MASN, Bally Sports Network

Detroit @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Joey Meneses Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Meneses
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Under
-275
Projection Rating

Via THE BAT projection system, venue ranks as the 30nd venue in MLB for righty BABIP. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Over the last week, Joey Meneses's average exit velocity has decreased from his seasonal figure of 89.2-mph to 86.2-mph. His average launch angle on the highest exit velocity balls this year (3.1°) has significantly decreased compared to his 10.1° mark from the previous season, as observed in Joey Meneses. In recent games, Joey Meneses has exhibited a decline in his capacity to strike the ball at a launch angle that maximizes BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his percentage dropping from 48.9% for the season to 31.3% in the last week.

Joey Meneses

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Via THE BAT projection system, venue ranks as the 30nd venue in MLB for righty BABIP. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Over the last week, Joey Meneses's average exit velocity has decreased from his seasonal figure of 89.2-mph to 86.2-mph. His average launch angle on the highest exit velocity balls this year (3.1°) has significantly decreased compared to his 10.1° mark from the previous season, as observed in Joey Meneses. In recent games, Joey Meneses has exhibited a decline in his capacity to strike the ball at a launch angle that maximizes BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his percentage dropping from 48.9% for the season to 31.3% in the last week.

Riley Greene Total Hits Props • Detroit

R. Greene
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT projection system ranks Nationals Park as the 30th MLB ballpark for lefty BABIP. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Riley Greene will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Riley Greene's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 9.2% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days. In terms of his batting average, Riley Greene has had bad variance on his side this year. His .291 BA has been significantly higher THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .263.

Riley Greene

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT projection system ranks Nationals Park as the 30th MLB ballpark for lefty BABIP. As far as temperature and humidity go, the 5th-best pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this matchup. Riley Greene will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Riley Greene's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 9.2% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days. In terms of his batting average, Riley Greene has had bad variance on his side this year. His .291 BA has been significantly higher THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .263.

Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington

A. Call
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Alex Call will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd today... and even better, Boyd has a huge platoon split. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Alex Call will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. A significant increase in his exit velocity has been observed in Alex Call, evident by his 92.4-mph average in the past week as compared to his seasonal average of 87 mph. Alex Call's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, going from 42.3% on the season to 53.8% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Alex Call will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd today... and even better, Boyd has a huge platoon split. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Alex Call will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. A significant increase in his exit velocity has been observed in Alex Call, evident by his 92.4-mph average in the past week as compared to his seasonal average of 87 mph. Alex Call's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved of late, going from 42.3% on the season to 53.8% in the past two weeks' worth of games.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

In the majors, Nationals Park features the 9th-shallowest right field fences. Extreme groundball bats like CJ Abrams are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Matthew Boyd. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate today. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. In recent times, CJ Abrams's exit velocity has notably risen; observe the difference between his average of 95 mph in the past week's worth of games and his seasonal EV of 87 mph.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In the majors, Nationals Park features the 9th-shallowest right field fences. Extreme groundball bats like CJ Abrams are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Matthew Boyd. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate today. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. In recent times, CJ Abrams's exit velocity has notably risen; observe the difference between his average of 95 mph in the past week's worth of games and his seasonal EV of 87 mph.

Nick Maton Total Hits Props • Detroit

N. Maton
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

In the majors, Nationals Park features the 9th-shallowest right field fences. Nick Maton will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's game. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Nick Maton is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the whole game. Even though THE BAT X estimates Nick Maton' true talent level to be .305, a .054 gap, he has unfortunately posted a .251 wOBA this year.

Nick Maton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In the majors, Nationals Park features the 9th-shallowest right field fences. Nick Maton will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's game. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Nick Maton is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the whole game. Even though THE BAT X estimates Nick Maton' true talent level to be .305, a .054 gap, he has unfortunately posted a .251 wOBA this year.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Keibert Ruiz will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .283 rate is a good deal lower than his .331 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Keibert Ruiz has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 93rd percentile with a 1.18 K/BB rate.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Keibert Ruiz will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .283 rate is a good deal lower than his .331 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Keibert Ruiz has exhibited favorable plate discipline this year, grading out in the 93rd percentile with a 1.18 K/BB rate.

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington

L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-238
Projection Rating

Lane Thomas is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Lane Thomas will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game... and moreover, Boyd has a huge platoon split. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Lane Thomas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. A significant increase in Lane Thomas's exit velocity on flyballs has been observed in recent games, evidenced by his EV of 98.4-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games in comparison to his seasonal EV of 94.5-mph.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Lane Thomas is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Lane Thomas will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game... and moreover, Boyd has a huge platoon split. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Lane Thomas will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. A significant increase in Lane Thomas's exit velocity on flyballs has been observed in recent games, evidenced by his EV of 98.4-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games in comparison to his seasonal EV of 94.5-mph.

Eric Haase Total Hits Props • Detroit

E. Haase
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-167
Projection Rating

Checking in at the 83rd percentile, Eric Haase has posted a .327 BABIP since the start of last season.

Eric Haase

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Checking in at the 83rd percentile, Eric Haase has posted a .327 BABIP since the start of last season.

Jeimer Candelario Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Candelario
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Jeimer Candelario is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Matthew Boyd... and even better, Boyd has a huge platoon split. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Jeimer Candelario will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Recently, Jeimer Candelario' exit velocity on flyballs has noticeably improvementd, averageident from his 95-mph average in the last 7 days as compared to his seasonal average of 91.7-mph.

Jeimer Candelario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Jeimer Candelario is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Matthew Boyd... and even better, Boyd has a huge platoon split. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Jeimer Candelario will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Recently, Jeimer Candelario' exit velocity on flyballs has noticeably improvementd, averageident from his 95-mph average in the last 7 days as compared to his seasonal average of 91.7-mph.

Matt Vierling Total Hits Props • Detroit

M. Vierling
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

In terms of his batting average skill, Matt Vierling ranks in the 79th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Matt Vierling has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. A significant increase in his exit velocity has been observed in Matt Vierling, evident by his 92.4-mph EV in the past week as compared to his seasonal EV of 90.3 mph. Matt Vierling's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (7.6°) is quite a bit higher than his 2.3° mark last season. Lately, Matt Vierling has shown an improvement in hitting the ball with a launch angle that maximizes home runs (ranging from -4° to 26°), as his percentage has risen from 18.1% over the season to 36.4% in the past 7 days.

Matt Vierling

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In terms of his batting average skill, Matt Vierling ranks in the 79th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Matt Vierling has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. A significant increase in his exit velocity has been observed in Matt Vierling, evident by his 92.4-mph EV in the past week as compared to his seasonal EV of 90.3 mph. Matt Vierling's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (7.6°) is quite a bit higher than his 2.3° mark last season. Lately, Matt Vierling has shown an improvement in hitting the ball with a launch angle that maximizes home runs (ranging from -4° to 26°), as his percentage has risen from 18.1% over the season to 36.4% in the past 7 days.

Luis Garcia Total Hits Props • Washington

L. Garcia
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-265
Projection Rating

When assessing his batting average skill, Luis Garcia is ranked in the 90th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Luis Garcia is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. In the majors, Nationals Park features the 9th-shallowest right field fences. Bats such as Luis Garcia with a tendency for groundball hits are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Matthew Boyd who specialize in flyballs. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Luis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When assessing his batting average skill, Luis Garcia is ranked in the 90th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Luis Garcia is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. In the majors, Nationals Park features the 9th-shallowest right field fences. Bats such as Luis Garcia with a tendency for groundball hits are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Matthew Boyd who specialize in flyballs. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate today.

Javier Baez Total Hits Props • Detroit

J. Baez
shortstop SS • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Javier Baez in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Javier Baez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Lately, Javier Baez has shown an improvement in hitting the ball with a launch angle that maximizes home runs (ranging from -4° to 26°), as his percentage has risen from 13.6% over the season to 25% in the past 7 days.

Javier Baez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Javier Baez in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Javier Baez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Lately, Javier Baez has shown an improvement in hitting the ball with a launch angle that maximizes home runs (ranging from -4° to 26°), as his percentage has risen from 13.6% over the season to 25% in the past 7 days.

Stone Garrett Total Hits Props • Washington

S. Garrett
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-179
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-179
Projection Rating

Stone Garrett will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game... and even more favorably, Boyd has a huge platoon split. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Stone Garrett will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the last week's worth of games, Stone Garrett has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 9.1% to 16.7%, showcasing significant improvements in his performance. Comparing his seasonal 93.1-mph average to his 100.2-mph average in the past week's games, Stone Garrett's exit velocity has significantly improvementd in recent times.

Stone Garrett

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Stone Garrett will have the handedness advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game... and even more favorably, Boyd has a huge platoon split. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Stone Garrett will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Over the last week's worth of games, Stone Garrett has significantly increased his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 9.1% to 16.7%, showcasing significant improvements in his performance. Comparing his seasonal 93.1-mph average to his 100.2-mph average in the past week's games, Stone Garrett's exit velocity has significantly improvementd in recent times.

Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit

S. Torkelson
first base 1B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 75th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. In recent times, Spencer Torkelson has observed a significant boost in the speed at which the ball exits his bat when he hits it high up in the air; a mere comparison of his average velocity of 97.1-mph in the past 7 days with his average speed of 91.4-mph for the entire season can confirm this. Spencer Torkelson has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .282 mark is deflated compared to his .341 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Spencer Torkelson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 75th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. In recent times, Spencer Torkelson has observed a significant boost in the speed at which the ball exits his bat when he hits it high up in the air; a mere comparison of his average velocity of 97.1-mph in the past 7 days with his average speed of 91.4-mph for the entire season can confirm this. Spencer Torkelson has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .282 mark is deflated compared to his .341 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Akil Baddoo Total Hits Props • Detroit

A. Baddoo
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

In the majors, Nationals Park features the 9th-shallowest right field fences. Akil Baddoo will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's game. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Akil Baddoo is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game. Comparing Akil Baddoo' 94.9-mph average exit velocity on flyballs in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 88.8-mph rfigureeals a significant gain. Over the past week, Akil Baddoo has had a launch angle of 30.7°, significantly higher than his seasonal mark of 10°.

Akil Baddoo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In the majors, Nationals Park features the 9th-shallowest right field fences. Akil Baddoo will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Irvin in today's game. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Akil Baddoo is guaranteed to hold the platoon advantage against every reliever the entire game. Comparing Akil Baddoo' 94.9-mph average exit velocity on flyballs in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 88.8-mph rfigureeals a significant gain. Over the past week, Akil Baddoo has had a launch angle of 30.7°, significantly higher than his seasonal mark of 10°.

Michael Chavis Total Hits Props • Washington

M. Chavis
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Michael Chavis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game... and even better, Boyd has a huge platoon split. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Michael Chavis will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Michael Chavis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Michael Chavis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Matthew Boyd in today's game... and even better, Boyd has a huge platoon split. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Michael Chavis will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Andy Ibanez Total Hits Props • Detroit

A. Ibanez
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

Andy Ibanez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Lately, Andy Ibanez's Barrel% has shown remarkable improvement, increasing from his seasonal rate of 14.6% to 27.3% within the past week. Recently, Andy Ibanez's exit velocity has notably gaind, evident in his 96.6-mph average in the past week's games compared to his seasonal 94.3-mph figure. Andy Ibanez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 51.2% on the season to 63.6% over the past 7 days.

Andy Ibanez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Andy Ibanez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. Lately, Andy Ibanez's Barrel% has shown remarkable improvement, increasing from his seasonal rate of 14.6% to 27.3% within the past week. Recently, Andy Ibanez's exit velocity has notably gaind, evident in his 96.6-mph average in the past week's games compared to his seasonal 94.3-mph figure. Andy Ibanez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better of late, going from 51.2% on the season to 63.6% over the past 7 days.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington

D. Smith
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

Dominic Smith is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. In the majors, Nationals Park features the 9th-shallowest right field fences. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Dominic Smith will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Lately, Dominic Smith has seen a boost in his capacity to make contact with the ball at an angle that lends itself well to a BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his success rate going from 47.2% over the season to 57.1% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Dominic Smith is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. In the majors, Nationals Park features the 9th-shallowest right field fences. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the 2nd-worst of all teams on the slate today. Dominic Smith will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Lately, Dominic Smith has seen a boost in his capacity to make contact with the ball at an angle that lends itself well to a BABIP (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his success rate going from 47.2% over the season to 57.1% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit

Z. McKinstry
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Zach McKinstry is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. In the majors, Nationals Park features the 9th-shallowest right field fences. Zach McKinstry will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Zach McKinstry is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game. Improvement can be seen in Zach McKinstry's capacity to hit the ball within the base hit-maximizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, increasing from 49.6% to 55.6% between last season and this year.

Zach McKinstry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Zach McKinstry is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup. In the majors, Nationals Park features the 9th-shallowest right field fences. Zach McKinstry will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Zach McKinstry is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the entire game. Improvement can be seen in Zach McKinstry's capacity to hit the ball within the base hit-maximizing launch angle range of -4° to 26°, increasing from 49.6% to 55.6% between last season and this year.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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