ESPN

Chicago @ St. Louis props

London Stadium

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tucker Barnhart Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

T. Barnhart
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-135
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-135
Projection Rating

London Stadium grades out as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. London Stadium has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature on the slate at 94°. Tucker Barnhart has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 88.7-mph average to last season's 86.3-mph average.

Tucker Barnhart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

London Stadium grades out as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. London Stadium has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature on the slate at 94°. Tucker Barnhart has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 88.7-mph average to last season's 86.3-mph average.

Miguel Amaya Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

M. Amaya
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

London Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. London Stadium has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature on the slate at 94°. OPP_SP will hold the platoon advantage against Miguel Amaya in today's game.

Miguel Amaya

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

London Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. London Stadium has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature on the slate at 94°. OPP_SP will hold the platoon advantage against Miguel Amaya in today's game.

Tommy Edman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

T. Edman
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-215
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Tommy Edman in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. London Stadium grades out as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. London Stadium has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature on the slate at 94°. Tommy Edman will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Tommy Edman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Tommy Edman in the 88th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. London Stadium grades out as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. London Stadium has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature on the slate at 94°. Tommy Edman will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

S. Suzuki
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-182
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-182
Projection Rating

London Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense grades out as the 4th-best out of every team in action today. Seiya Suzuki will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Seiya Suzuki has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 9.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week.

Seiya Suzuki

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

London Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense grades out as the 4th-best out of every team in action today. Seiya Suzuki will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Seiya Suzuki has struggled with his Barrel% recently; his 9.6% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past week.

Trey Mancini Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

T. Mancini
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

London Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature on the slate at 94°. OPP_SP will hold the platoon advantage against Trey Mancini today.

Trey Mancini

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

London Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature on the slate at 94°. OPP_SP will hold the platoon advantage against Trey Mancini today.

Christopher Morel Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

C. Morel
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-270
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-270
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Christopher Morel in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Christopher Morel has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. London Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. London Stadium has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature on the slate at 94°.

Christopher Morel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

THE BAT X projects Christopher Morel in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Christopher Morel has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (67% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. London Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. London Stadium has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature on the slate at 94°.

Paul DeJong Total Hits Props • St. Louis

P. DeJong
shortstop SS • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

London Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. London Stadium has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature on the slate at 94°. Extreme flyball hitters like Paul DeJong generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Marcus Stroman. Paul DeJong will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Paul DeJong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

London Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. London Stadium has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature on the slate at 94°. Extreme flyball hitters like Paul DeJong generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Marcus Stroman. Paul DeJong will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Ian Happ in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. London Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. London Stadium has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature on the slate at 94°.

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

THE BAT X projects Ian Happ in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Ian Happ is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. London Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. London Stadium has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature on the slate at 94°.

Nolan Arenado Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Arenado
third base 3B • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-286
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds
Over
-286
Projection Rating

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. London Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. London Stadium has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature on the slate at 94°. Extreme groundball batters like Nolan Arenado usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Marcus Stroman.

Nolan Arenado

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. London Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. London Stadium has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all stadiums. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature on the slate at 94°. Extreme groundball batters like Nolan Arenado usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Marcus Stroman.

Willson Contreras Total Hits Props • St. Louis

W. Contreras
catcher C • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. London Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature on the slate at 94°. Willson Contreras will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Willson Contreras

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Willson Contreras in the 95th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. London Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature on the slate at 94°. Willson Contreras will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Lars Nootbaar Total Hits Props • St. Louis

L. Nootbaar
center outfield CF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Lars Nootbaar in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. London Stadium grades out as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature on the slate at 94°. Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Stroman in today's game.

Lars Nootbaar

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Lars Nootbaar in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. London Stadium grades out as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature on the slate at 94°. Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Stroman in today's game.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-210
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-210
Projection Rating

London Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense grades out as the 4th-best out of every team in action today. Dansby Swanson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Dansby Swanson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 12.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 7 days. Dansby Swanson's average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 89.1-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 78.6-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

London Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense grades out as the 4th-best out of every team in action today. Dansby Swanson will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Dansby Swanson has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 12.1% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% over the last 7 days. Dansby Swanson's average exit velocity has declined in recent games; his 89.1-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 78.6-mph in the last week's worth of games.

Nolan Gorman Total Hits Props • St. Louis

N. Gorman
designated hitter DH • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Nolan Gorman in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. London Stadium grades out as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature on the slate at 94°. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Stroman today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Gorman stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Nolan Gorman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Nolan Gorman in the 76th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. London Stadium grades out as the #2 field in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature on the slate at 94°. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage over Marcus Stroman today. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nolan Gorman stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.

Jordan Walker Total Hits Props • St. Louis

J. Walker
right outfield RF • St. Louis
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-275
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jordan Walker in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. London Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature on the slate at 94°. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Jordan Walker will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Jordan Walker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Jordan Walker in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. London Stadium profiles as the #2 ballpark in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast forecasts the hottest temperature on the slate at 94°. Jordan Walker hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Jordan Walker will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Brendan Donovan Total Hits Props • St. Louis

B. Donovan
second base 2B • St. Louis
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-240
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-240
Projection Rating

London Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Brendan Donovan's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 92.4-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 82.6-mph in the past 7 days.

Brendan Donovan

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

London Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Brendan Donovan's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 92.4-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 82.6-mph in the past 7 days.

Nick Madrigal Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

N. Madrigal
second base 2B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Nick Madrigal is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today's game. London Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Nick Madrigal has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team in action today. Nick Madrigal is an extreme groundball batter and faces the strong infield defense of St. Louis (#3-best of all teams on the slate).

Nick Madrigal

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

Nick Madrigal is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today's game. London Stadium's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Nick Madrigal has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.3%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-deepest RF fences in today's matchup. The St. Louis Cardinals infield defense grades out as the 3rd-best out of every team in action today. Nick Madrigal is an extreme groundball batter and faces the strong infield defense of St. Louis (#3-best of all teams on the slate).

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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