STL +110 o8.0
PIT -119 u8.0
BOS -121 o8.5
MIA +112 u8.5
CHW +169 o8.5
CLE -185 u8.5
NYM -144 o8.5
WAS +132 u8.5
CIN +160 o8.5
NYY -175 u8.5
HOU -108 o8.5
TOR -100 u8.5
SF +177 o7.5
ATL -194 u7.5
PHI -114 o7.5
CHC +106 u7.5
SD +126 o9.0
TEX -137 u9.0
TB -102 o8.0
KC -106 u8.0
DET +152 o9.0
MIN -166 u9.0
MIL -163 o11.5
COL +150 u11.5
LAA -111 o8.5
OAK +103 u8.5
BAL +111 o7.0
SEA -120 u7.0
AZ +171 o9.0
LAD -188 u9.0
Bally Sports Network, NESN

Boston @ San Diego props

Petco Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

In terms of his batting average talent, Masataka Yoshida is projected as the 15th-best batter in the major leagues by THE BAT X. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all the major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 2nd-smallest centerfield dimensions. In notching a .287 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by THE BAT X based on Statcast data) this year , Masataka Yoshida has performed in the 87th percentile. By putting up a .379 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Masataka Yoshida is ranked in the 86th percentile.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

In terms of his batting average talent, Masataka Yoshida is projected as the 15th-best batter in the major leagues by THE BAT X. Masataka Yoshida is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Among all the major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 2nd-smallest centerfield dimensions. In notching a .287 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by THE BAT X based on Statcast data) this year , Masataka Yoshida has performed in the 87th percentile. By putting up a .379 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Masataka Yoshida is ranked in the 86th percentile.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-208
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Alex Verdugo is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Alex Verdugo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Alex Verdugo has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.5-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 89.6-mph. Checking in at the 85th percentile, Alex Verdugo has posted a .372 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Alex Verdugo in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Alex Verdugo is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. Alex Verdugo hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today. Alex Verdugo has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.5-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal figure of 89.6-mph. Checking in at the 85th percentile, Alex Verdugo has posted a .372 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

According to THE BAT X, it is projected that Rafael Devers will rank as the 20th-best hitter in the league. Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Rafael Devers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Rafael Devers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 13.3% to 17.9%. Lately, Rafael Devers has seen a boost in his capacity to make contact with the ball at an angle that lends itself well to a base hit (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his success rate rising from 38.1% over the season to 56.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to THE BAT X, it is projected that Rafael Devers will rank as the 20th-best hitter in the league. Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Rafael Devers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Rafael Devers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 13.3% to 17.9%. Lately, Rafael Devers has seen a boost in his capacity to make contact with the ball at an angle that lends itself well to a base hit (ranging from -4° to 26°), with his success rate rising from 38.1% over the season to 56.7% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Soto
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

According to THE BAT X, it is projected that Juan Soto will rank as the 3rd-best batter in the game. Juan Soto is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. This season, Juan Soto has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, with an average of 98.9 mph, compared to last year's 95.9 mph mark.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

According to THE BAT X, it is projected that Juan Soto will rank as the 3rd-best batter in the game. Juan Soto is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. This season, Juan Soto has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, with an average of 98.9 mph, compared to last year's 95.9 mph mark.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Turner
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

When assessing Justin Turner's batting average capability, THE BAT X places him in the 85th percentile. Justin Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Justin Turner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell today. Lately, Justin Turner's Barrel% has shown remarkable improvement, increasing from his seasonal rate of 4.3% to 11.1% withover the last 7 days. In the last two weeks, Justin Turner has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs, which has increased from 18% to 24.1% during the current season.

Justin Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing Justin Turner's batting average capability, THE BAT X places him in the 85th percentile. Justin Turner is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Justin Turner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Blake Snell today. Lately, Justin Turner's Barrel% has shown remarkable improvement, increasing from his seasonal rate of 4.3% to 11.1% withover the last 7 days. In the last two weeks, Justin Turner has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes home runs, which has increased from 18% to 24.1% during the current season.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Hernandez
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Among all the major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 2nd-smallest centerfield dimensions. Kike Hernandez will hold the platoon advantage over Blake Snell in today's game.

Enrique Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Among all the major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 2nd-smallest centerfield dimensions. Kike Hernandez will hold the platoon advantage over Blake Snell in today's game.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-141
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-141
Projection Rating

Jarren Duran's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by THE BAT X assessment. Jarren Duran hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ranking in the 90th percentile, Jarren Duran sports a .349 BABIP since the start of last season.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jarren Duran's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by THE BAT X assessment. Jarren Duran hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ranking in the 90th percentile, Jarren Duran sports a .349 BABIP since the start of last season.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Among all the major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 2nd-smallest centerfield dimensions. Jake Cronenworth will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Over the past 7 days, Jake Cronenworth's average exit velocity has significantly gaind, evidenced by a comparison of his 92.6-mph average to his seasonal 88.2-mph EV. In terms of his batting average, Jake Cronenworth has had some very poor luck this year. His .220 rate falls considerably below THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .257.

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Jake Cronenworth in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Among all the major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 2nd-smallest centerfield dimensions. Jake Cronenworth will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Over the past 7 days, Jake Cronenworth's average exit velocity has significantly gaind, evidenced by a comparison of his 92.6-mph average to his seasonal 88.2-mph EV. In terms of his batting average, Jake Cronenworth has had some very poor luck this year. His .220 rate falls considerably below THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .257.

Rob Refsnyder Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Refsnyder
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

When evaluating his BABIP ability, Rob Refsnyder ranks in the 94th percentile within THE BAT X projects. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Among all the major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 2nd-smallest centerfield dimensions. Rob Refsnyder will have the handedness advantage against Blake Snell today. The BAT X interprets Statcast data to place Rob Refsnyder in the 98th percentile with a .384 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) put up since the start of last season.

Rob Refsnyder

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When evaluating his BABIP ability, Rob Refsnyder ranks in the 94th percentile within THE BAT X projects. Rob Refsnyder is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Among all the major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 2nd-smallest centerfield dimensions. Rob Refsnyder will have the handedness advantage against Blake Snell today. The BAT X interprets Statcast data to place Rob Refsnyder in the 98th percentile with a .384 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) put up since the start of last season.

Nelson Cruz Total Hits Props • San Diego

N. Cruz
designated hitter DH • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Nelson Cruz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Nelson Cruz will hold the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's game. Nelson Cruz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Nelson Cruz will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Nelson Cruz has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last season's 90.9-mph mark.

Nelson Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nelson Cruz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Nelson Cruz will hold the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's game. Nelson Cruz hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Nelson Cruz will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Nelson Cruz has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last season's 90.9-mph mark.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Among all the major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 2nd-smallest centerfield dimensions. Xander Bogaerts will have the handedness advantage against James Paxton in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Xander Bogaerts in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Among all the major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 2nd-smallest centerfield dimensions. Xander Bogaerts will have the handedness advantage against James Paxton in today's matchup. Xander Bogaerts will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Rougned Odor Total Hits Props • San Diego

R. Odor
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

Rougned Odor will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. His exit velocity has greatly increased this season, evident by his current 90.9-mph average compared to his 87.8-mph mark from the previous year, as demonstrated by Rougned Odor. Comparing his seasonal 90.9-mph figure to his 93.9-mph average in the past week's games, Rougned Odor's exit velocity has significantly improvementd in recent times. Over the past 7 days, Rougned Odor has had a launch angle of 27.7°, significantly higher than his seasonal angle of 15.8°.

Rougned Odor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Rougned Odor will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. His exit velocity has greatly increased this season, evident by his current 90.9-mph average compared to his 87.8-mph mark from the previous year, as demonstrated by Rougned Odor. Comparing his seasonal 90.9-mph figure to his 93.9-mph average in the past week's games, Rougned Odor's exit velocity has significantly improvementd in recent times. Over the past 7 days, Rougned Odor has had a launch angle of 27.7°, significantly higher than his seasonal angle of 15.8°.

Adam Engel Total Hits Props • San Diego

A. Engel
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Among all the major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 2nd-smallest centerfield dimensions. Adam Engel will have the handedness advantage against James Paxton in today's game. Adam Engel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Adam Engel has compiled a .319 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile.

Adam Engel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Among all the major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 2nd-smallest centerfield dimensions. Adam Engel will have the handedness advantage against James Paxton in today's game. Adam Engel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Adam Engel has compiled a .319 BABIP since the start of last season, checking in at the 75th percentile.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

When it comes to his BABIP capskill, Connor Wong is projected in the 75th percentile by THE BAT X. Among all the major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 2nd-smallest centerfield dimensions. Connor Wong will have the handedness advantage against Blake Snell in today's game. Recent evidence shows that Connor Wong's exit velocity on flyballs has notably risen, with an average of 97.7-mph in the last 14 days, in contrast to his seasonal average of 93.6-mph.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

When it comes to his BABIP capskill, Connor Wong is projected in the 75th percentile by THE BAT X. Among all the major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 2nd-smallest centerfield dimensions. Connor Wong will have the handedness advantage against Blake Snell in today's game. Recent evidence shows that Connor Wong's exit velocity on flyballs has notably risen, with an average of 97.7-mph in the last 14 days, in contrast to his seasonal average of 93.6-mph.

Austin Nola Total Hits Props • San Diego

A. Nola
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-162
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-162
Projection Rating

Among all the major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 2nd-smallest centerfield dimensions. Austin Nola will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's matchup. Austin Nola will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Although THE BAT X estimates his true talent level to be .302, which is a .076 disparity, Austin Nola has been unlucky this year with a .226 wOBA. Having a 1.88 K/BB rate, Austin Nola demonstrated impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 86th percentile.

Austin Nola

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Among all the major league stadiums, Petco Park has the 2nd-smallest centerfield dimensions. Austin Nola will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's matchup. Austin Nola will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Although THE BAT X estimates his true talent level to be .302, which is a .076 disparity, Austin Nola has been unlucky this year with a .226 wOBA. Having a 1.88 K/BB rate, Austin Nola demonstrated impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 86th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast