Los Angeles @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #23 ballpark in the game for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to worse offense. Bryce Harper's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 97-mph mark last season has fallen off to 94.9-mph. Bryce Harper's launch angle this year (6.1°) is quite a bit lower than his 11.7° mark last year.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #23 ballpark in the game for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which often leads to worse offense. Freddie Freeman's average exit velocity has fallen off in recent games; his 91.1-mph seasonal mark has dropped to 81.7-mph over the past 7 days. Freddie Freeman has been lucky this year, putting up a .413 wOBA despite THE BAT X estimating his true talent level to be .394 — a .019 disparity.

THE BAT X projects Chris Taylor in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 84°. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the worst on the slate today. Chris Taylor has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 100.8-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal average of 94.2-mph.

Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 84°. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage over Bobby Miller today. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Bryson Stott's launch angle recently (20.7° over the past 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 10.1° seasonal angle.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 16th-best batter in the majors, via THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 84°. Kyle Schwarber will hold the platoon advantage against Bobby Miller today.

THE BAT X projects Edmundo Sosa in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 84°. Edmundo Sosa will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Edmundo Sosa's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 43.9% on the season to 71.4% in the last week's worth of games.

THE BAT X projects Miguel Vargas in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 84°. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the worst on the slate today. Miguel Vargas has made big strides with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last two weeks.

Mookie Betts projects as the 18th-best hitter in the majors, via THE BAT X. Mookie Betts is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 84°. Mookie Betts pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the worst on the slate today.

THE BAT X projects Trea Turner as the 19th-best hitter in MLB when it comes to his batting average talent. Trea Turner is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 84°. Trea Turner will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the best batter in the league when it comes to his BABIP talent. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 84°. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage against Bobby Miller today. Brandon Marsh has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

Will Smith projects as the 17th-best batter in the majors, via THE BAT X. Will Smith is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 84°. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the worst on the slate today.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 84°. Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage over Bobby Miller in today's matchup. Kody Clemens will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Kody Clemens's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, going from 14.1% on the season to 27.3% over the last 7 days.

THE BAT X projects Max Muncy in the 97th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Max Muncy is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 84°. Max Muncy will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game.

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 84°. James Outman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the worst on the slate today. James Outman has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls. His 22.9° mark is among the highest in the game this year (99th percentile).

Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 84°. Jason Heyward will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the worst on the slate today. Jason Heyward has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 98.3-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 95.9-mph.

THE BAT X projects Miguel Rojas in the 84th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 84°. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the worst on the slate today. Miguel Rojas has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 87.9-mph mark.

THE BAT X projects David Peralta in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Citizens Bank Park has the smallest outfield in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report predicts the 5th-hottest weather on the slate at 84°. David Peralta will hold the platoon advantage against Aaron Nola in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense profiles as the worst on the slate today.

J.T. Realmuto has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.

J.D. Martinez has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Nick Castellanos has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.