Final Mar 14
WAS 5 +161 o8.5
ATL 3 -191 u8.5
Final Mar 14
CIN 3 +0 o0.0
CHW 7 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
SEA 7 -119 o11.5
CLE 8 +102 u11.5
Final Mar 14
LAA 1 +0 o0.0
OAK 12 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
BOS 9 -107 o7.5
MIA 4 -109 u7.5
Final Mar 14
SF 5 +126 o11.0
MIL 11 -148 u11.0
Final Mar 14
CIN 1 +140 o10.5
AZ 2 -180 u10.5
Final Mar 14
KC 9 +0 o0.0
LAA 8 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
TB 6 +0 o0.0
MIN 13 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
TOR 5 +103 o8.0
HOU 6 -121 u8.0
Final Mar 14
MIN 0 +0 o0.0
BAL 10 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
DET 8 +120 o8.5
PIT 8 -141 u8.5
Final Mar 14
STL 3 +152 o7.5
NYM 3 -179 u7.5
Final Mar 14
PHI 5 +119 o8.5
NYY 6 -140 u8.5
Final Mar 14
COL 0 +0 o0.0
TEX 5 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
TEX 8 +0 o0.0
SD 9 +0 u0.0

Arizona @ Washington props

Nationals Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Corbin Carroll Total Hits Props • Arizona

C. Carroll
left outfield LF • Arizona
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Nationals Park profiles as the #29 ballpark in MLB for left-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Patrick Corbin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Carroll in today's game... and it's a particular mismatch considering Corbin's large platoon split. Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Corbin Carroll's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, falling from 14.5% on the season to 6.3% over the past 14 days.

Corbin Carroll

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Corbin Carroll is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Nationals Park profiles as the #29 ballpark in MLB for left-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. Patrick Corbin will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corbin Carroll in today's game... and it's a particular mismatch considering Corbin's large platoon split. Corbin Carroll will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Corbin Carroll's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined of late, falling from 14.5% on the season to 6.3% over the past 14 days.

Gabriel Moreno Total Hits Props • Arizona

G. Moreno
catcher C • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Gabriel Moreno will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's game... and the cherry on top, Corbin has a large platoon split. Gabriel Moreno has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst on the slate.

Gabriel Moreno

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Gabriel Moreno in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Gabriel Moreno will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's game... and the cherry on top, Corbin has a large platoon split. Gabriel Moreno has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst on the slate.

Pavin Smith Total Hits Props • Arizona

P. Smith
designated hitter DH • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Pavin Smith is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the whole game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst on the slate. Pavin Smith has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.4% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 7 days.

Pavin Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed relief pitchers in their bullpen, so Pavin Smith is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen the whole game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst on the slate. Pavin Smith has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 8.4% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 7 days.

Jake McCarthy Total Hits Props • Arizona

J. McCarthy
right outfield RF • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-217
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jake McCarthy in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Jake McCarthy is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst on the slate.

Jake McCarthy

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Jake McCarthy in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Washington Nationals don't have any same-handed RPs in their bullpen, so Jake McCarthy is guaranteed to never lose the platoon advantage against the bullpen all game. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst on the slate.

Keibert Ruiz Total Hits Props • Washington

K. Ruiz
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

The weather forecast projects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Zach Davies. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10.6% seasonal rate to 23.3% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Keibert Ruiz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The weather forecast projects the 3rd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The switch-hitting Keibert Ruiz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Zach Davies. Keibert Ruiz pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Keibert Ruiz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Keibert Ruiz has made notable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 10.6% seasonal rate to 23.3% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Alex Call Total Hits Props • Washington

A. Call
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Alex Call will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Alex Call has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .280 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .311 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Alex Call

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Alex Call will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Alex Call has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .280 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .311 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Jeimer Candelario Total Hits Props • Washington

J. Candelario
third base 3B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jeimer Candelario will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Jeimer Candelario has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 91.8-mph.

Jeimer Candelario

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jeimer Candelario is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this game. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jeimer Candelario pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.6% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jeimer Candelario will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Jeimer Candelario has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 98.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 91.8-mph.

Lane Thomas Total Hits Props • Washington

L. Thomas
center outfield CF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-260
Projection Rating

Lane Thomas is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Lane Thomas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Lane Thomas has compiled a .356 BABIP this year, grading out in the 89th percentile.

Lane Thomas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Lane Thomas is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Lane Thomas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Lane Thomas has compiled a .356 BABIP this year, grading out in the 89th percentile.

Riley Adams Total Hits Props • Washington

R. Adams
catcher C • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Riley Adams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Riley Adams's maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to measure power) has been 115 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile.

Riley Adams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Riley Adams will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Riley Adams's maximum exit velocity (a reliable metric to measure power) has been 115 mph since the start of last season, ranking in the 96th percentile.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • Washington

D. Smith
first base 1B • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dominic Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Davies today. Dominic Smith will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Dominic Smith's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 15% on the season to 22.2% in the past 14 days.

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dominic Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Davies today. Dominic Smith will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Dominic Smith's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 15% on the season to 22.2% in the past 14 days.

CJ Abrams Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Abrams
shortstop SS • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Davies today. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 14.7% to 18.6%.

CJ Abrams

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zach Davies today. CJ Abrams will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. CJ Abrams's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 14.7% to 18.6%.

Corey Dickerson Total Hits Props • Washington

C. Dickerson
left outfield LF • Washington
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Corey Dickerson in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Corey Dickerson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Corey Dickerson will have the handedness advantage over Zach Davies in today's game.

Corey Dickerson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Corey Dickerson in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Corey Dickerson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest right field fences in the majors. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Corey Dickerson will have the handedness advantage over Zach Davies in today's game.

Nick Ahmed Total Hits Props • Arizona

N. Ahmed
shortstop SS • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-192
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-192
Projection Rating

The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nick Ahmed will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's matchup... and even better, Corbin has a large platoon split. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst on the slate.

Nick Ahmed

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nick Ahmed will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's matchup... and even better, Corbin has a large platoon split. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst on the slate.

Evan Longoria Total Hits Props • Arizona

E. Longoria
third base 3B • Arizona
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Evan Longoria in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Evan Longoria is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Evan Longoria will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's matchup... and moreover, Corbin has a large platoon split. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst on the slate.

Evan Longoria

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Evan Longoria in the 79th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Evan Longoria is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. The weather forecast projects the 2nd-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Evan Longoria will have the handedness advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's matchup... and moreover, Corbin has a large platoon split. The Washington Nationals outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst on the slate.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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