COL +102 o9.0
CHW -110 u9.0
CIN +171 o8.0
STL -188 u8.0
NYY -121 o8.5
TOR +112 u8.5
MIA +227 o8.5
PHI -253 u8.5
PIT +131 o7.5
ATL -143 u7.5
WAS +121 o7.5
TB -131 u7.5
OAK +180 o8.5
AZ -198 u8.5
CLE -103 o7.5
KC -105 u7.5
SD +118 o8.5
BOS -128 u8.5
CHC +103 o8.0
MIL -112 u8.0
HOU -108 o8.5
NYM -100 u8.5
TEX +138 o9.0
BAL -150 u9.0
LAD -192 o7.0
SF +175 u7.0
DET -115 o8.0
LAA +106 u8.0
MIN -115 o7.5
SEA +106 u7.5
NBC 10, MLBN, Bally Sports Network

Philadelphia @ Atlanta props

Truist Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest left field fences in MLB. On the slate today, the 3rd-best outfield defense is projected to be from the Atlanta Braves. Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 15.8% on the season to 6.7% over the past week. With a .289 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by THE BAT X using Statcast data) this year, Trea Turner is positioned in the 14th percentile for offensive skills.

Trea Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Truist Park has the 3rd-deepest left field fences in MLB. On the slate today, the 3rd-best outfield defense is projected to be from the Atlanta Braves. Trea Turner will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 15.8% on the season to 6.7% over the past week. With a .289 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by THE BAT X using Statcast data) this year, Trea Turner is positioned in the 14th percentile for offensive skills.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
left outfield LF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 15th-best batter in MLB, per THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Kyle Schwarber hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 15th-best batter in MLB, per THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Kyle Schwarber hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-159
Projection Rating

By evaluating his BABIP ability, THE BAT X ranks Brandon Marsh as the best hitter in MLB. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Brandon Marsh hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. His exit velocity has greatly increased this season, evident by his current 92.4-mph average compared to his 89.2-mph mark from the previous year, as demonstrated by Brandon Marsh.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

By evaluating his BABIP ability, THE BAT X ranks Brandon Marsh as the best hitter in MLB. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Brandon Marsh hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. His exit velocity has greatly increased this season, evident by his current 92.4-mph average compared to his 89.2-mph mark from the previous year, as demonstrated by Brandon Marsh.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

Via THE BAT X, it is projected that Bryce Harper will rank as the 10th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. When it comes to his batting average, Bryce Harper has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .297 rate falls considerably below THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .317.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Via THE BAT X, it is projected that Bryce Harper will rank as the 10th-best hitter in Major League Baseball. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. When it comes to his batting average, Bryce Harper has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .297 rate falls considerably below THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .317.

Orlando Arcia Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Arcia
shortstop SS • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day. Orlando Arcia will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Orlando Arcia has posted a .338 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Orlando Arcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day. Orlando Arcia will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Orlando Arcia has posted a .338 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 80th percentile.

Ozzie Albies Total Hits Props • Atlanta

O. Albies
second base 2B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

When it comes to his batting average skill, Ozzie Albies is ranked in the 90th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Truist Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

Ozzie Albies

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his batting average skill, Ozzie Albies is ranked in the 90th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Truist Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

Estimating Alec Bohm's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 95th percentile. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Alec Bohm will have the handedness advantage over Jared Shuster in today's game... and moreover, Shuster has a large platoon split. Alec Bohm's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 13.2% to 17.8%.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Estimating Alec Bohm's batting average ability, THE BAT X projects him in the 95th percentile. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Alec Bohm will have the handedness advantage over Jared Shuster in today's game... and moreover, Shuster has a large platoon split. Alec Bohm's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 13.2% to 17.8%.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Bryson Stott is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. With a recent surge of games, Bryson Stott's Barrel% has significantly improved, as his seasonal rate of 4.3% rose to 11.1%. Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, going from 42% on the season to 53.8% over the last two weeks.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Bryson Stott is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. With a recent surge of games, Bryson Stott's Barrel% has significantly improved, as his seasonal rate of 4.3% rose to 11.1%. Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, going from 42% on the season to 53.8% over the last two weeks.

Sean Murphy Total Hits Props • Atlanta

S. Murphy
catcher C • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Assessing his overall offensive capability, Sean Murphy scores in the 95th percentile in THE BAT X projects. Sean Murphy is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Sean Murphy hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Sean Murphy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Assessing his overall offensive capability, Sean Murphy scores in the 95th percentile in THE BAT X projects. Sean Murphy is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Sean Murphy hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Austin Riley Total Hits Props • Atlanta

A. Riley
third base 3B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Projection Rating

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

Austin Riley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Austin Riley ranks in the 95th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

Marcell Ozuna Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Ozuna
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-217
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-217
Projection Rating

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 86th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. This season, Marcell Ozuna mostly batted in the later part of the batting order (100% of the time); however, for this matchup, he is expected to hit in the 5th spot. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

Marcell Ozuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Marcell Ozuna ranks in the 86th percentile according to THE BAT X projects. This season, Marcell Ozuna mostly batted in the later part of the batting order (100% of the time); however, for this matchup, he is expected to hit in the 5th spot. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

Josh Harrison Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

J. Harrison
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Josh Harrison will have the handedness advantage over Jared Shuster today... and moreover, Shuster has a large platoon split. Josh Harrison hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Josh Harrison

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Josh Harrison will have the handedness advantage over Jared Shuster today... and moreover, Shuster has a large platoon split. Josh Harrison hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 5th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Eddie Rosario Total Hits Props • Atlanta

E. Rosario
left outfield LF • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-196
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-196
Projection Rating

Truist Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

Eddie Rosario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Truist Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Eddie Rosario will hold the platoon advantage over Taijuan Walker in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst of the day.

Matt Olson Total Hits Props • Atlanta

M. Olson
first base 1B • Atlanta
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Matt Olson projects as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via THE BAT X. Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Truist Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.

Matt Olson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Matt Olson projects as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via THE BAT X. Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Truist Park has the 2nd-shallowest centerfield dimensions in the majors. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

E. Sosa
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

When evaluating his BABIP ability, Edmundo Sosa ranks in the 80th percentile within THE BAT X projects. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Edmundo Sosa will have the handedness advantage against Jared Shuster in today's game... and moreover, Shuster has a large platoon split. Based on Statcast data, THE BAT X's version of Expected Batting Average (.262) may lead us to conclude that Edmundo Sosa has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .243 actual batting average.

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When evaluating his BABIP ability, Edmundo Sosa ranks in the 80th percentile within THE BAT X projects. Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Edmundo Sosa will have the handedness advantage against Jared Shuster in today's game... and moreover, Shuster has a large platoon split. Based on Statcast data, THE BAT X's version of Expected Batting Average (.262) may lead us to conclude that Edmundo Sosa has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season with his .243 actual batting average.

Dalton Guthrie Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

D. Guthrie
right outfield RF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Dalton Guthrie will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Shuster in today's game... and even more favorably, Shuster has a large platoon split. Grading out in the 93rd percentile with a sprint speed of 29.13 ft/sec since the start of last season, Dalton Guthrie displays remarkable toolsyism.

Dalton Guthrie

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Located at the 3rd-highest elevation in MLB, Truist Park typically results in better offense due to its high altitude. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast expects for the 3rd-most favorable hitting conditions on the schedule today. Dalton Guthrie will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jared Shuster in today's game... and even more favorably, Shuster has a large platoon split. Grading out in the 93rd percentile with a sprint speed of 29.13 ft/sec since the start of last season, Dalton Guthrie displays remarkable toolsyism.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast