Miami @ Boston props

Extreme flyball bats like Masataka Yoshida tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Sandy Alcantara. Masataka Yoshida's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off of late, decreasing from 36% on the season to 30.3% over the last 14 days. Masataka Yoshida has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .366 mark is considerably higher than his .335 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Masataka Yoshida's 3.4° launch angle (a reliable stat to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most groundball-inducing in the majors: 2nd percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for long-balls. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate at 78%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Jorge Soler projects as the 20th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jorge Soler is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate at 78%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

Jean Segura's batting average skill is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park grades out as the #2 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate at 78%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Jean Segura hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate at 78%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage against Garrett Whitlock today. Jesus Sanchez has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences today. Jesus Sanchez has hit one of the hardest balls in baseball over the past two weeks — 112.3-mph — which is a favorable measure of recent form and raw power.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Wendle in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate at 78%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Joey Wendle will hold the platoon advantage against Garrett Whitlock in today's matchup. Joey Wendle has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Arroyo in the 78th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the 3rd-smallest outfield in the league — generally good for long-balls. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 2nd-most humid conditions on the slate at 83%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Garrett Cooper as the 15th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP ability. Garrett Cooper is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate at 78%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rafael Devers in the 96th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Rafael Devers is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate at 78%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Rafael Devers will have the handedness advantage over Sandy Alcantara in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Wong in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate at 78%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Connor Wong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.7% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate at 78%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. David Hamilton will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara today. David Hamilton has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. David Hamilton will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Adam Duvall is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Fenway Park grades out as the #2 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate at 78%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Adam Duvall pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate at 78%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Triston Casas will have the handedness advantage against Sandy Alcantara today. Triston Casas pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Triston Casas will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate at 78%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Kike Hernandez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33% — 76th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Kike Hernandez will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Fenway Park grades out as the #2 venue in baseball for RHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report expects the 5th-most humid conditions on the slate at 78%. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Jacob Stallings has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Jacob Stallings has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 89.9-mph average to last season's 86.7-mph EV.

Bryan De La Cruz has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Luis Arraez has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Nick Fortes has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.

Justin Turner has gone over 1.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.

Alex Verdugo has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.

Jarren Duran has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.