Bally Sports Network

Atlanta @ Texas props

Globe Life Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Sam Hilliard Total Hits Props • Atlanta

S. Hilliard
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Sam Hilliard will hold the platoon advantage over Dane Dunning in today's game. This year, Sam Hilliard has improved his ability to hit the ball with a launch angle that optimizes his base hit (between -4° and 26°). His success rate has risen from 38.7% to 51.4% compared to last year. Sam Hilliard has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .277 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .298 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Sam Hilliard's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) has been 115.1 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 96th percentile. Scoring in the 92nd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.87 ft/sec this year, Sam Hilliard exhibits immense athleticism.

Sam Hilliard

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Sam Hilliard will hold the platoon advantage over Dane Dunning in today's game. This year, Sam Hilliard has improved his ability to hit the ball with a launch angle that optimizes his base hit (between -4° and 26°). His success rate has risen from 38.7% to 51.4% compared to last year. Sam Hilliard has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .277 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .298 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Sam Hilliard's maximum exit velocity (an advanced standard to measure power) has been 115.1 mph since the start of last season, grading out in the 96th percentile. Scoring in the 92nd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.87 ft/sec this year, Sam Hilliard exhibits immense athleticism.

Robbie Grossman Total Hits Props • Texas

R. Grossman
left outfield LF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

Despite mainly batting in the latter half of the lineup this season (52% of games), Robbie Grossman has been placed in the 2nd spot for this game. The switch-hitting Robbie Grossman will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Jared Shuster... and even better, Shuster has a large platoon split. On the slate today, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Robbie Grossman will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Comparing to his seasonal angle of 21.3°, Robbie Grossman has recorded a launch angle of 29° in the past 7 days, showcasing a significant increase.

Robbie Grossman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Despite mainly batting in the latter half of the lineup this season (52% of games), Robbie Grossman has been placed in the 2nd spot for this game. The switch-hitting Robbie Grossman will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Jared Shuster... and even better, Shuster has a large platoon split. On the slate today, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Robbie Grossman will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Comparing to his seasonal angle of 21.3°, Robbie Grossman has recorded a launch angle of 29° in the past 7 days, showcasing a significant increase.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

Over the last 14 days, Orlando Arcia's capability of hitting the ball at an ideal launch angle for a BABIP (ranging between -4° and 26°) has elevated to 58.8%, whereas it was 46.2% earlier in the season. Orlando Arcia's 90.2-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in the league since the start of last season: 78th percentile. Orlando Arcia has put up a .339 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 79th percentile. Ranking in the 76th percentile, Orlando Arcia has put up a .264 batting average since the start of last season.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Over the last 14 days, Orlando Arcia's capability of hitting the ball at an ideal launch angle for a BABIP (ranging between -4° and 26°) has elevated to 58.8%, whereas it was 46.2% earlier in the season. Orlando Arcia's 90.2-mph average exit velocity is one of the best in the league since the start of last season: 78th percentile. Orlando Arcia has put up a .339 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 79th percentile. Ranking in the 76th percentile, Orlando Arcia has put up a .264 batting average since the start of last season.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

When it comes to his batting average ability, Ozzie Albies is ranked in the 89th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Dane Dunning, an extreme groundball pitcher, tends to be less effective against extreme flyball bats such as Ozzie Albies. Compared to last year, Ozzie Albies has improved his capability to hit the ball within the HR-maximizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, as his percentage has increased from 18.6% to 25%. In recent times, Ozzie Albies has shown improvement in hitting the ball with a launch angle between -4° and 26°, which maximizes the chances of a home run. His percentage has increased from 25% for the season to 35.3% in the past 7 days. Ozzie Albies has compiled a .356 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 80th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When it comes to his batting average ability, Ozzie Albies is ranked in the 89th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Dane Dunning, an extreme groundball pitcher, tends to be less effective against extreme flyball bats such as Ozzie Albies. Compared to last year, Ozzie Albies has improved his capability to hit the ball within the HR-maximizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, as his percentage has increased from 18.6% to 25%. In recent times, Ozzie Albies has shown improvement in hitting the ball with a launch angle between -4° and 26°, which maximizes the chances of a home run. His percentage has increased from 25% for the season to 35.3% in the past 7 days. Ozzie Albies has compiled a .356 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 80th percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas

A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-208
Projection Rating

Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Adolis Garcia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Shuster in today's matchup... and even better, Shuster has a large platoon split. On the slate today, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Adolis Garcia will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. His launch angle has significantly improved in the past two weeks, recording 20.8° compared to his seasonal angle of 15.9°, Adolis Garcia's performance shows.

Adolis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Adolis Garcia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Shuster in today's matchup... and even better, Shuster has a large platoon split. On the slate today, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Adolis Garcia will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. His launch angle has significantly improved in the past two weeks, recording 20.8° compared to his seasonal angle of 15.9°, Adolis Garcia's performance shows.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Eddie Rosario is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Eddie Rosario will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning today. Compared to last season, Eddie Rosario has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for BABIP optimization, increasing his percentage from 39.3% to 55.3% this season.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Eddie Rosario is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Eddie Rosario will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning today. Compared to last season, Eddie Rosario has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for BABIP optimization, increasing his percentage from 39.3% to 55.3% this season.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Sean Murphy in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Sean Murphy is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Sean Murphy has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 10.5% rate last season to 22.1% this season. Over the past 14 days, Sean Murphy's exit velocity has notably risen, with an figure of 94.9 mph compared to his season-long 91.9 mph EV. In terms of Statcast data interpreted by THE BAT X, Sean Murphy ranks in the 100th percentile with a .437 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) for this year.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Sean Murphy in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Sean Murphy is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Sean Murphy has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 10.5% rate last season to 22.1% this season. Over the past 14 days, Sean Murphy's exit velocity has notably risen, with an figure of 94.9 mph compared to his season-long 91.9 mph EV. In terms of Statcast data interpreted by THE BAT X, Sean Murphy ranks in the 100th percentile with a .437 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) for this year.

Ezequiel Duran Total Hits Props • Texas

E. Duran
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Ezequiel Duran's BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by THE BAT X assessment. Ezequiel Duran will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Shuster in today's game... and the cherry on top, Shuster has a large platoon split. On the slate today, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Ezequiel Duran will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Ezequiel Duran has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.6% seasonal rate to 15.8% over the past two weeks.

Ezequiel Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ezequiel Duran's BABIP talent is projected in the 79th percentile by THE BAT X assessment. Ezequiel Duran will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Shuster in today's game... and the cherry on top, Shuster has a large platoon split. On the slate today, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Ezequiel Duran will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Ezequiel Duran has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 9.6% seasonal rate to 15.8% over the past two weeks.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Assessing his overall offensive captalent, Austin Riley scores in the 95th percentile in THE BAT X projects. Austin Riley is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Lately, Austin Riley's capacity to strike the ball at an angle that optimizes BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°) has grown, progressing from 43% this season to 63.6% in the last 7 days. Austin Riley has been unlucky this year, posting a .325 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .364 — a .039 discrepancy.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Assessing his overall offensive captalent, Austin Riley scores in the 95th percentile in THE BAT X projects. Austin Riley is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Lately, Austin Riley's capacity to strike the ball at an angle that optimizes BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°) has grown, progressing from 43% this season to 63.6% in the last 7 days. Austin Riley has been unlucky this year, posting a .325 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .364 — a .039 discrepancy.

Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas

M. Semien
second base 2B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Marcus Semien in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Marcus Semien will have the handedness advantage against Jared Shuster today... and even better, Shuster has a large platoon split. On the slate today, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Marcus Semien will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Marcus Semien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Marcus Semien in the 87th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Marcus Semien is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Marcus Semien will have the handedness advantage against Jared Shuster today... and even better, Shuster has a large platoon split. On the slate today, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Marcus Semien will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

Matt Olson projects as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to THE BAT X. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning in today's game. Comparing his current average of 95 mph to last year's EV of 92.9 mph, there has been a significant boost in Matt Olson's exit velocity this season. Lately, Matt Olson' exit velocity on flyballs has noticeably increased, EVident from his 101.9-mph average in the last 7 days as compared to his seasonal average of 99.5-mph.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Matt Olson projects as the 20th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to THE BAT X. Matt Olson is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Matt Olson will hold the platoon advantage against Dane Dunning in today's game. Comparing his current average of 95 mph to last year's EV of 92.9 mph, there has been a significant boost in Matt Olson's exit velocity this season. Lately, Matt Olson' exit velocity on flyballs has noticeably increased, EVident from his 101.9-mph average in the last 7 days as compared to his seasonal average of 99.5-mph.

Leody Taveras Total Hits Props • Texas

L. Taveras
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-169
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-169
Projection Rating

The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jared Shuster... and even better, Shuster has a large platoon split. On the slate today, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Leody Taveras will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Ranked in the 96th percentile, Leody Taveras's .352 BABIP since the start of last season, has been put up.

Leody Taveras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The switch-hitting Leody Taveras will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side (0) today against Jared Shuster... and even better, Shuster has a large platoon split. On the slate today, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Leody Taveras will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Ranked in the 96th percentile, Leody Taveras's .352 BABIP since the start of last season, has been put up.

Josh Jung Total Hits Props • Texas

J. Jung
third base 3B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

Assessing his BABIP skill, THE BAT X rates Josh Jung in the 85th percentile. Josh Jung is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Josh Jung will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Shuster today... and even better, Shuster has a large platoon split. On the slate today, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Josh Jung will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Josh Jung

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Assessing his BABIP skill, THE BAT X rates Josh Jung in the 85th percentile. Josh Jung is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Josh Jung will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Shuster today... and even better, Shuster has a large platoon split. On the slate today, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Josh Jung will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas

J. Heim
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Jared Shuster... and even better, Shuster has a large platoon split. On the slate today, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Jonah Heim will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. This season, Jonah Heim has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, with an average of 95.8 mph, compared to last year's 90 mph mark. In comparison to his figure of 11.7° in the previous season, Jonah Heim has significantly increased his average launch figure to 20.7° on the balls he has struck the hardest this year.

Jonah Heim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Jared Shuster... and even better, Shuster has a large platoon split. On the slate today, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 5th-worst. Jonah Heim will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. This season, Jonah Heim has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, with an average of 95.8 mph, compared to last year's 90 mph mark. In comparison to his figure of 11.7° in the previous season, Jonah Heim has significantly increased his average launch figure to 20.7° on the balls he has struck the hardest this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast