New York @ Pittsburgh props

Rich Hill will hold the platoon advantage over Brandon Nimmo in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 9th-deepest LF fences today. Brandon Nimmo will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Brandon Nimmo has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 5.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the past week's worth of games. Brandon Nimmo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, decreasing from 13.4% to 9.6%.

Jack Suwinski is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. PNC Park ranks as the #8 ballpark in MLB for left-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Jack Suwinski will hold the platoon advantage over Tylor Megill today.

THE BAT X projects Tommy Pham in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Tommy Pham has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (59% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park projects as the #8 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.

PNC Park has the 8th-largest outfield in MLB — generally bad for long-balls.

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. PNC Park ranks as the #8 ballpark in MLB for left-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst on the slate today.

PNC Park has the 8th-largest outfield in MLB — generally bad for long-balls. Bryan Reynolds has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 13.8% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the last week. Bryan Reynolds's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 95.8-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 83.2-mph over the last 7 days.

THE BAT X projects Jeff McNeil in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. PNC Park ranks as the #8 ballpark in MLB for left-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Jeff McNeil has shown good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 96th percentile with a 1.11 K/BB rate.

THE BAT X projects Starling Marte in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Starling Marte is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. PNC Park projects as the #8 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.

THE BAT X projects Francisco Lindor in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. PNC Park projects as the #8 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.

THE BAT X projects Andrew McCutchen in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. PNC Park projects as the #8 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.

PNC Park projects as the #8 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. The switch-hitting Eduardo Escobar will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Rich Hill. Eduardo Escobar has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average since the start of last season; his .238 figure is quite a bit lower than his .259 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

THE BAT X projects Francisco Alvarez in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (92% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park projects as the #8 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats.

THE BAT X projects Mark Canha in the 82nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. PNC Park projects as the #8 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Mark Canha will have the handedness advantage against Rich Hill in today's game.

PNC Park projects as the #8 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Mark Vientos will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Rich Hill today. Mark Vientos has been hot in recent games, notching a 99.2-mph average exit velocity over the past 14 days.

PNC Park projects as the #8 stadium in the game for right-handed BABIP, according to THE BAT projection system. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst on the slate today. Austin Hedges will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Ji-Hwan Bae has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Ke'Bryan Hayes has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Pete Alonso has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Joshua Palacios has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.