Bally Sports Network, WPIX

St. Louis @ New York props

Citi Field

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Nolan Gorman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Gorman
designated hitter DH • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-125
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Nolan Gorman in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Nolan Gorman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game.

Nolan Gorman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Nolan Gorman in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Nolan Gorman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nolan Gorman will hold the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game.

Dylan Carlson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

D. Carlson
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Dylan Carlson in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dylan Carlson has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last year's 86-mph average. Dylan Carlson has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.3-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 93.3-mph.

Dylan Carlson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Dylan Carlson in the 75th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Dylan Carlson has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.2-mph average to last year's 86-mph average. Dylan Carlson has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 100.3-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal EV of 93.3-mph.

Paul Goldschmidt Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. Goldschmidt
first base 1B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

Paul Goldschmidt projects as the 11th-best hitter in MLB, according to THE BAT X. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Paul Goldschmidt has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last year's 90.8-mph average.

Paul Goldschmidt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Paul Goldschmidt projects as the 11th-best hitter in MLB, according to THE BAT X. Paul Goldschmidt is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Paul Goldschmidt has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last year's 90.8-mph average.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Francisco Lindor in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Francisco Lindor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Francisco Lindor in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Francisco Lindor is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Francisco Lindor will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

B. Donovan
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Brendan Donovan in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brendan Donovan will have the handedness advantage over Kodai Senga in today's matchup. Brendan Donovan has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Brendan Donovan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Brendan Donovan in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Brendan Donovan is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brendan Donovan will have the handedness advantage over Kodai Senga in today's matchup. Brendan Donovan has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Francisco Alvarez in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Francisco Alvarez in the 85th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Francisco Alvarez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (80% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Francisco Alvarez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Brett Baty in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage against Adam Wainwright in today's matchup. Brett Baty has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Brett Baty will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Brett Baty in the 85th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage against Adam Wainwright in today's matchup. Brett Baty has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Brett Baty will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-230
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jordan Walker in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jordan Walker has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 9% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the last week's worth of games. Jordan Walker has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 92.1-mph mark.

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Jordan Walker in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jordan Walker has made big gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 9% seasonal rate to 15.8% in the last week's worth of games. Jordan Walker has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal 92.1-mph mark.

Tommy Edman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

T. Edman
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Tommy Edman in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Tommy Edman has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 89.5-mph EV. Tommy Edman has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .304 figure is a good deal lower than his .334 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Tommy Edman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Tommy Edman in the 88th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Tommy Edman has seen a big increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.8-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 89.5-mph EV. Tommy Edman has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .304 figure is a good deal lower than his .334 Expected wOBA (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Mark Canha Total Hits Props • NY Mets

M. Canha
right outfield RF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Mark Canha in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Mark Canha will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Mark Canha's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 14.6% to 20%.

Mark Canha

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Mark Canha in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Mark Canha will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Mark Canha's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 14.6% to 20%.

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-235
Projection Rating

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.8% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Nolan Arenado has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.5-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 88.8-mph figure. Nolan Arenado has put up a .351 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 75th percentile.

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Nolan Arenado is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.8% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Nolan Arenado has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.5-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 88.8-mph figure. Nolan Arenado has put up a .351 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 75th percentile.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • NY Mets

T. Pham
designated hitter DH • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Tommy Pham in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Tommy Pham hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Tommy Pham will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Tommy Pham has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 17.4% seasonal rate to 36.4% over the last 14 days.

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Tommy Pham in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Tommy Pham hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Tommy Pham will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Tommy Pham has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 17.4% seasonal rate to 36.4% over the last 14 days.

Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. DeJong
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-130
Projection Rating

The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Paul DeJong's launch angle in recent games (25.1° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 19.2° seasonal mark. Paul DeJong's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 36.1% to 45.6%.

Paul DeJong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.4% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Paul DeJong's launch angle in recent games (25.1° in the past 14 days) is quite a bit higher than his 19.2° seasonal mark. Paul DeJong's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 36.1% to 45.6%.

Alec Burleson Total Hits Props • St. Louis

A. Burleson
left outfield LF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game. Alec Burleson has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .223 mark is a fair amount lower than his .283 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Alec Burleson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citi Field has the shallowest CF fences in MLB. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Alec Burleson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga in today's game. Alec Burleson has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .223 mark is a fair amount lower than his .283 Expected Batting Average (based on THE BAT X's interpretation of Statcast data).

Daniel Vogelbach Total Hits Props • NY Mets

D. Vogelbach
designated hitter DH • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Daniel Vogelbach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Wainwright today. Daniel Vogelbach hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Daniel Vogelbach will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Daniel Vogelbach has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph mark.

Daniel Vogelbach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Daniel Vogelbach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Wainwright today. Daniel Vogelbach hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Daniel Vogelbach will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Daniel Vogelbach has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last year's 89.3-mph mark.

Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

W. Contreras
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Willson Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Willson Contreras's launch angle in recent games (26.7° over the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 11.2° seasonal angle.

Willson Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Willson Contreras hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.3% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Willson Contreras's launch angle in recent games (26.7° over the past 14 days) is significantly higher than his 11.2° seasonal angle.

Luis Guillorme Total Hits Props • NY Mets

L. Guillorme
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Luis Guillorme will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Wainwright in today's matchup. Luis Guillorme has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Luis Guillorme will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Luis Guillorme has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 87.8-mph EV.

Luis Guillorme

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The weather report the 5th-best hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Luis Guillorme will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Adam Wainwright in today's matchup. Luis Guillorme has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Luis Guillorme will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Luis Guillorme has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 87.8-mph EV.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

Pages Related to This Topic

About Units and “ROI”

Units are a standardized measurement used to determine the size of each of your bets relative to your bankroll. For example, if you have a bankroll of $200 and you bet 5% of your bankroll each time, each of your units is worth $10. A bettor with a $2000 bankroll who bets 5% per bet has units of $100. We use the number of units to standardize the amount the trend is up or down across different bet amounts.

ROI is the best indicator of success and measures how much you bet vs. how much you profited. Any positive ROI is good in sports betting with great long-term bettors sitting in the 5-7% range.

Sports Betting Bankroll Management and ROI Guide

Weather Forecast