BOS -124 o7.5
MIA +115 u7.5
STL +109 o8.5
PIT -118 u8.5
CHW +189 o8.5
CLE -208 u8.5
NYM -122 o9.0
WAS +113 u9.0
CIN +161 o9.0
NYY -176 u9.0
HOU -109 o8.5
TOR +101 u8.5
SF +182 o7.5
ATL -200 u7.5
PHI -108 o7.5
CHC +100 u7.5
SD +127 o9.0
TEX -137 u9.0
TB -104 o8.0
KC -104 u8.0
DET +152 o9.0
MIN -166 u9.0
MIL -166 o12.0
COL +152 u12.0
LAA -106 o8.5
OAK -102 u8.5
BAL +124 o7.0
SEA -134 u7.0
AZ +174 o9.0
LAD -190 u9.0
AT&T Sportsnet, NESN

Colorado @ Boston props

Fenway Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Elehuris Montero Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Montero
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-114
Projection Rating

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Elehuris Montero will hold the platoon advantage against James Paxton today. Elehuris Montero hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 12th-best on the slate.

Elehuris Montero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Elehuris Montero will hold the platoon advantage against James Paxton today. Elehuris Montero hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 12th-best on the slate.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Boston

J. Turner
designated hitter DH • Boston
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the best of the day. Justin Turner has displayed some bad exit velocity indicators recently, averaging just 102.7-mph on the top 5% of his batted balls in the last two weeks' worth of games. Justin Turner is not very toolsy, checking in at the 10th percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.21 ft/sec this year.

Justin Turner

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Fenway Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the league, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. The Colorado Rockies outfield defense grades out as the best of the day. Justin Turner has displayed some bad exit velocity indicators recently, averaging just 102.7-mph on the top 5% of his batted balls in the last two weeks' worth of games. Justin Turner is not very toolsy, checking in at the 10th percentile in Sprint Speed at 25.21 ft/sec this year.

Triston Casas Total Hits Props • Boston

T. Casas
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-152
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-152
Projection Rating

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage over Connor Seabold in today's matchup. Triston Casas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Triston Casas

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage over Connor Seabold in today's matchup. Triston Casas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Triston Casas will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • Colorado

R. McMahon
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-182
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-182
Projection Rating

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan McMahon can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Ryan McMahon has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Ryan McMahon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan McMahon can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Ryan McMahon has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Ezequiel Tovar Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Tovar
shortstop SS • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Ezequiel Tovar has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (95% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ezequiel Tovar will hold the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's game.

Ezequiel Tovar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Ezequiel Tovar in the 82nd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Ezequiel Tovar has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (95% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Ezequiel Tovar will hold the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's game.

Randal Grichuk Total Hits Props • Colorado

R. Grichuk
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Randal Grichuk is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Randal Grichuk will hold the platoon advantage over James Paxton in today's game.

Randal Grichuk

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Randal Grichuk is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Randal Grichuk will hold the platoon advantage over James Paxton in today's game.

Jurickson Profar Total Hits Props • Colorado

J. Profar
left outfield LF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against James Paxton. Jurickson Profar pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.

Jurickson Profar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Jurickson Profar is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The switch-hitting Jurickson Profar will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against James Paxton. Jurickson Profar pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today.

Nolan Jones Total Hits Props • Colorado

N. Jones
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-175
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Nolan Jones in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Jones can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Nolan Jones

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Nolan Jones in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Fenway Park ranks as the #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average, per THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field dimensions among all parks. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Boston Red Sox have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Jones can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Austin Wynns Total Hits Props • Colorado

A. Wynns
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 12th-best on the slate.

Austin Wynns

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Boston Red Sox infield defense grades out as the 12th-best on the slate.

Connor Wong Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Wong
catcher C • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Connor Wong pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. Connor Wong will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Connor Wong has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 12.6% seasonal rate to 25% over the last two weeks.

Connor Wong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Connor Wong pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.3% — 79th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences today. Connor Wong will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Connor Wong has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 12.6% seasonal rate to 25% over the last two weeks.

Adam Duvall Total Hits Props • Boston

A. Duvall
left outfield LF • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-200
Projection Rating

Adam Duvall is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Adam Duvall pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Adam Duvall will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Adam Duvall

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Adam Duvall is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Adam Duvall pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Adam Duvall will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Christian Arroyo Total Hits Props • Boston

C. Arroyo
third base 3B • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Christian Arroyo in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Extreme groundball hitters like Christian Arroyo generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Connor Seabold.

Christian Arroyo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Christian Arroyo in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Extreme groundball hitters like Christian Arroyo generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Connor Seabold.

Enrique Hernandez Total Hits Props • Boston

E. Hernandez
shortstop SS • Boston
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-205
Projection Rating

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Kike Hernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Enrique Hernandez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Kike Hernandez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

Elias Diaz Total Hits Props • Colorado

E. Diaz
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Elias Diaz is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Elias Diaz will hold the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's game.

Elias Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Elias Diaz is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 ballpark in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to THE BAT projection system. Fenway Park has the shallowest left field dimensions among all parks. The weather report predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Elias Diaz will hold the platoon advantage against James Paxton in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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