Philadelphia @ Washington props

Nationals Park projects as the #29 venue in the game for left-handed BABIP, per THE BAT projection system. The weather forecast predicts the 5th-most favorable pitching conditions on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ranger Suarez will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Luis Garcia today. Extreme flyball bats like Luis Garcia tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez. Luis Garcia's launch angle this season (1.8°) is significantly lower than his 5.2° mark last season.

Drew Ellis has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 20th-best hitter in the majors, according to THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Kyle Schwarber will have the handedness advantage over Trevor Williams in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Kyle Schwarber is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch the whole game. Kyle Schwarber pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

THE BAT X projects Bryson Stott in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Bryson Stott is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field fences in MLB. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams today. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Bryson Stott is guaranteed to never face a bullpen mismatch all game.

Stone Garrett is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Stone Garrett will have the handedness advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Stone Garrett tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Stone Garrett is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the weak outfield defense of Philadelphia (#3-worst of all teams today).

THE BAT X projects Trea Turner as the 18th-best hitter in the game when estimating his batting average ability. Trea Turner is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Trea Turner has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 90.9-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 88.8-mph mark. Trea Turner's launch angle this year (15.8°) is considerably higher than his 9.7° mark last year. Trea Turner has been unlucky this year, putting up a .283 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .343 — a .060 difference.

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the 2nd-best batter in the league when it comes to his BABIP ability. Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field fences in MLB. Brandon Marsh will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Brandon Marsh is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game. Brandon Marsh has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last season's 89.2-mph EV.

Lane Thomas is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Lane Thomas will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Lane Thomas will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Lane Thomas has posted a .355 BABIP this year, ranking in the 89th percentile.

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field fences in MLB. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Dominic Smith will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Dominic Smith's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 15.6% on the season to 27.8% in the past two weeks. Dominic Smith has displayed good plate discipline this year, grading out in the 86th percentile with a 1.58 K/BB rate.

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field fences in MLB. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the worst on the slate today. CJ Abrams will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats. CJ Abrams has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 6% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past week. CJ Abrams has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 91.9-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 86.6-mph mark.

THE BAT X projects Joey Meneses in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Joey Meneses is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. Joey Meneses will hold the platoon advantage over Ranger Suarez today. Joey Meneses has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today.

Nationals Park has the 9th-shallowest right field fences in MLB. Kody Clemens will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams today. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relievers in their bullpen, so Kody Clemens is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the whole game.

Jeimer Candelario is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. The switch-hitting Jeimer Candelario will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Ranger Suarez. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Jeimer Candelario will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Jeimer Candelario has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% recently, improving his 6.7% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past week's worth of games.

Riley Adams will have the handedness advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Riley Adams will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Riley Adams's maximum exit velocity (an advanced stat to study power) has been 115 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile.

THE BAT X projects Edmundo Sosa in the 78th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Edmundo Sosa has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Alex Call will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Alex Call will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Alex Call has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .278 mark is quite a bit lower than his .316 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

The switch-hitting Ildemaro Vargas will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Ranger Suarez. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst on the slate today. Ildemaro Vargas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Ildemaro Vargas has posted a .268 batting average since the start of last season, grading out in the 80th percentile.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

Bryce Harper has gone over 1.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.