SNLA, Bally Sports Network

Minnesota @ Los Angeles props

Dodger Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota

R. Jeffers
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium ranks as the 8th field in the league for right-handed batting average. Among all parks, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The percentage of Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at an optimal launch angle for home runs (between -4° and 26°) has increased from 16.9% to 24.1% between last season and this season. Ryan Jeffers has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .307 mark is a fair amount lower than his .330 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Ryan Jeffers's 13.1% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 91st percentile since the start of last season.

Ryan Jeffers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium ranks as the 8th field in the league for right-handed batting average. Among all parks, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The percentage of Ryan Jeffers's ability to hit the ball at an optimal launch angle for home runs (between -4° and 26°) has increased from 16.9% to 24.1% between last season and this season. Ryan Jeffers has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .307 mark is a fair amount lower than his .330 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Ryan Jeffers's 13.1% Barrel% (an advanced standard to evaluate power) ranks in the 91st percentile since the start of last season.

Mookie Betts Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Betts
right outfield RF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Mookie Betts ranks in the 96th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Mookie Betts is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium ranks as the 8th field in the league for right-handed batting average. Among all parks, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst on the slate.

Mookie Betts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Mookie Betts ranks in the 96th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Mookie Betts is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium ranks as the 8th field in the league for right-handed batting average. Among all parks, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst on the slate.

Max Muncy Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Muncy
third base 3B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

According to THE BAT X, it is projected that Max Muncy will rank as the 19th-best hitter in the league. Max Muncy is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium is ranked as the 8th field in MLB in terms of left-handed batting average. Max Muncy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pablo Lopez in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Muncy stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Max Muncy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

According to THE BAT X, it is projected that Max Muncy will rank as the 19th-best hitter in the league. Max Muncy is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium is ranked as the 8th field in MLB in terms of left-handed batting average. Max Muncy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pablo Lopez in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Max Muncy stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

James Outman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

J. Outman
left outfield LF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium is ranked as the 8th field in MLB in terms of left-handed batting average. James Outman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pablo Lopez in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Outman can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst on the slate. James Outman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

James Outman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium is ranked as the 8th field in MLB in terms of left-handed batting average. James Outman will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pablo Lopez in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Outman can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 4th-worst on the slate. James Outman will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Miguel Vargas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Vargas
first base 1B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

According to THE BAT X, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 87th percentile for his batting average skill. Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium ranks as the 8th field in the league for right-handed batting average. Miguel Vargas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst on the slate. Miguel Vargas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Miguel Vargas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

According to THE BAT X, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 87th percentile for his batting average skill. Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium ranks as the 8th field in the league for right-handed batting average. Miguel Vargas hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst on the slate. Miguel Vargas will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.

Alex Kirilloff Total Hits Props • Minnesota

A. Kirilloff
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

When facing a northpaw since the start of last season, Alex Kirilloff has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 12% of the time. The weather report calls for the 4th-best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Alex Kirilloff will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Due to his exceptional performance in wOBA since the start of last season, Alex Kirilloff appears to have been blessed with a stroke of good fortune; his score of .325 significantly surpasses his anticipated wOBA of .300, which is determined using Statcast data per the interpretation of THE BAT X. With an stat1° launch angle, which is a dependable statistic used to assess a batter's capacity to hit for power, Alex Kirilloff's performance is in the 15th percentile among groundball-causing players in MLB.

Alex Kirilloff

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When facing a northpaw since the start of last season, Alex Kirilloff has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 12% of the time. The weather report calls for the 4th-best pitching weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Alex Kirilloff will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Due to his exceptional performance in wOBA since the start of last season, Alex Kirilloff appears to have been blessed with a stroke of good fortune; his score of .325 significantly surpasses his anticipated wOBA of .300, which is determined using Statcast data per the interpretation of THE BAT X. With an stat1° launch angle, which is a dependable statistic used to assess a batter's capacity to hit for power, Alex Kirilloff's performance is in the 15th percentile among groundball-causing players in MLB.

Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Correa
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Carlos Correa ranks in the 94th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium ranks as the 8th field in the league for right-handed batting average. Carlos Correa hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Carlos Correa has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 13.2% seasonal rate to 20.6% over the past two weeks.

Carlos Correa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Carlos Correa ranks in the 94th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium ranks as the 8th field in the league for right-handed batting average. Carlos Correa hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Carlos Correa has made big strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 13.2% seasonal rate to 20.6% over the past two weeks.

Jorge Polanco Total Hits Props • Minnesota

J. Polanco
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jorge Polanco in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jorge Polanco is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium is ranked as the 8th field in MLB in terms of left-handed batting average. Compared to last year's 19.8°, Jorge Polanco has shown a notable increase in his average launch angle of 26.7° on his hardest-hit balls this season. Jorge Polanco's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 21% on the season to 33.3% over the last week.

Jorge Polanco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Jorge Polanco in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Jorge Polanco is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium is ranked as the 8th field in MLB in terms of left-handed batting average. Compared to last year's 19.8°, Jorge Polanco has shown a notable increase in his average launch angle of 26.7° on his hardest-hit balls this season. Jorge Polanco's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 21% on the season to 33.3% over the last week.

Miguel Rojas Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

M. Rojas
shortstop SS • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

When assessing Miguel Rojas's batting average captalent, THE BAT X places him in the 82nd percentile. Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium ranks as the 8th field in the league for right-handed batting average. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst on the slate. Miguel Rojas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. In his recent games, Miguel Rojas's exit velocity on flyballs has significantly increased, evident by his 92.7-mph EV over the past fortnight, a notable increase from his seasonal EV of 88.8-mph.

Miguel Rojas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing Miguel Rojas's batting average captalent, THE BAT X places him in the 82nd percentile. Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium ranks as the 8th field in the league for right-handed batting average. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 5th-worst on the slate. Miguel Rojas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. In his recent games, Miguel Rojas's exit velocity on flyballs has significantly increased, evident by his 92.7-mph EV over the past fortnight, a notable increase from his seasonal EV of 88.8-mph.

Byron Buxton Total Hits Props • Minnesota

B. Buxton
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Byron Buxton ranks in the 96th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Byron Buxton is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium ranks as the 8th field in the league for right-handed batting average. Among all parks, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Over the last week, Byron Buxton has had a launch angle of 46°, significantly higher than his seasonal figure of 22.1°.

Byron Buxton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Byron Buxton ranks in the 96th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Byron Buxton is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium ranks as the 8th field in the league for right-handed batting average. Among all parks, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Over the last week, Byron Buxton has had a launch angle of 46°, significantly higher than his seasonal figure of 22.1°.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota

W. Castro
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium is ranked as the 8th field in MLB in terms of left-handed batting average. Among all parks, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. From last year's 3.5%, Willi Castro has impressively increased his Barrel% to 8.8% this year. Comparing his current average of 91 mph to last year's mark of 84.9 mph, there has been a significant boost in Willi Castro's exit velocity this season. From last season to this one, Willi Castro has improved his ability to hit the ball with a launch angle between -4° and 26°, which optimizes for a home run. His percentage has risen from 17.3% to 23.5%.

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium is ranked as the 8th field in MLB in terms of left-handed batting average. Among all parks, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. From last year's 3.5%, Willi Castro has impressively increased his Barrel% to 8.8% this year. Comparing his current average of 91 mph to last year's mark of 84.9 mph, there has been a significant boost in Willi Castro's exit velocity this season. From last season to this one, Willi Castro has improved his ability to hit the ball with a launch angle between -4° and 26°, which optimizes for a home run. His percentage has risen from 17.3% to 23.5%.

Freddie Freeman Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

F. Freeman
first base 1B • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

When considering his batting average skill, Freddie Freeman ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the league according to THE BAT X. Freddie Freeman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium is ranked as the 8th field in MLB in terms of left-handed batting average. Among all parks, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Freddie Freeman will have the handedness advantage over Pablo Lopez in today's game.

Freddie Freeman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When considering his batting average skill, Freddie Freeman ranks as the 3rd-best hitter in the league according to THE BAT X. Freddie Freeman is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium is ranked as the 8th field in MLB in terms of left-handed batting average. Among all parks, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Freddie Freeman will have the handedness advantage over Pablo Lopez in today's game.

Kyle Farmer Total Hits Props • Minnesota

K. Farmer
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium ranks as the 8th field in the league for right-handed batting average. Among all parks, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Comparing his average of 95.4 mph this season to last year's average of 90 mph, Kyle Farmer has exhibited a noteworthy increase in his exit velocity on flyballs. Comparing Kyle Farmer' 98.6-mph average exit velocity on flyballs in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 95.4-mph rmarkeals a significant gain. Kyle Farmer has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .257 figure is a good deal lower than his .285 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Kyle Farmer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium ranks as the 8th field in the league for right-handed batting average. Among all parks, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Comparing his average of 95.4 mph this season to last year's average of 90 mph, Kyle Farmer has exhibited a noteworthy increase in his exit velocity on flyballs. Comparing Kyle Farmer' 98.6-mph average exit velocity on flyballs in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 95.4-mph rmarkeals a significant gain. Kyle Farmer has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .257 figure is a good deal lower than his .285 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

David Peralta Total Hits Props • LA Dodgers

D. Peralta
left outfield LF • LA Dodgers
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-152
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-152
Projection Rating

Estimating David Peralta's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 79th percentile. Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium is ranked as the 8th field in MLB in terms of left-handed batting average. David Peralta will have the handedness advantage over Pablo Lopez in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so David Peralta has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. David Peralta hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

David Peralta

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Estimating David Peralta's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 79th percentile. Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium is ranked as the 8th field in MLB in terms of left-handed batting average. David Peralta will have the handedness advantage over Pablo Lopez in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so David Peralta has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. David Peralta hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Nick Gordon Total Hits Props • Minnesota

N. Gordon
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Nick Gordon in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium is ranked as the 8th field in MLB in terms of left-handed batting average. Among all parks, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Nick Gordon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noah Syndergaard today. Although THE BAT X estimates his true talent level to be .321, which is a .108 discrepancy, Nick Gordon has been unlucky this year with a .213 wOBA.

Nick Gordon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

THE BAT X projects Nick Gordon in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Via THE BAT projection system, Dodger Stadium is ranked as the 8th field in MLB in terms of left-handed batting average. Among all parks, Dodger Stadium's centerfield fences are the 8th-shallowest. Nick Gordon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Noah Syndergaard today. Although THE BAT X estimates his true talent level to be .321, which is a .108 discrepancy, Nick Gordon has been unlucky this year with a .213 wOBA.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast