Final Mar 14
WAS 5 +161 o8.5
ATL 3 -191 u8.5
Final Mar 14
CIN 3 +0 o0.0
CHW 7 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
LAA 1 +0 o0.0
OAK 12 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
SEA 7 -119 o11.5
CLE 8 +102 u11.5
Final Mar 14
SF 5 +126 o11.0
MIL 11 -148 u11.0
Final Mar 14
CIN 1 +140 o10.5
AZ 2 -180 u10.5
Final Mar 14
KC 9 +0 o0.0
LAA 8 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
BOS 9 -107 o7.5
MIA 4 -109 u7.5
Final Mar 14
DET 8 +120 o8.5
PIT 8 -141 u8.5
Final Mar 14
MIN 0 +0 o0.0
BAL 10 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
TOR 5 +103 o8.0
HOU 6 -121 u8.0
Final Mar 14
TB 6 +0 o0.0
MIN 13 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
STL 3 +152 o7.5
NYM 3 -179 u7.5
Final Mar 14
PHI 5 +119 o8.5
NYY 6 -140 u8.5
Final Mar 14
COL 0 +0 o0.0
TEX 5 +0 u0.0
Final Mar 14
TEX 8 +0 o0.0
SD 9 +0 u0.0
MLBN, Bally Sports Network, BSOHIO

Minnesota @ Tampa Bay props

Tropicana Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

T. Walls
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-112
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-112
Projection Rating

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 12th-worst on the slate today. Taylor Walls will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Taylor Walls's launch angle of late (39.7° over the past 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 20.7° seasonal angle.

Taylor Walls

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 12th-worst on the slate today. Taylor Walls will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Taylor Walls's launch angle of late (39.7° over the past 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 20.7° seasonal angle.

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Extreme groundball batters like Randy Arozarena tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 12th-worst on the slate today. Randy Arozarena will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Randy Arozarena in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Extreme groundball batters like Randy Arozarena tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 12th-worst on the slate today. Randy Arozarena will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Jose Siri Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

J. Siri
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-115
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jose Siri in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.9% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 11th-worst on the slate today. Jose Siri will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jose Siri has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 6.3% rate last season to 18.9% this season.

Jose Siri

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

THE BAT X projects Jose Siri in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Jose Siri pulls a lot of his flyballs (32.9% — 75th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 11th-worst on the slate today. Jose Siri will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Jose Siri has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, improving his 6.3% rate last season to 18.9% this season.

Wander Franco Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

W. Franco
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Wander Franco as the 5th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his batting average ability. Wander Franco is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 12th-worst on the slate today. Wander Franco will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Wander Franco's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, rising from 44.7% on the season to 60% over the past 7 days.

Wander Franco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Wander Franco as the 5th-best hitter in the majors when estimating his batting average ability. Wander Franco is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 12th-worst on the slate today. Wander Franco will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Wander Franco's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved in recent games, rising from 44.7% on the season to 60% over the past 7 days.

Jorge Polanco Total Hits Props • Minnesota

J. Polanco
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jorge Polanco in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Jorge Polanco is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Jorge Polanco tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tyler Glasnow. Jorge Polanco's launch angle of late (26.8° over the past 7 days) is a significant increase over his 18.5° seasonal angle.

Jorge Polanco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Jorge Polanco in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Jorge Polanco is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Jorge Polanco pulls a lot of his flyballs (38% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Jorge Polanco tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tyler Glasnow. Jorge Polanco's launch angle of late (26.8° over the past 7 days) is a significant increase over his 18.5° seasonal angle.

Christian Vazquez Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Vazquez
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-155
Projection Rating

Christian Vazquez has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Christian Vazquez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 47% to 53.8%. Christian Vazquez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .274 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .298 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Christian Vazquez has put up a .271 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 81st percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Christian Vazquez has notched a .265 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile.

Christian Vazquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Christian Vazquez has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Christian Vazquez's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 47% to 53.8%. Christian Vazquez has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .274 mark is significantly deflated relative to his .298 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Christian Vazquez has put up a .271 Expected Batting Average since the start of last season, checking in at the 81st percentile (according to THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data). Christian Vazquez has notched a .265 batting average since the start of last season, ranking in the 76th percentile.

Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota

R. Lewis
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors. A consistent launch angle is a proxy for good hitting, and Royce Lewis has been very consistent with his recently, compiling a 33.1° launch angle standard deviation in the last 14 days.

Royce Lewis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Tropicana Field has the 4th-shallowest left field dimensions in the majors. A consistent launch angle is a proxy for good hitting, and Royce Lewis has been very consistent with his recently, compiling a 33.1° launch angle standard deviation in the last 14 days.

Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota

C. Correa
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Carlos Correa in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Carlos Correa is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Carlos Correa has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 13.1% seasonal rate to 25% over the past 14 days. Carlos Correa has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 106.5-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 95.1-mph. Carlos Correa has been unlucky this year, posting a .291 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .352 — a .061 gap.

Carlos Correa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Carlos Correa in the 93rd percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Carlos Correa is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Carlos Correa has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 13.1% seasonal rate to 25% over the past 14 days. Carlos Correa has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 106.5-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 95.1-mph. Carlos Correa has been unlucky this year, posting a .291 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .352 — a .061 gap.

Donovan Solano Total Hits Props • Minnesota

D. Solano
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-195
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Donovan Solano in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Donovan Solano is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Donovan Solano has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.7-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.4-mph average. Donovan Solano's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 53% to 58.6%. Donovan Solano's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 58.6% on the season to 66.7% over the past 7 days.

Donovan Solano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Donovan Solano in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Donovan Solano is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game. Donovan Solano has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 98.7-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 90.4-mph average. Donovan Solano's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 53% to 58.6%. Donovan Solano's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 58.6% on the season to 66.7% over the past 7 days.

Manuel Margot Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

M. Margot
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-160
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Manuel Margot in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 12th-worst on the slate today. Manuel Margot will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Manuel Margot's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 87.9-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 85.9-mph over the last 7 days. Manuel Margot has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .295 mark is a fair amount lower than his .329 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Manuel Margot

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Manuel Margot in the 85th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 12th-worst on the slate today. Manuel Margot will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Manuel Margot's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 87.9-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 85.9-mph over the last 7 days. Manuel Margot has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .295 mark is a fair amount lower than his .329 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Harold Ramirez Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

H. Ramirez
designated hitter DH • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Harold Ramirez as the 16th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average talent. Harold Ramirez is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Extreme groundball bats like Harold Ramirez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 12th-worst on the slate today. Harold Ramirez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Harold Ramirez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Harold Ramirez as the 16th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average talent. Harold Ramirez is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Extreme groundball bats like Harold Ramirez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Bailey Ober. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 12th-worst on the slate today. Harold Ramirez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Isaac Paredes Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

I. Paredes
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 12th-worst on the slate today. Isaac Paredes will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this year (20.4°) is a considerable increase over his 15.5° angle last season. Isaac Paredes's launch angle lately (30° over the past two weeks) is considerably higher than his 20.4° seasonal angle.

Isaac Paredes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Isaac Paredes pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.2% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 12th-worst on the slate today. Isaac Paredes will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Isaac Paredes's launch angle this year (20.4°) is a considerable increase over his 15.5° angle last season. Isaac Paredes's launch angle lately (30° over the past two weeks) is considerably higher than his 20.4° seasonal angle.

Luke Raley Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

L. Raley
right outfield RF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Luke Raley in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Luke Raley has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Ober in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 12th-worst on the slate today. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Luke Raley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Luke Raley in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Luke Raley has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (58% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today. Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage against Bailey Ober in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 12th-worst on the slate today. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota

T. Larnach
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Trevor Larnach in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. Trevor Larnach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow today. Trevor Larnach has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.6-mph average to last year's 93.1-mph EV.

Trevor Larnach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Trevor Larnach in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. Trevor Larnach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow today. Trevor Larnach has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.6-mph average to last year's 93.1-mph EV.

Alex Kirilloff Total Hits Props • Minnesota

A. Kirilloff
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Alex Kirilloff in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Alex Kirilloff is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. Alex Kirilloff will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Glasnow in today's matchup. Alex Kirilloff's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 38.2% to 55.2%.

Alex Kirilloff

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Alex Kirilloff in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Alex Kirilloff is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. Alex Kirilloff will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Glasnow in today's matchup. Alex Kirilloff's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 38.2% to 55.2%.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota

W. Castro
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (97% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. Willi Castro's launch angle in recent games (31.3° over the last week) is significantly higher than his 10.7° seasonal mark. Willi Castro's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 17.3% to 23.4%.

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (97% of the time), but he is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. Willi Castro's launch angle in recent games (31.3° over the last week) is significantly higher than his 10.7° seasonal mark. Willi Castro's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 17.3% to 23.4%.

Max Kepler Total Hits Props • Minnesota

M. Kepler
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. Max Kepler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today's matchup. Max Kepler's launch angle lately (25.5° over the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 14.9° seasonal angle. Max Kepler has been unlucky this year, putting up a .280 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .053 discrepancy. Max Kepler has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile with a 1.75 K/BB rate.

Max Kepler

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Tropicana Field has the 5th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB. Max Kepler will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Tyler Glasnow in today's matchup. Max Kepler's launch angle lately (25.5° over the last two weeks) is a significant increase over his 14.9° seasonal angle. Max Kepler has been unlucky this year, putting up a .280 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .333 — a .053 discrepancy. Max Kepler has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, ranking in the 90th percentile with a 1.75 K/BB rate.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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