Philadelphia @ New York props

THE BAT X projections rank Kyle Schwarber as the 16th-best hitter in the league. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Carrasco today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Schwarber can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Kyle Schwarber hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.6% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Via THE BAT projection system, Citi Field is ranked as the 30th venue in the league in terms of lefty batting average. Compared to other stadiums among all parks, Citi Field has a near sea-level elevation that often results in decreased offensive production. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report forecasts the 4th-most suitable pitching conditions of the day. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 3rd-strongest of the day for hurlers. Bryce Harper will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.

Bryson Stott is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage against Carlos Carrasco today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Bryson Stott's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, increasing from 13.7% on the season to 29.4% over the past 7 days.

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors when assessing his BABIP talent. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Carrasco in today's matchup. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Brandon Marsh has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. His exit velocity has greatly increased this season, evident by his current 92.7-mph average compared to his 89.2-mph mark from the previous year, as demonstrated by Brandon Marsh.

When assessing his BABIP captalent, Brett Baty is projected in the 90th percentile by THE BAT X. Brett Baty is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Brett Baty will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup. Brett Baty has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst on the slate.

THE BAT X projects Alec Bohm in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. In the league, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. Comparing Alec Bohm' 97.1-mph average exit velocity on flyballs in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 90.7-mph rmarkeals a significant gain. From last season to this one, Alec Bohm has improved his ability to hit the ball with a launch angle between -4° and 26°, which optimizes for a home run. His percentage has risen from 13.2% to 18.6%.

THE BAT X projects Francisco Alvarez in the 81st percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. In the league, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 4th-strongest of the day for hitters. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst on the slate. Francisco Alvarez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Estimating Brandon Nimmo's batting average talent, THE BAT X projects him in the 95th percentile. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game. Brandon Nimmo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola today. Brandon Nimmo has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst on the slate.

In terms of his overall offensive capskill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 88th percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. Francisco Lindor is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. In the league, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst on the slate. Francisco Lindor will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Assessing his BABIP ability, THE BAT X rates Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile. In the league, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Based on Statcast metrics, THE BAT X's version of Expected Batting Average (.258) implies that Edmundo Sosa has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .241 actual batting average. Grading out in the 96th percentile with a sprint speed of 29.45 ft/sec this year, Edmundo Sosa displays remarkable quickism.

Starling Marte's batting average talent is estimated to be in the 94th percentile by THE BAT X projects. In the league, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst on the slate. Starling Marte will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. Despite posting a .287 wOBA this year, THE BAT X believes Starling Marte has had some very poor luck given the .046 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .333.

When it comes to his batting average skill, Jeff McNeil is ranked in the 97th percentile by THE BAT X projects. Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Jeff McNeil will hold the platoon advantage over Aaron Nola in today's matchup. Jeff McNeil hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst on the slate.

In the league, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. Kody Clemens will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Carrasco today. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kody Clemens has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Comparing his seasonal EV of 90.9-mph to his 97.7-mph EV over the last two weeks, it is clear that Kody Clemens has made significant progress in his exit velocity on flyballs. Based on Statcast data, THE BAT X's version of Expected Batting Average (.202) provides evidence that Kody Clemens has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .184 actual batting average.

Daniel Vogelbach will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game. Daniel Vogelbach hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst on the slate. Daniel Vogelbach will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Daniel Vogelbach has posted a .335 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 77th percentile.

Tomas Nido hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.9% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst on the slate. Tomas Nido will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Tomas Nido since the start of last season. His .221 mark falls considerably below THE BAT X's version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .259.

In terms of his overall offensive captalent, Mark Canha ranks in the 77th percentile according to THE BAT X's projects. In the league, Citi Field's CF dimensions are the shallowest. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the worst on the slate. Mark Canha will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, THE BAT X's version of Expected wOBA (.329) provides evidence that Mark Canha has experienced some negative variance this year with his .302 actual wOBA.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Trea Turner has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.