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Detroit @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trea Turner Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

T. Turner
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-245
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-245
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #21 venue in the majors for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Trea Turner has compiled a .295 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 17th percentile for offensive ability (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Trea Turner has posted a .274 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 11th percentile. Trea Turner has displayed weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 15th percentile with a 4.19 K/BB rate.

Trea Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Citizens Bank Park grades out as the #21 venue in the majors for RHB batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to less offense. Trea Turner has compiled a .295 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, checking in at the 17th percentile for offensive ability (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Trea Turner has posted a .274 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 11th percentile. Trea Turner has displayed weak plate discipline this year, grading out in the 15th percentile with a 4.19 K/BB rate.

Nick Maton Total Hits Props • Detroit

N. Maton
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Nick Maton is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nick Maton will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Nick Maton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Nick Maton is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nick Maton will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP skill. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brandon Marsh has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Brandon Marsh will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors as it relates to his BABIP skill. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brandon Marsh has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Brandon Marsh will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Clemens
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Kody Clemens will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Kody Clemens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Kody Clemens will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Kyle Schwarber in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today.

Zach McKinstry Total Hits Props • Detroit

Z. McKinstry
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

Zach McKinstry is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Zach McKinstry

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Zach McKinstry is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage over Aaron Nola today. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Javier Baez Total Hits Props • Detroit

J. Baez
shortstop SS • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Javier Baez in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Javier Baez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Javier Baez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Javier Baez in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Javier Baez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Bryce Harper projects as the 10th-best hitter in the game, per THE BAT X. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Bryce Harper has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Bryce Harper projects as the 10th-best hitter in the game, per THE BAT X. Bryce Harper is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Bryce Harper has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today.

Spencer Torkelson Total Hits Props • Detroit

S. Torkelson
first base 1B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Spencer Torkelson in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Spencer Torkelson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Spencer Torkelson in the 79th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Jake Marisnick Total Hits Props • Detroit

J. Marisnick
center outfield CF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-105
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Jake Marisnick

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Akil Baddoo Total Hits Props • Detroit

A. Baddoo
left outfield LF • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Akil Baddoo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (70% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Akil Baddoo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game. Akil Baddoo has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Akil Baddoo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Akil Baddoo has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (70% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Akil Baddoo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game. Akil Baddoo has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate.

Andy Ibanez Total Hits Props • Detroit

A. Ibanez
third base 3B • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate. Andy Ibanez has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 11% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 7 days. Andy Ibanez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .227 rate is deflated compared to his .322 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Andy Ibanez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate. Andy Ibanez has made big improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 11% seasonal rate to 25% over the last 7 days. Andy Ibanez has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .227 rate is deflated compared to his .322 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Bryson Stott in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Bryson Stott will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Bryson Stott in the 75th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Bryson Stott will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Eric Haase Total Hits Props • Detroit

E. Haase
catcher C • Detroit
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-152
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-152
Projection Rating

The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Eric Haase pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate. Eric Haase has been unlucky this year, putting up a .266 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .297 — a .031 difference.

Eric Haase

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Eric Haase pulls many of his flyballs (36% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 3rd-worst of all teams on the slate. Eric Haase has been unlucky this year, putting up a .266 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .297 — a .031 difference.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

E. Sosa
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Edmundo Sosa will have the handedness advantage over Joey Wentz today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today.

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Edmundo Sosa in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Edmundo Sosa will have the handedness advantage over Joey Wentz today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today.

Drew Ellis Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

D. Ellis
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-127
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-127
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Drew Ellis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Wentz today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Drew Ellis will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Drew Ellis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Drew Ellis will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joey Wentz today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Drew Ellis will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Dalton Guthrie Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

D. Guthrie
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dalton Guthrie will have the handedness advantage against Joey Wentz today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Dalton Guthrie will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Dalton Guthrie

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground in the league — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts the 4th-most favorable hitting weather on the schedule today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dalton Guthrie will have the handedness advantage against Joey Wentz today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Dalton Guthrie will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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