Final Mar 14
WAS 5 +161 o8.5
ATL 3 -191 u8.5
Final Mar 14
CIN 3 +0 o0.0
CHW 7 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
SEA 7 -119 o11.5
CLE 8 +102 u11.5
Final Mar 14
LAA 1 +0 o0.0
OAK 12 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
BOS 9 -107 o7.5
MIA 4 -109 u7.5
Final Mar 14
SF 5 +126 o11.0
MIL 11 -148 u11.0
Final Mar 14
CIN 1 +140 o10.5
AZ 2 -180 u10.5
Final Mar 14
KC 9 +0 o0.0
LAA 8 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
TB 6 +0 o0.0
MIN 13 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
TOR 5 +103 o8.0
HOU 6 -121 u8.0
Final Mar 14
MIN 0 +0 o0.0
BAL 10 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
DET 8 +120 o8.5
PIT 8 -141 u8.5
Final Mar 14
STL 3 +152 o7.5
NYM 3 -179 u7.5
Final Mar 14
PHI 5 +119 o8.5
NYY 6 -140 u8.5
Final Mar 14
COL 0 +0 o0.0
TEX 5 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
TEX 8 +0 o0.0
SD 9 +0 u0.0

Minnesota @ Tampa Bay props

Tropicana Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota

T. Larnach
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Trevor Larnach in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Trevor Larnach is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Tropicana Field has the shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Trevor Larnach will hold the platoon advantage over OPP_SP in today's matchup. Trevor Larnach has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.6-mph average to last season's 93.1-mph EV.

Trevor Larnach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Trevor Larnach in the 80th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Trevor Larnach is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Tropicana Field has the shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Trevor Larnach will hold the platoon advantage over OPP_SP in today's matchup. Trevor Larnach has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.6-mph average to last season's 93.1-mph EV.

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Randy Arozarena will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 93.2-mph average.

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Randy Arozarena will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Randy Arozarena has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 95.2-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 93.2-mph average.

Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota

R. Lewis
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-159
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-159
Projection Rating

Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions in MLB. A consistent launch angle is a proxy for good hitting, and Royce Lewis has been very consistent with his in recent games, posting a 33.1° launch angle standard deviation in the past 14 days.

Royce Lewis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions in MLB. A consistent launch angle is a proxy for good hitting, and Royce Lewis has been very consistent with his in recent games, posting a 33.1° launch angle standard deviation in the past 14 days.

Wander Franco Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

W. Franco
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Wander Franco as the 5th-best batter in MLB when assessing his batting average talent. Wander Franco is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Wander Franco will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Wander Franco's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 44.4% on the season to 57.1% over the last 7 days.

Wander Franco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Wander Franco as the 5th-best batter in MLB when assessing his batting average talent. Wander Franco is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Wander Franco will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Wander Franco's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 44.4% on the season to 57.1% over the last 7 days.

Jose Siri Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Siri
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jose Siri in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.9% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Jose Siri will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Jose Siri has made notable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 6.3% rate last season to 18.9% this season.

Jose Siri

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

THE BAT X projects Jose Siri in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.9% — 75th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Jose Siri will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Jose Siri has made notable gains with his Barrel%, improving his 6.3% rate last season to 18.9% this season.

Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota

R. Jeffers
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-110
Projection Rating

Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions in MLB. Ryan Jeffers has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 11.8% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past two weeks. Ryan Jeffers has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 99-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 90.7-mph mark. Ryan Jeffers's launch angle lately (26.9° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 18° seasonal mark.

Ryan Jeffers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions in MLB. Ryan Jeffers has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 11.8% seasonal rate to 21.4% in the past two weeks. Ryan Jeffers has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 99-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 90.7-mph mark. Ryan Jeffers's launch angle lately (26.9° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit higher than his 18° seasonal mark.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota

W. Castro
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Willi Castro in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Tropicana Field has the shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Willi Castro's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 17.3% to 24.3%. Willi Castro has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .246 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .271 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Willi Castro in the 76th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Tropicana Field has the shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Willi Castro's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 17.3% to 24.3%. Willi Castro has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .246 figure is significantly deflated relative to his .271 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Harold Ramirez Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

H. Ramirez
designated hitter DH • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Harold Ramirez as the 15th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average talent. Harold Ramirez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 5th-worst on the slate today. Harold Ramirez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Harold Ramirez's launch angle this season (8.7°) is considerably higher than his 4.8° figure last season.

Harold Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Harold Ramirez as the 15th-best hitter in MLB as it relates to his batting average talent. Harold Ramirez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 5th-worst on the slate today. Harold Ramirez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Harold Ramirez's launch angle this season (8.7°) is considerably higher than his 4.8° figure last season.

Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

I. Paredes
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-141
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-141
Projection Rating

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Isaac Paredes will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this year (20.4°) is considerably higher than his 15.5° angle last year.

Isaac Paredes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Isaac Paredes is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Isaac Paredes pulls many of his flyballs (40.2% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Isaac Paredes will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this year (20.4°) is considerably higher than his 15.5° angle last year.

Jorge Polanco Total Hits Props • Minnesota

J. Polanco
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-208
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jorge Polanco in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jorge Polanco is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jorge Polanco has made big improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 10.4% rate last year to 15.7% this year. Jorge Polanco has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 15.7% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last 7 days.

Jorge Polanco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Jorge Polanco in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Jorge Polanco is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jorge Polanco has made big improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 10.4% rate last year to 15.7% this year. Jorge Polanco has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 15.7% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last 7 days.

Manuel Margot Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

M. Margot
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Manuel Margot in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Manuel Margot will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Manuel Margot has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .300 figure is quite a bit lower than his .330 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Manuel Margot has shown strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 79th percentile with a 1.74 K/BB rate.

Manuel Margot

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Manuel Margot in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Manuel Margot will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Manuel Margot has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .300 figure is quite a bit lower than his .330 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Manuel Margot has shown strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 79th percentile with a 1.74 K/BB rate.

Alex Kirilloff Total Hits Props • Minnesota

A. Kirilloff
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Alex Kirilloff in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Alex Kirilloff is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Tropicana Field has the shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Alex Kirilloff will hold the platoon advantage over OPP_SP in today's matchup. Alex Kirilloff's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 38.2% to 54.4%.

Alex Kirilloff

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Alex Kirilloff in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Alex Kirilloff is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Tropicana Field has the shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Alex Kirilloff will hold the platoon advantage over OPP_SP in today's matchup. Alex Kirilloff's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 38.2% to 54.4%.

Luke Raley Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

L. Raley
right outfield RF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-154
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-154
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Luke Raley in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Luke Raley has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (59% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pablo Lopez in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Luke Raley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Luke Raley in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Luke Raley has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (59% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pablo Lopez in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Donovan Solano Total Hits Props • Minnesota

D. Solano
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Donovan Solano in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Donovan Solano is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Donovan Solano has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98.7-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.4-mph EV. Donovan Solano's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 53% to 58.6%. Donovan Solano's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 58.6% on the season to 66.7% in the last 7 days.

Donovan Solano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Donovan Solano in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Donovan Solano is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Donovan Solano has seen a big gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 98.7-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.4-mph EV. Donovan Solano's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 53% to 58.6%. Donovan Solano's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 58.6% on the season to 66.7% in the last 7 days.

Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

T. Walls
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Tropicana Field has the shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Taylor Walls will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Taylor Walls

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Tropicana Field has the shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Taylor Walls will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Francisco Mejia Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

F. Mejia
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

Francisco Mejia pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Francisco Mejia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Francisco Mejia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Francisco Mejia pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the worst on the slate today. Francisco Mejia will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Yandy Diaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Y. Diaz
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-245
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Yandy Diaz as the 6th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his batting average talent. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 5th-worst on the slate today. Yandy Diaz will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Yandy Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Yandy Diaz as the 6th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his batting average talent. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Yandy Diaz has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense projects as the 5th-worst on the slate today. Yandy Diaz will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Kepler
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage against OPP_SP in today's game. Max Kepler pulls many of his flyballs (32.9% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Max Kepler's launch angle recently (24.7° in the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 14.6° seasonal mark. Max Kepler has been unlucky this year, posting a .277 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .053 discrepancy. Max Kepler has exhibited impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 89th percentile with a 1.76 K/BB rate.

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage against OPP_SP in today's game. Max Kepler pulls many of his flyballs (32.9% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences today. Max Kepler's launch angle recently (24.7° in the last two weeks) is a considerable increase over his 14.6° seasonal mark. Max Kepler has been unlucky this year, posting a .277 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .330 — a .053 discrepancy. Max Kepler has exhibited impressive plate discipline since the start of last season, checking in at the 89th percentile with a 1.76 K/BB rate.

Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Correa
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Carlos Correa in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Carlos Correa is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Carlos Correa has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.5% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Carlos Correa has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 106.5-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 95.1-mph. Carlos Correa has been unlucky this year, notching a .296 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .350 — a .054 disparity.

Carlos Correa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Carlos Correa in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Carlos Correa is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Carlos Correa has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 12.5% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Carlos Correa has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 106.5-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal average of 95.1-mph. Carlos Correa has been unlucky this year, notching a .296 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .350 — a .054 disparity.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

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