeMahieu's performance this season, with his current average of 92.5 mph differing from last year's EV of 89.2 mph.

DJ LeMahieu

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In terms of his batting average talent, DJ LeMahieu ranks in the 92nd percentile according to THE BAT X projects. DJ LeMahieu is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest. Over the last week's worth of games, DJ LeMahieu has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 7.5% to 14.3%, showcasing significant gains in his performance. A significant rise in his exit velocity can be observed in DJ LeMahieu's performance this season, with his current average of 92.5 mph differing from last year's EV of 89.2 mph.

Harrison Bader Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

H. Bader
center outfield CF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Harrison Bader hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. From last season's 3.4%, Harrison Bader has impressively increased his Barrel% to 8.6% this season. Of late, Harrison Bader' exit velocity on flyballs has noticeably gaind, markident from his 91.5-mph average in the last 7 days as compared to his seasonal average of 88.4-mph. Harrison Bader's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 15.5% to 34.3%.

Harrison Bader

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Harrison Bader hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. From last season's 3.4%, Harrison Bader has impressively increased his Barrel% to 8.6% this season. Of late, Harrison Bader' exit velocity on flyballs has noticeably gaind, markident from his 91.5-mph average in the last 7 days as compared to his seasonal average of 88.4-mph. Harrison Bader's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 15.5% to 34.3%.

Jose Trevino Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Trevino
catcher C • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Jose Trevino hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jose Trevino's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, increasing from 47.3% on the season to 58.3% in the last 7 days. Jose Trevino has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .256 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .307 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Jose Trevino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jose Trevino hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 10th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jose Trevino's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, increasing from 47.3% on the season to 58.3% in the last 7 days. Jose Trevino has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .256 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .307 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Jake Bauers Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

J. Bauers
left outfield LF • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-177
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-177
Projection Rating

This season, Jake Bauers mostly batted in the later part of the lineup (88% of the time); however, for this matchup, he is expected to hit in the 1st spot. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest. Jake Bauers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alek Manoah today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Bauers can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Over the last couple of weeks, Jake Bauers has displayed a remarkable display of power, boasting a 30.8% Barrel% which is regarded as an advanced metric for studying power.

Jake Bauers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

This season, Jake Bauers mostly batted in the later part of the lineup (88% of the time); however, for this matchup, he is expected to hit in the 1st spot. In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest. Jake Bauers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Alek Manoah today. The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jake Bauers can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Over the last couple of weeks, Jake Bauers has displayed a remarkable display of power, boasting a 30.8% Barrel% which is regarded as an advanced metric for studying power.

Anthony Volpe Total Hits Props • NY Yankees

A. Volpe
shortstop SS • NY Yankees
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest. In the past week's worth of games, Anthony Volpe has remarkably improved his Barrel% by elevating his seasonal rate from 10.5% to 29.4%. Anthony Volpe has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 93.1-mph. There has been a significant increase in Anthony Volpe's launch angle, which was at 21° over the last 7 days compared to his seasonal mark of 16.3°. Anthony Volpe has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .305 mark is deflated compared to his .341 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Anthony Volpe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In Major League Baseball, Rogers Centre's centerfield fences are the 9th-shallowest. In the past week's worth of games, Anthony Volpe has remarkably improved his Barrel% by elevating his seasonal rate from 10.5% to 29.4%. Anthony Volpe has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal average of 93.1-mph. There has been a significant increase in Anthony Volpe's launch angle, which was at 21° over the last 7 days compared to his seasonal mark of 16.3°. Anthony Volpe has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .305 mark is deflated compared to his .341 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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