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Tampa Bay @ New York props

Citi Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Eduardo Escobar Total Hits Props • NY Mets

E. Escobar
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Assessing his BABIP ability, THE BAT X rates Eduardo Escobar in the 16th percentile. When facing a lefty hurler this year, Eduardo Escobar has been pinch hit for 27% of the time. Citi Field ranks as the #30 park in the league for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. The elevation of Citi Field is among the lowest in the majors, nearly at sea-level, resulting in decreased offensive performance. This game is projected to have the 4th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Eduardo Escobar

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Assessing his BABIP ability, THE BAT X rates Eduardo Escobar in the 16th percentile. When facing a lefty hurler this year, Eduardo Escobar has been pinch hit for 27% of the time. Citi Field ranks as the #30 park in the league for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. The elevation of Citi Field is among the lowest in the majors, nearly at sea-level, resulting in decreased offensive performance. This game is projected to have the 4th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Wander Franco Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

W. Franco
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

When considering his batting average ability, Wander Franco ranks as the 7th-best batter in the game according to THE BAT X. Wander Franco is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. Of late, it has been observed that Wander Franco's exit velocity on flyballs has significantly increased, as he now has an average of 97.7-mph in the past 14 days, compared to his seasonal average of 94.1-mph. According to Statcast data interpreted by THE BAT X, Wander Franco ranks in the 91st percentile with his .376 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year.

Wander Franco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

When considering his batting average ability, Wander Franco ranks as the 7th-best batter in the game according to THE BAT X. Wander Franco is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. Of late, it has been observed that Wander Franco's exit velocity on flyballs has significantly increased, as he now has an average of 97.7-mph in the past 14 days, compared to his seasonal average of 94.1-mph. According to Statcast data interpreted by THE BAT X, Wander Franco ranks in the 91st percentile with his .376 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year.

Jose Siri Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Siri
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

When it comes to his BABIP capability, Jose Siri is projected in the 85th percentile by THE BAT X. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. From last year's 6.3%, Jose Siri has impressively increased his Barrel% to 18.6% this year. Over the last 14 days, Jose Siri has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 18.6% to 27.8%. Jose Siri's launch angle of late (33.3° in the past week) is quite a bit better than his 14.4° seasonal figure.

Jose Siri

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

When it comes to his BABIP capability, Jose Siri is projected in the 85th percentile by THE BAT X. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. From last year's 6.3%, Jose Siri has impressively increased his Barrel% to 18.6% this year. Over the last 14 days, Jose Siri has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 18.6% to 27.8%. Jose Siri's launch angle of late (33.3° in the past week) is quite a bit better than his 14.4° seasonal figure.

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Assessing his overall offensive capability, Randy Arozarena scores in the 96th percentile in THE BAT X projects. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Randy Arozarena hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Randy Arozarena has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 7.9% rate last year to 19.6% this year. Comparing his current average of 93.9 mph to last year's mark of 89.8 mph, there has been a significant boost in Randy Arozarena's exit velocity this season.

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Assessing his overall offensive capability, Randy Arozarena scores in the 96th percentile in THE BAT X projects. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Randy Arozarena hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 79th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's shallowest CF fences today. Randy Arozarena has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 7.9% rate last year to 19.6% this year. Comparing his current average of 93.9 mph to last year's mark of 89.8 mph, there has been a significant boost in Randy Arozarena's exit velocity this season.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Estimating Brandon Nimmo's batting average talent, THE BAT X projects him in the 96th percentile. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Brandon Nimmo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Brandon Nimmo will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. His exit velocity has greatly increased this season, evident by his current 91.8-mph average compared to his 89.3-mph mark from the previous year, as demonstrated by Brandon Nimmo.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Estimating Brandon Nimmo's batting average talent, THE BAT X projects him in the 96th percentile. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Brandon Nimmo has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Brandon Nimmo will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. His exit velocity has greatly increased this season, evident by his current 91.8-mph average compared to his 89.3-mph mark from the previous year, as demonstrated by Brandon Nimmo.

Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

T. Walls
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. Lately, Taylor Walls has enhanced his Barrel% sizeablely, rising from his seasonal rate of 6.9% to 21.7% in the past 14 days. Comparing Taylor Walls' 102.2-mph average exit velocity on flyballs in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 92.2-mph rmarkeals a significant gain. During the last 14 days, Taylor Walls's capacity to achieve a HR-maximizing launch angle (ranging between -4° and 26°) through hitting the ball has advanced with his percentage increasing from 19.4% on the season to 34.8%.

Taylor Walls

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. Lately, Taylor Walls has enhanced his Barrel% sizeablely, rising from his seasonal rate of 6.9% to 21.7% in the past 14 days. Comparing Taylor Walls' 102.2-mph average exit velocity on flyballs in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 92.2-mph rmarkeals a significant gain. During the last 14 days, Taylor Walls's capacity to achieve a HR-maximizing launch angle (ranging between -4° and 26°) through hitting the ball has advanced with his percentage increasing from 19.4% on the season to 34.8%.

Francisco Mejia Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

F. Mejia
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Francisco Mejia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences today.

Francisco Mejia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Francisco Mejia hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's shallowest CF fences today.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Francisco Lindor in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Josh Fleming... and even better, Fleming has a large platoon split. Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Francisco Lindor will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Francisco Lindor in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Josh Fleming... and even better, Fleming has a large platoon split. Francisco Lindor pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.7% — 92nd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Francisco Lindor will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Luke Raley Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

L. Raley
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Assessing his overall offensive capskill, Luke Raley scores in the 81st percentile in THE BAT X projects. Luke Raley will hold the platoon advantage over Kodai Senga in today's game. Luke Raley hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In recent times, Luke Raley's exit velocity has noticeably surged; evident from his 14-day mark of 96.2 mph which is a significant jump from his seasonal 93.7 mph EV. Luke Raley's launch angle in recent games (24.2° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 21° seasonal figure.

Luke Raley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Assessing his overall offensive capskill, Luke Raley scores in the 81st percentile in THE BAT X projects. Luke Raley will hold the platoon advantage over Kodai Senga in today's game. Luke Raley hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. In recent times, Luke Raley's exit velocity has noticeably surged; evident from his 14-day mark of 96.2 mph which is a significant jump from his seasonal 93.7 mph EV. Luke Raley's launch angle in recent games (24.2° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is a considerable increase over his 21° seasonal figure.

Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

I. Paredes
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this season (19.8°) is a significant increase over his 15.5° figure last season. In the past week, Isaac Paredes's launch angle has been notably reduced to 12.8°, which is a considerable dropoff from his seasonal average of 19.8°. Isaac Paredes has displayed favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 88th percentile with a 1.76 K/BB rate.

Isaac Paredes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Isaac Paredes is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this season (19.8°) is a significant increase over his 15.5° figure last season. In the past week, Isaac Paredes's launch angle has been notably reduced to 12.8°, which is a considerable dropoff from his seasonal average of 19.8°. Isaac Paredes has displayed favorable plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 88th percentile with a 1.76 K/BB rate.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

S. Marte
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Estimating Starling Marte's batting average talent, THE BAT X projects him in the 94th percentile. Starling Marte will have the handedness advantage over Josh Fleming today... and moreover, Fleming has a large platoon split. Starling Marte hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Starling Marte will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.9°, Starling Marte has a significantly improved average launch angle of 26.2° on the balls with the highest exit velocity in the past two weeks.

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Estimating Starling Marte's batting average talent, THE BAT X projects him in the 94th percentile. Starling Marte will have the handedness advantage over Josh Fleming today... and moreover, Fleming has a large platoon split. Starling Marte hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 78th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Starling Marte will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.9°, Starling Marte has a significantly improved average launch angle of 26.2° on the balls with the highest exit velocity in the past two weeks.

Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

B. Lowe
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game. Brandon Lowe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. From last year's 10.4%, Brandon Lowe has impressively increased his Barrel% to 15.9% this year.

Brandon Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Brandon Lowe will hold the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game. Brandon Lowe hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 89th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. From last year's 10.4%, Brandon Lowe has impressively increased his Barrel% to 15.9% this year.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. Francisco Alvarez will have the handedness advantage over Josh Fleming in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Fleming has a large platoon split. Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Lately, Francisco Alvarez has enhanced his Barrel% sizeablely, rising from his seasonal rate of 6% to 12.5% in the past 14 days.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. Francisco Alvarez will have the handedness advantage over Josh Fleming in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Fleming has a large platoon split. Francisco Alvarez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Lately, Francisco Alvarez has enhanced his Barrel% sizeablely, rising from his seasonal rate of 6% to 12.5% in the past 14 days.

Mark Canha Total Hits Props • NY Mets

M. Canha
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

In terms of his overall offensive capability, Mark Canha ranks in the 77th percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. Mark Canha will hold the platoon advantage over Josh Fleming in today's game... and even better, Fleming has a large platoon split. Mark Canha will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Rising from 14.6% to 21%, Mark Canha has shown an improvement in his capacity to strike the ball at a launch angle that maximizes home runs, ranging from -4° to 26°, compared to last year.

Mark Canha

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In terms of his overall offensive capability, Mark Canha ranks in the 77th percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Citi Field has the shallowest CF dimensions in the majors. Mark Canha will hold the platoon advantage over Josh Fleming in today's game... and even better, Fleming has a large platoon split. Mark Canha will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Rising from 14.6% to 21%, Mark Canha has shown an improvement in his capacity to strike the ball at a launch angle that maximizes home runs, ranging from -4° to 26°, compared to last year.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • NY Mets

T. Pham
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Tommy Pham ranks in the 82nd percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Tommy Pham is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Tommy Pham will hold the platoon advantage over Josh Fleming today... and even better, Fleming has a large platoon split. Tommy Pham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Tommy Pham will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Tommy Pham ranks in the 82nd percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Tommy Pham is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Tommy Pham will hold the platoon advantage over Josh Fleming today... and even better, Fleming has a large platoon split. Tommy Pham hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game. Tommy Pham will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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