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Boston @ San Diego props

PETCO Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Masataka Yoshida Total Hits Props • Boston

M. Yoshida
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Masataka Yoshida as the 14th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage over Joe Musgrove in today's game. Using Statcast data, Masataka Yoshida ranks in the 85th percentile for hitting ability according to THE BAT X's version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .363.

Masataka Yoshida

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Masataka Yoshida as the 14th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his batting average skill. Masataka Yoshida is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Masataka Yoshida will have the handedness advantage over Joe Musgrove in today's game. Using Statcast data, Masataka Yoshida ranks in the 85th percentile for hitting ability according to THE BAT X's version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .363.

Alex Verdugo Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Verdugo
right outfield RF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

In terms of his batting average talent, Alex Verdugo ranks in the 96th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Alex Verdugo is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage against Joe Musgrove in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Comparing Alex Verdugo' 95.5-mph average exit velocity on flyballs in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 89.6-mph rmarkeals a significant gain.

Alex Verdugo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

In terms of his batting average talent, Alex Verdugo ranks in the 96th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Alex Verdugo is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Alex Verdugo will have the handedness advantage against Joe Musgrove in today's matchup. Alex Verdugo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Comparing Alex Verdugo' 95.5-mph average exit velocity on flyballs in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 89.6-mph rmarkeals a significant gain.

Jarren Duran Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Duran
center outfield CF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

When estimating his BABIP capskill, Jarren Duran is projected in the 95th percentile by THE BAT X. Jarren Duran is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage against Joe Musgrove in today's game. Jarren Duran hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ranking in the 90th percentile, Jarren Duran has put up a .349 BABIP since the start of last season.

Jarren Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When estimating his BABIP capskill, Jarren Duran is projected in the 95th percentile by THE BAT X. Jarren Duran is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. Jarren Duran will hold the platoon advantage against Joe Musgrove in today's game. Jarren Duran hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Ranking in the 90th percentile, Jarren Duran has put up a .349 BABIP since the start of last season.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-137
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-137
Projection Rating

Triston Casas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (82% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Triston Casas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Musgrove today. Within the last two weeks, Triston Casas has notably improved his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 12.7% to 23.5%. In his recent games, Triston Casas's exit velocity on flyballs has significantly increased, evident by his 103.7-mph average over the past fortnight, a notable improvement from his seasonal average of 98.5-mph. Comparing to his seasonal angle of 14.8°, Triston Casas has recorded a launch angle of 26° in the past 7 days, showcasing a significant increase.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Triston Casas has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (82% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Triston Casas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Musgrove today. Within the last two weeks, Triston Casas has notably improved his Barrel% from a seasonal rate of 12.7% to 23.5%. In his recent games, Triston Casas's exit velocity on flyballs has significantly increased, evident by his 103.7-mph average over the past fortnight, a notable improvement from his seasonal average of 98.5-mph. Comparing to his seasonal angle of 14.8°, Triston Casas has recorded a launch angle of 26° in the past 7 days, showcasing a significant increase.

Xander Bogaerts Total Hits Props • San Diego

X. Bogaerts
shortstop SS • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

When it comes to his batting average talent, Xander Bogaerts is ranked in the 96th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Xander Bogaerts will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale today... and even more favorably, Sale has a huge platoon split. Xander Bogaerts will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Xander Bogaerts

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When it comes to his batting average talent, Xander Bogaerts is ranked in the 96th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Xander Bogaerts will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale today... and even more favorably, Sale has a huge platoon split. Xander Bogaerts will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Raimel Tapia Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Tapia
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Raimel Tapia in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Raimel Tapia will have the handedness advantage against Joe Musgrove today. Raimel Tapia's footspeed has gotten better this year. His 28.17 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.76 ft/sec now. Raimel Tapia has put up a .273 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 82nd percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Raimel Tapia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Raimel Tapia in the 79th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Raimel Tapia will have the handedness advantage against Joe Musgrove today. Raimel Tapia's footspeed has gotten better this year. His 28.17 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.76 ft/sec now. Raimel Tapia has put up a .273 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 82nd percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Juan Soto Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Soto
left outfield LF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via THE BAT X. Juan Soto is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. A significant rise in Juan Soto's exit velocity on flyballs is EVident this season as his average of 98.9 mph is much lower than last season's 95.9 mph EV.

Juan Soto

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via THE BAT X. Juan Soto is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Juan Soto hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Juan Soto will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. A significant rise in Juan Soto's exit velocity on flyballs is EVident this season as his average of 98.9 mph is much lower than last season's 95.9 mph EV.

Rafael Devers Total Hits Props • Boston

R. Devers
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projections rank Rafael Devers as the 19th-best hitter in the majors. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Rafael Devers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Musgrove in today's matchup. Rafael Devers hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Rising from 13.3% to 17.9%, Rafael Devers has shown an improvement in his capacity to strike the ball at a launch angle that maximizes home runs, ranging from -4° to 26°, compared to last season.

Rafael Devers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projections rank Rafael Devers as the 19th-best hitter in the majors. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. Rafael Devers will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Musgrove in today's matchup. Rafael Devers hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Rising from 13.3% to 17.9%, Rafael Devers has shown an improvement in his capacity to strike the ball at a launch angle that maximizes home runs, ranging from -4° to 26°, compared to last season.

Jake Cronenworth Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Cronenworth
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Assessing his overall offensive capability, Jake Cronenworth scores in the 84th percentile in THE BAT X projects. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Comparing his seasonal 88.2-mph figure to his 94-mph average in the past week's games, Jake Cronenworth's exit velocity has significantly improvementd in recent times. Jake Cronenworth has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .221 BA is a good deal lower than his .254 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Jake Cronenworth

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Assessing his overall offensive capability, Jake Cronenworth scores in the 84th percentile in THE BAT X projects. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Jake Cronenworth will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Comparing his seasonal 88.2-mph figure to his 94-mph average in the past week's games, Jake Cronenworth's exit velocity has significantly improvementd in recent times. Jake Cronenworth has had some very poor luck with his batting average this year; his .221 BA is a good deal lower than his .254 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Enmanuel Valdez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Valdez
second base 2B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Enmanuel Valdez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Musgrove in today's matchup.

Enmanuel Valdez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Enmanuel Valdez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Musgrove in today's matchup.

Nelson Cruz Total Hits Props • San Diego

N. Cruz
designated hitter DH • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Nelson Cruz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Nelson Cruz will have the handedness advantage over Chris Sale in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Sale has a huge platoon split. Nelson Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Nelson Cruz will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Nelson Cruz has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last year's 90.9-mph average.

Nelson Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Nelson Cruz is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Nelson Cruz will have the handedness advantage over Chris Sale in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Sale has a huge platoon split. Nelson Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Nelson Cruz will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Nelson Cruz has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last year's 90.9-mph average.

Austin Nola Total Hits Props • San Diego

A. Nola
catcher C • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-148
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-148
Projection Rating

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Austin Nola will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale today... and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split. Austin Nola will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Austin Nola has been unlucky this year, posting a .233 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .068 deviation. Austin Nola has shown impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 87th percentile with a 1.81 K/BB rate.

Austin Nola

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Austin Nola will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale today... and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split. Austin Nola will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Austin Nola has been unlucky this year, posting a .233 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .301 — a .068 deviation. Austin Nola has shown impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 87th percentile with a 1.81 K/BB rate.

Adam Engel Total Hits Props • San Diego

A. Engel
center outfield CF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Adam Engel will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale today... and the cherry on top, Sale has a huge platoon split. Adam Engel will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Adam Engel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Adam Engel will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale today... and the cherry on top, Sale has a huge platoon split. Adam Engel will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Connor Wong in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. A significant increase in his exit velocity has been observed in Connor Wong, evident by his 93.4-mph average in the last 7 days as compared to his seasonal average of 91.3 mph.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

THE BAT X projects Connor Wong in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. A significant increase in his exit velocity has been observed in Connor Wong, evident by his 93.4-mph average in the last 7 days as compared to his seasonal average of 91.3 mph.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Hernandez
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-180
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-180
Projection Rating

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league.

Matt Carpenter Total Hits Props • San Diego

M. Carpenter
first base 1B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Matt Carpenter is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Matt Carpenter will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. A significant increase in Matt Carpenter's exit velocity on flyballs has been observed of late, evidenced by his figure of 98-mph over the past 14 days in comparison to his seasonal figure of 92.6-mph. Posting a .366 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by THE BAT X based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Matt Carpenter is positioned in the 96th percentile for offensive skills. Matt Carpenter has compiled a .406 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 99th percentile.

Matt Carpenter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Matt Carpenter is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Matt Carpenter will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. A significant increase in Matt Carpenter's exit velocity on flyballs has been observed of late, evidenced by his figure of 98-mph over the past 14 days in comparison to his seasonal figure of 92.6-mph. Posting a .366 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by THE BAT X based on Statcast data) since the start of last season, Matt Carpenter is positioned in the 96th percentile for offensive skills. Matt Carpenter has compiled a .406 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 99th percentile.

Jose Azocar Total Hits Props • San Diego

J. Azocar
right outfield RF • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

In terms of his BABIP talent, Jose Azocar ranks in the 92nd percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Jose Azocar will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's matchup... and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split. Jose Azocar will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jose Azocar's footspeed has increased this year. His 29.46 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.95 ft/sec now. Checking in at the 80th percentile, Jose Azocar sports a .327 BABIP since the start of last season.

Jose Azocar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

In terms of his BABIP talent, Jose Azocar ranks in the 92nd percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Jose Azocar will hold the platoon advantage against Chris Sale in today's matchup... and even better, Sale has a huge platoon split. Jose Azocar will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jose Azocar's footspeed has increased this year. His 29.46 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 29.95 ft/sec now. Checking in at the 80th percentile, Jose Azocar sports a .327 BABIP since the start of last season.

Brandon Dixon Total Hits Props • San Diego

B. Dixon
second base 2B • San Diego
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Brandon Dixon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale today... and the cherry on top, Sale has a huge platoon split. Brandon Dixon will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Brandon Dixon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Petco Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in the league. Brandon Dixon will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chris Sale today... and the cherry on top, Sale has a huge platoon split. Brandon Dixon will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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