Bally Sports Network, NBCSP, MLBN

Philadelphia @ Atlanta props

Truist Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Dylan Dodd will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryson Stott today... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Dodd's large platoon split. Despite having a 95th percentile opposite-field rate of 39.3% on his flyballs, Bryson Stott had the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's game. Bryson Stott will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. There has been a significant drop in Bryson Stott's launch angle this year, which now stands at 9°, compared to his 13.2° mark from last year.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Dylan Dodd will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Bryson Stott today... and it's an even bigger mismatch considering Dodd's large platoon split. Despite having a 95th percentile opposite-field rate of 39.3% on his flyballs, Bryson Stott had the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's game. Bryson Stott will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. There has been a significant drop in Bryson Stott's launch angle this year, which now stands at 9°, compared to his 13.2° mark from last year.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Projected by THE BAT X, Kyle Schwarber is expected to be the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Sitting at the 3rd-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Truist Park tends to provide higher offensive output due to its high elevation. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Kyle Schwarber hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Projected by THE BAT X, Kyle Schwarber is expected to be the 15th-best batter in Major League Baseball. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Sitting at the 3rd-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Truist Park tends to provide higher offensive output due to its high elevation. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Kyle Schwarber hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences today.

Kevin Pillar Total Hits Props • Atlanta

K. Pillar
center outfield CF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Sitting at the 3rd-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Truist Park tends to provide higher offensive output due to its high elevation. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst on the slate. Kevin Pillar will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. This year, Kevin Pillar has improved his footspeed. His Statcast Sprint footspeed has increased from 27.11 ft/sec last season to 27.93 ft/sec.

Kevin Pillar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Sitting at the 3rd-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Truist Park tends to provide higher offensive output due to its high elevation. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst on the slate. Kevin Pillar will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. This year, Kevin Pillar has improved his footspeed. His Statcast Sprint footspeed has increased from 27.11 ft/sec last season to 27.93 ft/sec.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

In terms of his overall offensive capability, Austin Riley ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Sitting at the 3rd-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Truist Park tends to provide higher offensive output due to its high elevation. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst on the slate.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

In terms of his overall offensive capability, Austin Riley ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Sitting at the 3rd-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Truist Park tends to provide higher offensive output due to its high elevation. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst on the slate.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

Projected by THE BAT X, Bryce Harper is expected to be the 10th-best hitter in the league. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Sitting at the 3rd-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Truist Park tends to provide higher offensive output due to its high elevation. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Of the day, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 3rd-worst.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Projected by THE BAT X, Bryce Harper is expected to be the 10th-best hitter in the league. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Sitting at the 3rd-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Truist Park tends to provide higher offensive output due to its high elevation. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Of the day, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 3rd-worst.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ozzie Albies ranks in the 89th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Truist Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB. Sitting at the 3rd-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Truist Park tends to provide higher offensive output due to its high elevation. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst on the slate.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ozzie Albies ranks in the 89th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Truist Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB. Sitting at the 3rd-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Truist Park tends to provide higher offensive output due to its high elevation. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst on the slate.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Projection Rating

Sitting at the 3rd-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Truist Park tends to provide higher offensive output due to its high elevation. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst on the slate. Orlando Arcia will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Checking in at the 79th percentile, Orlando Arcia has posted a .338 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Sitting at the 3rd-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Truist Park tends to provide higher offensive output due to its high elevation. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst on the slate. Orlando Arcia will possess the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Checking in at the 79th percentile, Orlando Arcia has posted a .338 wOBA (widely regarded as the top indicator of overall offense) since the start of last season.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the best hitter in the game by THE BAT X. Sitting at the 3rd-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Truist Park tends to provide higher offensive output due to its high elevation. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Brandon Marsh hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Of the day, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 3rd-worst.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his BABIP skill, Brandon Marsh is projected as the best hitter in the game by THE BAT X. Sitting at the 3rd-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Truist Park tends to provide higher offensive output due to its high elevation. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Brandon Marsh hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Of the day, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 3rd-worst.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

E. Sosa
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-208
Projection Rating

Edmundo Sosa's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by THE BAT X assessment. Sitting at the 3rd-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Truist Park tends to provide higher offensive output due to its high elevation. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Edmundo Sosa will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Dodd today... and even more favorably, Dodd has a large platoon split. Of the day, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 3rd-worst.

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Edmundo Sosa's BABIP talent is projected in the 80th percentile by THE BAT X assessment. Sitting at the 3rd-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Truist Park tends to provide higher offensive output due to its high elevation. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Edmundo Sosa will have the handedness advantage over Dylan Dodd today... and even more favorably, Dodd has a large platoon split. Of the day, the Atlanta Braves' infield defense is expected to be the 3rd-worst.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

In terms of his overall offensive captalent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Sean Murphy is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Sitting at the 3rd-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Truist Park tends to provide higher offensive output due to its high elevation. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Sean Murphy hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

In terms of his overall offensive captalent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Sean Murphy is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Sitting at the 3rd-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Truist Park tends to provide higher offensive output due to its high elevation. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Sean Murphy hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

In terms of his overall offensive capability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 83rd percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Sitting at the 3rd-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Truist Park tends to provide higher offensive output due to its high elevation. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst on the slate. Marcell Ozuna will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

In terms of his overall offensive capability, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 83rd percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Sitting at the 3rd-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Truist Park tends to provide higher offensive output due to its high elevation. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst on the slate. Marcell Ozuna will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Projected by THE BAT X, Matt Olson is expected to be the 17th-best batter in the league. Matt Olson is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Truist Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB. Sitting at the 3rd-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Truist Park tends to provide higher offensive output due to its high elevation. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Projected by THE BAT X, Matt Olson is expected to be the 17th-best batter in the league. Matt Olson is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Truist Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB. Sitting at the 3rd-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Truist Park tends to provide higher offensive output due to its high elevation. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-185
Projection Rating

Eddie Rosario is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Truist Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB. Sitting at the 3rd-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Truist Park tends to provide higher offensive output due to its high elevation. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Eddie Rosario will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Eddie Rosario is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Truist Park has the shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB. Sitting at the 3rd-highest altitude among Major League Baseball stadiums, Truist Park tends to provide higher offensive output due to its high elevation. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 2nd-most suitable for hitting on the slate. Eddie Rosario will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast