MLBN, NBCSP, WPIX

New York @ Philadelphia props

Citizens Bank Park

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • NY Mets

T. Pham
designated hitter DH • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-150
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Tommy Pham in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team playing today.

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Tommy Pham in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team playing today.

Bryce Harper Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Harper
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Under
-250
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #25 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. Bryce Harper's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 91.8-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 73.5-mph in the past 7 days. Bryce Harper's launch angle this season (7.7°) is significantly worse than his 11.7° mark last year. Bryce Harper's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, going from 11.9% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

Bryce Harper

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #25 stadium in the league for left-handed batting average, via THE BAT projection system. Citizens Bank Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. Bryce Harper's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 91.8-mph seasonal figure has lowered to 73.5-mph in the past 7 days. Bryce Harper's launch angle this season (7.7°) is significantly worse than his 11.7° mark last year. Bryce Harper's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, going from 11.9% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days.

Brandon Nimmo Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Nimmo
left outfield LF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-220
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup.

Brandon Nimmo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Brandon Nimmo in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Brandon Nimmo is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Brandon Nimmo will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's matchup.

Starling Marte Total Hits Props • NY Mets

S. Marte
center outfield CF • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Starling Marte in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Starling Marte is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

Starling Marte

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Starling Marte in the 95th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Starling Marte is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

Alec Bohm Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

A. Bohm
third base 3B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds
Over
-240
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Alec Bohm in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in action today.

Alec Bohm

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

THE BAT X projects Alec Bohm in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in action today.

Francisco Alvarez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Alvarez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Francisco Alvarez in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team playing today.

Francisco Alvarez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Francisco Alvarez in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team playing today.

Brett Baty Total Hits Props • NY Mets

B. Baty
third base 3B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-140
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Brett Baty in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Brett Baty will have the handedness advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's game. Brett Baty has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Brett Baty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

THE BAT X projects Brett Baty in the 87th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Brett Baty will have the handedness advantage over Zack Wheeler in today's game. Brett Baty has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Francisco Lindor Total Hits Props • NY Mets

F. Lindor
shortstop SS • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-208
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-208
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

Francisco Lindor

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

Kyle Schwarber Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Schwarber
designated hitter DH • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 19th-best hitter in the game, via THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

Kyle Schwarber

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 19th-best hitter in the game, via THE BAT X. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.

Daniel Vogelbach Total Hits Props • NY Mets

D. Vogelbach
designated hitter DH • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-145
Projection Rating

Daniel Vogelbach has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (82% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Daniel Vogelbach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today.

Daniel Vogelbach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Daniel Vogelbach has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (82% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Daniel Vogelbach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today.

Omar Narvaez Total Hits Props • NY Mets

O. Narvaez
catcher C • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds
Over
-120
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Omar Narvaez will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team playing today.

Omar Narvaez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Omar Narvaez will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest out of every team playing today.

Jeff McNeil Total Hits Props • NY Mets

J. McNeil
second base 2B • NY Mets
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-225
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Jeff McNeil in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage over Zack Wheeler today.

Jeff McNeil

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Jeff McNeil in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Jeff McNeil will have the handedness advantage over Zack Wheeler today.

Edmundo Sosa Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

E. Sosa
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-190
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in action today. Edmundo Sosa will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Edmundo Sosa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among all the teams in action today. Edmundo Sosa will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Bryson Stott Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Stott
shortstop SS • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds
Over
-250
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Bryson Stott in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Carrasco in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Bryson Stott

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

THE BAT X projects Bryson Stott in the 80th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Carrasco in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

K. Clemens
second base 2B • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Over
-165
Projection Rating

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Carrasco today. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today.

Kody Clemens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest fences among all major league parks — generally good for long-balls. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-best of the day for bats. Kody Clemens will hold the platoon advantage over Carlos Carrasco today. The New York Mets outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst among all the teams in action today.

Brandon Marsh Total Hits Props • Philadelphia

B. Marsh
center outfield CF • Philadelphia
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds
Over
-210
Projection Rating

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the best hitter in the game when estimating his BABIP skill. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Carrasco today. Brandon Marsh has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Brandon Marsh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

THE BAT X projects Brandon Marsh as the best hitter in the game when estimating his BABIP skill. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 4th-hottest temperature of the day at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for bats. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Carlos Carrasco today. Brandon Marsh has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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